Attributable mortality of ARDS among critically ill patients with sepsis: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study

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Abstract

Background

Both sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are common severe diseases in the intensive care unit (ICU). There is no large-scale multicenter study to clarify the attributable mortality of ARDS among septic patients. This study aimed to evaluate the excess mortality of ARDS in critically ill patients with sepsis.

Methods

The data were obtained from a multicenter, prospective cohort study in 18 Chinese ICUs between January 2014 and August 2015. The study population was septic patients after ICU admission. The patients were categorized into two groups: those who developed ARDS (ARDS group) within seven days following a sepsis diagnosis and those who did not develop ARDS (non-ARDS group). Applying propensity score matching (PSM), patients were matched 1:1 as ARDS and non-ARDS groups. Mortality attributed to ARDS was calculated. Subsequently, we conducted a survival analysis to estimate the impact of ARDS on mortality. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality after sepsis diagnosis.

Results

2323 septic patients were eligible, 67.8% developed ARDS. After PSM, 737 patients with ARDS were matched 1:1 with 737 non-ARDS patients. ARDS’s overall 30-day attributable mortality was 11.9% (95% CI 7.5–16.3%, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that the 30-day attributable mortality of mild, moderate, and severe ARDS was 10.5% (95% CI 4.0-16.8%, p < 0.001), 11.6% (95% CI 4.7–18.4%, p < 0.001) and 18.1% (95% CI 4.5–30.9%, p = 0.006), respectively. ARDS was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.30 (95% CI 1.03–1.64, p = 0.027), 1.49 (95% CI 1.20–1.85, p < 0.001), and 1.95 (95% CI 1.51–2.52, p < 0.001) for mild, moderate, and severe ARDS, respectively.

Conclusions

The overall 30-day attributable mortality of ARDS among critically ill patients with sepsis was 11.9%. Compared with mild and moderate ARDS, severe ARDS contributed more to death. ARDS was significantly associated with an increase in the 30-day mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-024-02913-1.

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Most cited references 35

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The Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3).

Mervyn Singer, Clifford S Deutschman, Christopher Warren Seymour … (2016)

Definitions of sepsis and septic shock were last revised in 2001. Considerable advances have since been made into the pathobiology (changes in organ function, morphology, cell biology, biochemistry, immunology, and circulation), management, and epidemiology of sepsis, suggesting the need for reexamination.

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Acute respiratory distress syndrome: the Berlin Definition.

V Ranieri, Gordon D Rubenfeld, B Taylor Thompson … (2012)

The acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) was defined in 1994 by the American-European Consensus Conference (AECC); since then, issues regarding the reliability and validity of this definition have emerged. Using a consensus process, a panel of experts convened in 2011 (an initiative of the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine endorsed by the American Thoracic Society and the Society of Critical Care Medicine) developed the Berlin Definition, focusing on feasibility, reliability, validity, and objective evaluation of its performance. A draft definition proposed 3 mutually exclusive categories of ARDS based on degree of hypoxemia: mild (200 mm Hg < PaO2/FIO2 ≤ 300 mm Hg), moderate (100 mm Hg < PaO2/FIO2 ≤ 200 mm Hg), and severe (PaO2/FIO2 ≤ 100 mm Hg) and 4 ancillary variables for severe ARDS: radiographic severity, respiratory system compliance (≤40 mL/cm H2O), positive end-expiratory pressure (≥10 cm H2O), and corrected expired volume per minute (≥10 L/min). The draft Berlin Definition was empirically evaluated using patient-level meta-analysis of 4188 patients with ARDS from 4 multicenter clinical data sets and 269 patients with ARDS from 3 single-center data sets containing physiologic information. The 4 ancillary variables did not contribute to the predictive validity of severe ARDS for mortality and were removed from the definition. Using the Berlin Definition, stages of mild, moderate, and severe ARDS were associated with increased mortality (27%; 95% CI, 24%-30%; 32%; 95% CI, 29%-34%; and 45%; 95% CI, 42%-48%, respectively; P < .001) and increased median duration of mechanical ventilation in survivors (5 days; interquartile [IQR], 2-11; 7 days; IQR, 4-14; and 9 days; IQR, 5-17, respectively; P < .001). Compared with the AECC definition, the final Berlin Definition had better predictive validity for mortality, with an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.577 (95% CI, 0.561-0.593) vs 0.536 (95% CI, 0.520-0.553; P < .001). This updated and revised Berlin Definition for ARDS addresses a number of the limitations of the AECC definition. The approach of combining consensus discussions with empirical evaluation may serve as a model to create more accurate, evidence-based, critical illness syndrome definitions and to better inform clinical care, research, and health services planning.

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Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

Kristina Rudd, Sarah Charlotte Johnson, Kareha M Agesa … (2020)

Summary Background Sepsis is life-threatening organ dysfunction due to a dysregulated host response to infection. It is considered a major cause of health loss, but data for the global burden of sepsis are limited. As a syndrome caused by underlying infection, sepsis is not part of standard Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) estimates. Accurate estimates are important to inform and monitor health policy interventions, allocation of resources, and clinical treatment initiatives. We estimated the global, regional, and national incidence of sepsis and mortality from this disorder using data from GBD 2017. Methods We used multiple cause-of-death data from 109 million individual death records to calculate mortality related to sepsis among each of the 282 underlying causes of death in GBD 2017. The percentage of sepsis-related deaths by underlying GBD cause in each location worldwide was modelled using mixed-effects linear regression. Sepsis-related mortality for each age group, sex, location, GBD cause, and year (1990–2017) was estimated by applying modelled cause-specific fractions to GBD 2017 cause-of-death estimates. We used data for 8·7 million individual hospital records to calculate in-hospital sepsis-associated case-fatality, stratified by underlying GBD cause. In-hospital sepsis-associated case-fatality was modelled for each location using linear regression, and sepsis incidence was estimated by applying modelled case-fatality to sepsis-related mortality estimates. Findings In 2017, an estimated 48·9 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 38·9–62·9) incident cases of sepsis were recorded worldwide and 11·0 million (10·1–12·0) sepsis-related deaths were reported, representing 19·7% (18·2–21·4) of all global deaths. Age-standardised sepsis incidence fell by 37·0% (95% UI 11·8–54·5) and mortality decreased by 52·8% (47·7–57·5) from 1990 to 2017. Sepsis incidence and mortality varied substantially across regions, with the highest burden in sub-Saharan Africa, Oceania, south Asia, east Asia, and southeast Asia. Interpretation Despite declining age-standardised incidence and mortality, sepsis remains a major cause of health loss worldwide and has an especially high health-related burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Funding The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the National Institutes of Health, the University of Pittsburgh, the British Columbia Children's Hospital Foundation, the Wellcome Trust, and the Fleming Fund.

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Author and article information

Contributors

Yue Zheng: zhengyue1978@163.com

Wen-Xiong Li: liwx1126@163.com

Journal

Journal ID (nlm-ta): BMC Pulm Med

Journal ID (iso-abbrev): BMC Pulm Med

Title: BMC Pulmonary Medicine

Publisher: BioMed Central (London )

ISSN (Electronic): 1471-2466

Publication date (Electronic): 4 March 2024

Publication date PMC-release: 4 March 2024

Publication date Collection: 2024

Volume: 24

Electronic Location Identifier: 110

Affiliations

[1 ]GRID grid.24696.3f, ISNI 0000 0004 0369 153X, Department of Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Beijing Chao-yang Hospital, , Capital Medical University, ; 8 Gongren Tiyuchang Nanlu, Chaoyang District, 100020 Beijing, China

[2 ]Department of Critical Care Medicine, Fuxing Hospital, Capital Medical University, ( https://ror.org/013xs5b60) Beijing, China

Article

Publisher ID: 2913

DOI: 10.1186/s12890-024-02913-1

PMC ID: 10913263

PubMed ID: 38438849

SO-VID: 7e4620f1-b8a7-42d4-8125-ee154f4952d9

License:

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

History

Date received : 27 November 2023

Date accepted : 18 February 2024

Funding

Funded by: Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission

Award ID: no. Z191100006619032

Custom metadata

ScienceOpen disciplines: Respiratory medicine

Keywords: sepsis,acute respiratory distress syndrome,attributable mortality,propensity score matching

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ScienceOpen disciplines: Respiratory medicine

Keywords: sepsis, acute respiratory distress syndrome, attributable mortality, propensity score matching

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Attributable mortality of ARDS among critically ill patients with sepsis: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study

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Abstract

Background

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Conclusions

Supplementary Information

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Inflamed lung in vitro co-culture models

Most cited references 35

The Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3).

Acute respiratory distress syndrome: the Berlin Definition.

Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

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