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      Screening for Mental Health Problems: Addressing the Base Rate Fallacy for a Sustainable Screening Program in Integrated Primary Care

      , ,
      Journal of Pediatric Psychology
      Oxford University Press (OUP)

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          Most cited references26

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          10-year research update review: the epidemiology of child and adolescent psychiatric disorders: I. Methods and public health burden.

          To review recent progress in child and adolescent psychiatric epidemiology in the area of prevalence and burden. The literature published in the past decade was reviewed under two headings: methods and findings. Methods for assessing the prevalence and community burden of child and adolescent psychiatric disorders have improved dramatically in the past decade. There are now available a broad range of interviews that generate DSM and ICD diagnoses with good reliability and validity. Clinicians and researchers can choose among interview styles (respondent based, interviewer based, best estimate) and methods of data collection (paper and pencil, computer assisted, interviewer or self-completion) that best meet their needs. Work is also in progress to develop brief screens to identify children in need of more detailed assessment, for use by teachers, pediatricians, and other professionals. The median prevalence estimate of functionally impairing child and adolescent psychiatric disorders is 12%, although the range of estimates is wide. Disorders that often appear first in childhood or adolescence are among those ranked highest in the World Health Organization's estimates of the global burden of disease. There is mounting evidence that many, if not most, lifetime psychiatric disorders will first appear in childhood or adolescence. Methods are now available to monitor youths and to make early intervention feasible.
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            The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments

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              Antecedent probability and the efficiency of psychometric signs, patterns, or cutting scores.

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal of Pediatric Psychology
                J. Pediatr. Psychol.
                Oxford University Press (OUP)
                0146-8693
                1465-735X
                October 12 2016
                November 2016
                November 2016
                June 11 2016
                : 41
                : 10
                : 1081-1090
                Article
                10.1093/jpepsy/jsw048
                27289070
                7f8640ab-92b7-461b-99d4-8ee0e2ed05c5
                © 2016
                History

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