Nomogram Based on Inflammatory Biomarkers and Nutritional Indicators for Predicting Overall Survival in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Abstract

Purpose

To establish and validate a nomogram to predict overall survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) based on inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators.

Patients and Methods

A total of 1304 patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with or without induction chemotherapy (IC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) were included in the study. The prognosis factors of overall survival (OS) were selected by Cox regression analysis to establish the nomogram. Concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA) and Kaplan–Meier curves were used to evaluate the nomogram.

Results

Using multivariate Cox analysis of clinically important variables, the following variables were incorporated in the prediction of OS: age, gender, T stage, N stage, pre-treatment plasma Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), lactic dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). The discriminative ability, clinical usefulness and calibration of the nomogram revealed good predictive ability as indicated by the C-index (0.717 in nomogram and 0.602 in the 8th AJCC staging system), decision curves, calibration curves and K-M curves.

Conclusion

Inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators of survival for LA-NPC were selected to create a nomogram predicting OS. The proposed nomogram resulted in more accurate prognostic prediction than 8th AJCC staging system.