Results of watchful waiting of unruptured intracranial aneurysms in a Western patient population: a single-center cohort

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Abstract

Background

The natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) in Western populations is still debated, especially for those <7 mm. Reporting data of a large single-center cohort managed with watchful waiting is therefore interesting.

Methods

From January 2011 to June 2019, 662 UIAs were followed up by yearly MR angiography. Morphologically stable UIAs were managed conservatively while unstable UIAs were offered treatment. The patients’ clinical and radiological data were analyzed retrospectively.

Results

UIAs were ≤4 mm in 60%, 4.1–7.0 mm in 33%, and >7 mm in 7%. They were located on the anterior circulation in 90% of cases. The mean follow-up duration was 51.32 months for a total of 2831 aneurysm-years. During follow-up, 37 UIAs (5.5%) were treated because of an increase in size, and 8 UIAs were treated because of patient decision. Three aneurysms ruptured during follow-up for an annual risk of rupture of 0.1% (95% CI 0% to 0.24%). No risk factors for rupture were identified. The three ruptured cases made an excellent recovery. During follow-up, annual mortality from unrelated causes was 0.8% (95% CI 0.51% to 1.18%).

Conclusions

This single-center cohort evaluated our watchful waiting policy applied in two-thirds of all incidental UIAs. Morphological change of UIAs during follow-up led to treatment in 5.5% of cases. With such a management paradigm, we found a low rupture rate in these selected UIAs and the mortality was unrelated to aneurysms.

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Most cited references 20

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The natural course of unruptured cerebral aneurysms in a Japanese cohort.

Akira Teramoto, Takeo Nakayama, Takashi Yoshimoto … (2012)

The natural history of unruptured cerebral aneurysms has not been clearly defined. From January 2001 through April 2004, we enrolled patients with newly identified, unruptured cerebral aneurysms in Japan. Information on the rupture of aneurysms, deaths, and the results of periodic follow-up examinations were recorded. We included 5720 patients 20 years of age or older (mean age, 62.5 years; 68% women) who had saccular aneurysms that were 3 mm or more in the largest dimension and who initially presented with no more than a slight disability. Of the 6697 aneurysms studied, 91% were discovered incidentally. Most aneurysms were in the middle cerebral arteries (36%) and the internal carotid arteries (34%). The mean (±SD) size of the aneurysms was 5.7±3.6 mm. During a follow-up period that included 11,660 aneurysm-years, ruptures were documented in 111 patients, with an annual rate of rupture of 0.95% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79 to 1.15). The risk of rupture increased with increasing size of the aneurysm. With aneurysms that were 3 to 4 mm in size as the reference, the hazard ratios for size categories were as follows: 5 to 6 mm, 1.13 (95% CI, 0.58 to 2.22); 7 to 9 mm, 3.35 (95% CI, 1.87 to 6.00); 10 to 24 mm, 9.09 (95% CI, 5.25 to 15.74); and 25 mm or larger, 76.26 (95% CI, 32.76 to 177.54). As compared with aneurysms in the middle cerebral arteries, those in the posterior and anterior communicating arteries were more likely to rupture (hazard ratio, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.12 to 3.21] and 2.02 [95% CI, 1.13 to 3.58], respectively). Aneurysms with a daughter sac (an irregular protrusion of the wall of the aneurysm) were also more likely to rupture (hazard ratio, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.08 to 2.48). This study showed that the natural course of unruptured cerebral aneurysms varies according to the size, location, and shape of the aneurysm. (Funded by the Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare in Japan and others; UCAS Japan UMIN-CTR number, C000000418.).

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Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Guideline for Healthcare Professionals From the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association.

B Gregory Thompson, Robert D. Brown, Sepideh Amin-Hanjani … (2015)

The aim of this updated statement is to provide comprehensive and evidence-based recommendations for management of patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms.