For Publishers
DiscoveryMetadataPeer reviewHostingPublishing
For Researchers
JoinPublishReviewCollect
Register
Blog
About
Search
Advanced search
My ScienceOpen
Search
For Publishers
For Researchers
Blog
About
6
views
Article has an altmetric score of 11
16
references
 Top references
cited by
39
    
0 reviews
 Review
0
comments
 Comment
0
recommends
+1 Recommend
1 collections
    0
    shares
      121
      similar
       All similar
      • Record: found
      • Abstract: found
      • Article: found
      Is Open Access

      Understanding dynamics of pandemics

      research-article

      Read this article at

      ScienceOpenPublisherPMC
      Bookmark
          There is no author summary for this article yet. Authors can add summaries to their articles on ScienceOpen to make them more accessible to a non-specialist audience.

          Abstract

          Along the centuries, novel strain of virus such as influenza produces pandemics which increase illness, death and disruption in the countries. Spanish flu in 1918, Asian flu in 1957, Hong Kong flu in 1968 and swine flu in 2009 were known pandemic which had various characteristics in terms of morbidity and mortality. A current pandemic is caused by novel corona virus originated from China. COVID-19 pandemic is very similar to Spanish, Hong Kong, Asian and swine influenza pandemics in terms of spreading to world by the mobilized people. Burden of pandemic is considered in terms of disease transmissibility and the growth rate of epidemic and duration of pandemic can be calculated by transmissibility characteristic. The case definition, finding out cases and first case cluster, proper treatment, sufficient stockpiles of medicine and population cooperation with the containment strategy should be considered for reduction of burden of pandemic.

          Related collections

          Most cited references16

          • Record: found
          • Abstract: found
          • Article: found

          Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China: Summary of a Report of 72 314 Cases From the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention

          Zunyou Wu, Jennifer M. McGoogan (2020)
          Article 0 comments Cited 8711 times – based on 0 reviews     Review now
          Article has an altmetric score of 10169
            Bookmark
            • Record: found
            • Abstract: found
            • Article: not found

            Updating the accounts: global mortality of the 1918-1920 "Spanish" influenza pandemic.

            Juergen Mueller, Justin S. Hogg (2001)
            The influenza pandemic of 1918-20 is recognized as having generally taken place in three waves, starting in the northern spring and summer of 1918. This pattern of three waves, however, was not universal: in some locations influenza seems to have persisted into or returned in 1920. The recorded statistics of influenza morbidity and mortality are likely to be a significant understatement. Limitations of these data can include nonregistration, missing records, misdiagnosis, and nonmedical certification, and may also vary greatly between locations. Further research has seen the consistent upward revision of the estimated global mortality of the pandemic, which a 1920s calculation put in the vicinity of 21.5 million. A 1991 paper revised the mortality as being in the range 24.7-39.3 million. This paper suggests that it was of the order of 50 million. However, it must be acknowledged that even this vast figure may be substantially lower than the real toll, perhaps as much as 100 percent understated.
            Article 0 comments Cited 303 times – based on 0 reviews     Review now
            Article has an altmetric score of 999
              Bookmark
              • Record: found
              • Abstract: found
              • Article: not found

              Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States.

              Simon Cauchemez, Christl Donnelly, Carrie Reed … (2010)
              As of June 11, 2009, a total of 17,855 probable or confirmed cases of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) had been reported in the United States. Risk factors for transmission remain largely uncharacterized. We characterize the risk factors and describe the transmission of the virus within households. Probable and confirmed cases of infection with the 2009 H1N1 virus in the United States were reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention with the use of a standardized case form. We investigated transmission of infection in 216 households--including 216 index patients and their 600 household contacts--in which the index patient was the first case patient and complete information on symptoms and age was available for all household members. An acute respiratory illness developed in 78 of 600 household contacts (13%). In 156 households (72% of the 216 households), an acute respiratory illness developed in none of the household contacts; in 46 households (21%), illness developed in one contact; and in 14 households (6%), illness developed in more than one contact. The proportion of household contacts in whom acute respiratory illness developed decreased with the size of the household, from 28% in two-member households to 9% in six-member households. Household contacts 18 years of age or younger were twice as susceptible as those 19 to 50 years of age (relative susceptibility, 1.96; Bayesian 95% credible interval, 1.05 to 3.78; P=0.005), and household contacts older than 50 years of age were less susceptible than those who were 19 to 50 years of age (relative susceptibility, 0.17; 95% credible interval, 0.02 to 0.92; P=0.03). Infectivity did not vary with age. The mean time between the onset of symptoms in a case patient and the onset of symptoms in the household contacts infected by that patient was 2.6 days (95% credible interval, 2.2 to 3.5). The transmissibility of the 2009 H1N1 influenza virus in households is lower than that seen in past pandemics. Most transmissions occur soon before or after the onset of symptoms in a case patient. 2009 Massachusetts Medical Society
              Article 0 comments Cited 223 times – based on 0 reviews     Review now
              Article has an altmetric score of 22
                Bookmark
                All references

                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal ID (nlm-ta): Turk J Med Sci
                Journal ID (iso-abbrev): Turk J Med Sci
                Title: Turkish Journal of Medical Sciences
                Publisher: The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey
                ISSN (Print): 1300-0144
                ISSN (Electronic): 1303-6165
                Publication date Collection: 2020
                Publication date (Electronic): 21 April 2020
                Volume: 50
                Issue: 3
                Pages: 515-519
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Hacettepe University, Ankara Turkey
                [2 ] Department of Infectious Diseases, General Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Ankara Turkey
                Author notes
                * To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: ggozel@ 123456yahoo.com

                CONFLICT OF INTEREST:

                none declared

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4705-413X
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5187-7388
                Article
                DOI: 10.3906/sag-2004-133
                PMC ID: 7195986
                PubMed ID: 32299204
                SO-VID: 7d7315e5-5360-4bf1-ab2e-531a4afb9f07
                Copyright © Copyright © 2019 The Author(s)
                License:

                This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.

                History
                Categories
                Subject: Article

                Keywords: pandemic, new coronavirus infection, covid-19
                Data availability:
                Keywords: pandemic, new coronavirus infection, covid-19

                Comments

                Comment on this article

                scite_
                0
                0
                0
                0
                Smart Citations
                0
                0
                0
                0
                Citing PublicationsSupportingMentioningContrasting
                View Citations

                See how this article has been cited at scite.ai

                scite shows how a scientific paper has been cited by providing the context of the citation, a classification describing whether it supports, mentions, or contrasts the cited claim, and a label indicating in which section the citation was made.

                Similar content121

                See all similar

                Cited by38

                See all cited by

                Most referenced authors335

                See all reference authors