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      Some lessons that Peru did not learn before the second wave of COVID‐19

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          Abstract

          Dear Editor, Peru, one of the most affected countries by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic, imposed one of the earliest and toughest lockdowns in the world. 1 Despite regional variations, the overall picture situates Peru amongst the worst hit in the number of cases, deaths per million, and total excess deaths. 2 Factors contributing to these results are diverse, including geopolitics, international supply chain, political instability, social and economic crisis, and corruption. Following the first wave, the poor health outcomes emerged due to the Peruvian government's response (or lack of response) and the fragility of the Peruvian health system (PHS). Several of which have not been addressed so far, jeopardizing the population's ability to cope with the current second wave of COVID‐19. The inequitable and fragmented nature of the PHS limited the adoption of a comprehensive pandemic response plan; similarly, the lack of information systems and their interconnection hampered a rapid expansion of capacities. 3 Although there is a plan to unify the PHS, this will be a long‐term process. Meanwhile, the gaps in infrastructure, human resources, financial coverage and quality of care have increased during the pandemic. 1 , 3 These limitations contributed to a flawed reading of the problem, especially the integration of data within institutions, transfer of inputs, deployment of healthcare workers, linkage of health and safety authorities, among others. 4 The crisis also raised political tensions, where conflicts between the central government and some regional governments harmed management and effective resource utilization. 2 According to the Global Health Security Index before the pandemic, the PHS was deficient in terms of biosafety, laboratory systems, epidemiology workforce and emergency response plans. 4 The limited laboratory capacity undermined the implementation of adequate and decentralized molecular tests. Peru became one of the few countries relying on the massive use of rapid serological tests, using them as diagnostic and epidemiological tools. Its lack of sensitivity limited the identification and isolation of cases. 2 Despite the government's announcement to expand polymerase chain reaction testing, until 9 January 2021 these represent about 23.5% of the total tests carried out in the country. 5 Similarly, currently there is not a clear plan to trace contacts, and if implemented, it will face the scarcity of epidemiology workforce and weaknesses of the primary health care. 4 Despite the efforts to reach universal health coverage in Peru, a large proportion of the population does not have adequate access to care due to a chronic lack of infrastructure, insufficient human resources, and lack of essential drugs. 6 Most of the pandemic response was directed towards hospitals and particularly towards intensive care units (ICU), disregarding the need for a primary health approach or pre‐ICU interventions. As happened in other countries, the provision of essential services was affected by the COVID‐19 pandemic. The already deficient follow‐up of patients with noncommunicable diseases decreased even more, 3 , 7 potentially contributing to an increased rate of COVID‐19 hospitalizations. Also, there was a decrease in vaccination coverage 8 , increasing the risk of outbreaks due to preventable diseases. Although the Peruvian Ministry of Health promoted telemedicine as a complementary measure to counteract the disruption, the system's late implementation and structural limitations hindered its success. 9 Healthcare workers have been drastically affected by COVID‐19. Before the pandemic, reports showed several gaps in the number, distribution and capacities. The situation exacerbated due to the collapse of the healthcare system and insufficient PPE, placing Peruvian healthcare workers among the most affected in the region. 10 For instance, the Regional Hospital in Loreto reported the largest proportion of healthcare workers infected globally. 10 Also, health facilities suspended health science student's training, 11 restricting their potential incorporation into the workforce in the event of a second wave. The lack of equipment in public health facilities forced patients to purchase essential supplies such as oxygen from private sellers at unaffordable prices. 2 Even though the vast lack of oxygen increased mortality, the government did not invest in oxygen infrastructure. 2 On the other hand, the government published a series of COVID‐19 guidelines, with an incomplete description of their methodology and evidence assessment. 12 Guidelines included drugs without scientific support on efficacy such as hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin and ivermectin (for hospitalized and ambulatory patients), leading to massive self‐medication, millionaire expenses and probably worsened the system's collapse due to the adverse effects. 12 Although some updates have withdrawn some of those, many persist in the guidelines. Finally, communication has been deficient at every level. With a highly politicized environment, media and politicians have played a significant role in disinformation. On several occasions by opening the floor to nonscientist or even charlatans to give their opinion on control measures, or promoting different antiscientific approaches. These messages have caused confusion and distrust in the population. Last January 26, the president decreed a new lockdown in many regions of the country due to the increase in deaths that is close to the highest number per day in the worst stage of the first wave. With a current tremendous increase in the number of cases, ICU patients, and deaths; Peru faces a second wave without resolving many of the problems detected at the beginning of the pandemic. The country failed to learn the lessons identified during the first wave. The latest vaccine acquisition brings hope; however, there are concerns about the vaccination rollout due to logistical and organizational constraints, as happened in high‐income countries. There is still time to minimize the damage of COVID‐19 until that happens. Health authorities should draft multidisciplinary and intersectoral strategies, detecting and correcting the PHS's shortcomings that persisted from the first wave of COVID‐19 (Table 1). TABLE 1 Shortcomings of the Peruvian Health System during the first wave of COVID‐19 1 Fragmentation and segmentation of the health system. 2 Deficient data integration between sectors. 3 Transfer of inputs and deployment of personnel. 4 Deficient linking of health and safety authorities. 5 Insufficient limited capacity for molecular (RT‐PCR) testing. 6 Dependence on rapid tests for the elaboration of the curve. 7 Lack of primary care interventions before admission to ICU. 8 Meager management and monitoring of non‐COVID patients. 9 Trouble in the education of human resources, to enhance the number of health professionals. 10 Lack of improvement of health personnel's working conditions (salaries, PPE, among others) 11 Continuation of medical training during the pandemic. 12 Shortage of medicinal oxygen supplement. 13 Low transparency in MINSA decision‐making documents. 14 Use of medications without evidence. 15 Inadequate information about public health policy and decision‐making process. 16 Control measures based on limited evidence (measure the temperature before entering the mall) Abbreviations: COVID‐19, coronavirus disease 2019; ICU, intensive care units; MINSA, Ministry of Health, from Spanish Acronym; PPE, personal protective equipment; RT‐PCR, real time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. CONFLICT OF INTEREST The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest regarding this article.

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          Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29th–March 30th, 2020.

          The COVID-19 pandemic that emerged in Wuhan China has generated substantial morbidity and mortality impact around the world during the last four months. The daily trend in reported cases has been rapidly rising in Latin America since March 2020 with the great majority of the cases reported in Brazil followed by Peru as of April 15th, 2020. Although Peru implemented a range of social distancing measures soon after the confirmation of its first case on March 6th, 2020, the daily number of new COVID-19 cases continues to accumulate in this country. We assessed the early COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima, Peru. We estimated the reproduction number, R, during the early transmission phase in Lima from the daily series of imported and autochthonous cases by the date of symptoms onset as of March 30th, 2020. We also assessed the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima by generating short-term forecasts grounded on the early transmission dynamics before interventions were put in place. Prior to the implementation of the social distancing measures in Lima, the local incidence curve by the date of symptoms onset displays near exponential growth dynamics with the mean scaling of growth parameter, p, estimated at 0.9 (95%CI: 0.9,1.0) and the reproduction number at 2.3 (95% CI: 2.0, 2.5). Our analysis indicates that school closures and other social distancing interventions have helped slow down the spread of the novel coronavirus, with the nearly exponential growth trend shifting to an approximately linear growth trend soon after the broad scale social distancing interventions were put in place by the government. While the interventions appear to have slowed the transmission rate in Lima, the number of new COVID-19 cases continue to accumulate, highlighting the need to strengthen social distancing and active case finding efforts to mitigate disease transmission in the region.
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            El rol de la telesalud en la lucha contra el COVID-19 y la evolución del marco normativo peruano

            RESUMEN Las tecnologías de información y comunicación (TIC) en salud cumplen un rol fundamental en el manejo de la pandemia por COVID-19. Esta pandemia ha permitido redescubrir la telesalud y ha acelerado el uso de plataformas digitales con servicios aplicados a la salud. En el marco de la pandemia del COVID-19, el Poder Ejecutivo ha emitido varias normas para impulsar su uso. El objetivo de este artículo es discutir el rol de la telesalud, y la evolución del marco normativo en el Perú. Asimismo, se describen las iniciativas desarrolladas e implementadas por el Colegio Médico del Perú con respecto a la aplicación de las TIC en salud en el marco del COVID-19 como la herramienta «Observatorio CMP» y las plataformas tecnológicas «Aló CMP» y «Salud a un Clic». Finalmente, el artículo plantea el análisis de algunos desafíos de las TIC en salud en tiempos de COVID-19.
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              COVID-19 strains remote regions of Peru

              The health system in Iquitos is stretched and the true number of COVID-19 cases and deaths is unclear. Barbara Fraser reports from Lima. The first COVID-19 case in the Peruvian Amazon, detected on March 17, seemed to be a one-off—a tour guide who apparently caught it from foreign visitors. Within weeks, however, Carlos Calampa saw patients overflowing into the corridors of the Loreto Regional Hospital in Iquitos, where he was director. More than 500 tanks of oxygen a day were needed, but the hospital's poorly maintained oxygen plant could provide only a fraction. Private providers raised prices from about US$150 a tank to nearly $1000, out of reach for most people in Iquitos, a city of 500 000 people and capital of the Loreto region. Iquitos is not linked to the rest of Peru by road and flights were grounded as part of a nationwide lockdown from March 16, so obtaining supplies was difficult. Calampa's hospital and others in the city lacked sufficient protective equipment. Of the 33 doctors who have died of COVID-19 in Peru, 17 worked in Loreto. Peru reported its first COVID-19 case on March 6, and officially reported almost 124 000 cases and more than 3600 deaths on May 25. In mid-May, however, Loreto's official death toll was only 83, despite grim reports of the collapse of Iquitos' health system and of people dying at home. Then Calampa—who had just been named regional health director—and Luis Espinoza, an infectious disease specialist at the hospital, released a chart showing that the number of deaths as of May 13 was closer to 800. That figure included patients with COVID-19 who died in the regional hospital, people who died at home with COVID-19 symptoms, whether or not they were diagnosed, and a partial count of patients who died at other health centres in Iquitos, Espinoza said. His figure included suspected cases, which the official Health Ministry count does not. With a shortage of test kits, it has been impossible to test everyone who is symptomatic, much less those who died before they could be tested, Calampa said. By May 25, the Health Ministry's official death count for Loreto had risen to 280 confirmed deaths, although the regional health office lists more than 1000, including suspected cases. Both the ministry's official count and the region's figures probably omit some people who died at home from COVID-19 or other diseases, possibly complicated by the coronavirus, Calampa said. Many of those people lived in the city's shanty towns. One reason for the lag in the official count was a data-entry backlog at the hospital, where most of the epidemiology staff were off sick. Sharing data is further complicated by Peru's fragmented state health system, which includes public hospitals, a social security system, and hospitals for the police and military, all keeping separate records, some of them manually. But even the updated case count could be inaccurate, experts say. Peruvian officials point to the more than 840 000 COVID-19 tests administered nationwide, but only about 15% have been PCR tests that detect active infection. The rest have been antibody tests, which indicate that a person has been infected at an unspecified time. Of the nearly 124 000 confirmed cases reported as of May 25, only 27% had been detected by PCR; the rest were positive results from antibody tests. “It is very misleading and confusing to combine the results of both of those tests...because they're telling you very different things” said William Moss, executive director of the International Vaccine Access Center at Johns Hopkins University (Baltimore, MD, USA). Eduardo Gotuzzo, a member of the Peruvian Health Ministry COVID-19 advisory committee, said PCR test kits have not been available on the international market. Peru also has little laboratory capacity for processing PCR tests. Peru's situation could be further complicated in the coming winter months, when influenza and pneumonia cases generally rise, said Gabriel Carrasco, an associate researcher at Cayetano Heredia National University in Lima. If people with COVID-19-like symptoms are automatically referred to hospitals treating patients with COVID-19, “it could further congest a system that is already operating at its limits”, he said. By May 25, COVID-19 cases and deaths had dropped in Iquitos but were rising in remote areas accessible only by river or light plane, Calampa said. He is reinforcing staff and coordinating with the military to deliver medicine, oxygen, and other supplies to health centres on the Marañón, Corrientes, and Tigre rivers, where much of the population is Indigenous. Another target is the shared Peru, Colombia, and Brazil border on the Amazon River. The virus is also spreading in the neighbouring Ucayali region, where as of May 25 there were 3200 cases and 114 confirmed COVID-19 deaths.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                silamud@gmail.com
                Journal
                Int J Health Plann Manage
                Int J Health Plann Manage
                10.1002/(ISSN)1099-1751
                HPM
                The International Journal of Health Planning and Management
                John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
                0749-6753
                1099-1751
                17 February 2021
                : 10.1002/hpm.3135
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Vicerrectorado de Investigación Universidad Privada San Juan Bautista Lima Peru
                [ 2 ] Medecins Sans Frontieres Health Politics Brussels Belgium
                [ 3 ] Universidad San Ignacio de Loyola Lima Peru
                [ 4 ] Universidad Científica del Sur Lima Peru
                [ 5 ] Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia Lima Peru
                [ 6 ] University of Connecticut Mansfield Connecticut USA
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence

                Percy Herrera Añazco, Universidad Privada San Juan Bautista, Av José Antonio Lavalle N° 302, Lima, Peru.

                Email: silamud@ 123456gmail.com

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0282-6634
                Article
                HPM3135
                10.1002/hpm.3135
                8014877
                33595137
                66f046f4-c03c-4cee-8071-39c607c4f437
                © 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

                This article is being made freely available through PubMed Central as part of the COVID-19 public health emergency response. It can be used for unrestricted research re-use and analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source, for the duration of the public health emergency.

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                Figures: 0, Tables: 1, Pages: 4, Words: 1559
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                Letter to the Editor
                Letter to the Editor
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                Economics of health & social care
                Economics of health & social care

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