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      Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions

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          Abstract

          The rapid anthropogenic climate change that is being experienced in the early twenty-first century is intimately entwined with the health and functioning of the biosphere. Climate change is impacting ecosystems through changes in mean conditions and in climate variability, coupled with other associated changes such as increased ocean acidification and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. It also interacts with other pressures on ecosystems, including degradation, defaunation and fragmentation. There is a need to understand the ecological dynamics of these climate impacts, to identify hotspots of vulnerability and resilience and to identify management interventions that may assist biosphere resilience to climate change. At the same time, ecosystems can also assist in the mitigation of, and adaptation to, climate change. The mechanisms, potential and limits of such nature-based solutions to climate change need to be explored and quantified. This paper introduces a thematic issue dedicated to the interaction between climate change and the biosphere. It explores novel perspectives on how ecosystems respond to climate change, how ecosystem resilience can be enhanced and how ecosystems can assist in addressing the challenge of a changing climate. It draws on a Royal Society-National Academy of Sciences Forum held in Washington DC in November 2018, where these themes and issues were discussed. We conclude by identifying some priorities for academic research and practical implementation, in order to maximize the potential for maintaining a diverse, resilient and well-functioning biosphere under the challenging conditions of the twenty-first century.

          This article is part of the theme issue ‘Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions’.

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          Most cited references22

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          Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against

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            Understanding the value and limits of nature-based solutions to climate change and other global challenges

            There is growing awareness that ‘nature-based solutions' (NbS) can help to protect us from climate change impacts while slowing further warming, supporting biodiversity and securing ecosystem services. However, the potential of NbS to provide the intended benefits has not been rigorously assessed. There are concerns over their reliability and cost-effectiveness compared to engineered alternatives, and their resilience to climate change. Trade-offs can arise if climate mitigation policy encourages NbS with low biodiversity value, such as afforestation with non-native monocultures. This can result in maladaptation, especially in a rapidly changing world where biodiversity-based resilience and multi-functional landscapes are key. Here, we highlight the rise of NbS in climate policy—focusing on their potential for climate change adaptation as well as mitigation—and discuss barriers to their evidence-based implementation. We outline the major financial and governance challenges to implementing NbS at scale, highlighting avenues for further research. As climate policy turns increasingly towards greenhouse gas removal approaches such as afforestation, we stress the urgent need for natural and social scientists to engage with policy makers. They must ensure that NbS can achieve their potential to tackle both the climate and biodiversity crisis while also contributing to sustainable development. This will require systemic change in the way we conduct research and run our institutions. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions’.
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              Grounding nature-based climate solutions in sound biodiversity science

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
                Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B
                The Royal Society
                0962-8436
                1471-2970
                January 27 2020
                March 16 2020
                January 27 2020
                March 16 2020
                : 375
                : 1794
                : 20190104
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK
                [2 ]Department of Botany and Plant Sciences, University of California, Riverside, CA 92521, USA
                [3 ]Nature-based Solutions Initiative, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, 11a Mansfield Road, Oxford OX1 3SZ, UK
                [4 ]School of Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK
                [5 ]Department of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA
                [6 ]Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
                [7 ]National Museum of Natural History, Smithsonian, MRC 163, PO Box 37012, Washington, DC 20013-7012, USA
                Article
                10.1098/rstb.2019.0104
                7017779
                31983329
                c6e65f5f-bcc5-4aa2-af38-6e1c642ac8cc
                © 2020

                https://royalsociety.org/-/media/journals/author/Licence-to-Publish-20062019-final.pdf

                https://royalsociety.org/journals/ethics-policies/data-sharing-mining/

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