The widespread and rapid social and economic changes from Covid-19 response might be expected to dramatically improve air quality. However, national monitoring data from the US Environmental Protection Agency for criteria pollutants (PM 2.5, ozone, NO 2, CO, PM 10) provide inconsistent support for that expectation. Specifically, during stay-at-home orders, average PM 2.5 levels were slightly higher (~10% of its multi-year interquartile range [IQR]) than expected; average ozone, NO 2, CO, and PM 10 levels were slightly lower (~30%, ~20%, ~27%, and ~1% of their IQR, respectively) than expected. The timing of peak anomaly, relative to the stay-at-home orders, varied by pollutant (ozone: 2 weeks before; NO 2, CO: 3 weeks after; PM 10: 2 weeks after); but, by 5–6 weeks after stay-at-home orders, the concentration anomalies appear to have ended. For PM 2.5, ozone, CO, and PM 10, no US state had lower-than-expected pollution levels for all weeks during stay-at-home-orders; for NO 2, only Arizona had lower-than-expected levels for all weeks during stay-at-home orders. Our findings show that the enormous changes from the Covid-19 response have not lowered PM 2.5 levels across the US beyond their normal range of variability; for ozone, NO 2, CO, and PM 10 concentrations were lowered but the reduction was modest and transient.
Impacts of stay-at-home orders on air pollution were evaluated using EPA monitoring data from 100s of stations across the US.
During stay-at-home orders, ozone, NO 2, CO and PM 10 were lower and PM 2.5 were higher than expected levels by 1%-30% of their IQR.
Concentration anomalies ended only 5-6 weeks after stay-at-home orders were issued.
Ozone, NO 2, and CO concentrations returned to expected levels and PM 2.5 and PM 10 levels were higher than expected.
Reductions in ozone, NO 2, and CO levels were modest and short-lived. PM 10 levels did not change and PM 2.5 levels increased.