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      Progress Toward Rubella and Congenital Rubella Syndrome Control and Elimination — Worldwide, 2012–2020

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          Rubella virus is a leading cause of vaccine-preventable birth defects and can cause epidemics. Although rubella virus infection usually produces a mild febrile rash illness in children and adults, infection during pregnancy, especially during the first trimester, can result in miscarriage, fetal death, stillbirth, or an infant born with a constellation of birth defects known as congenital rubella syndrome (CRS). A single dose of rubella-containing vaccine (RCV) can provide lifelong protection against rubella ( 1 ). The Global Vaccine Action Plan 2011–2020 (GVAP) included a target to achieve elimination of rubella in at least five of the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions* by 2020 ( 2 ), and WHO recommends capitalizing on the accelerated measles elimination activities as an opportunity to introduce RCV ( 1 ). This report updates a previous report ( 3 ) and summarizes global progress toward control and elimination of rubella and CRS from 2012, when accelerated rubella control activities were initiated, through 2020. Among 194 WHO Member States, the number with RCV in their immunization schedules has increased from 132 (68%) in 2012 to 173 (89%) in 2020; 70% of the world’s infants were vaccinated against rubella in 2020. Reported rubella cases declined by 48%, from 94,277 in 2012 to 49,136 in 2019, and decreased further to 10,194 in 2020. Rubella elimination has been verified in 93 (48%) of 194 countries including the entire Region of the Americas (AMR). To increase the equity of protection and make further progress to eliminate rubella, it is important that the 21 countries that have not yet done so should introduce RCV. Likewise, countries that have introduced RCV can achieve and maintain rubella elimination with high vaccination coverage and surveillance for rubella and CRS. Four of six WHO regions have established rubella elimination goals; the two WHO regions that have not yet established an elimination goal (the African [AFR] and Eastern Mediterranean [EMR] regions) have expressed a commitment to rubella elimination and should consider establishing a goal. Immunization Activities The preferred strategy for introducing RCV into national immunization programs is to conduct an initial vaccination campaign targeting the majority of persons who might not have been naturally exposed to rubella, usually children and adolescents aged ≤14 years ( 1 ), a strategy that has been used to eliminate rubella and CRS in AMR ( 4 ). WHO recommends that countries that introduce RCV achieve and maintain a minimum coverage of at least 80% with at least 1 dose of RCV delivered through routine services or campaigns ( 1 ). Each year, countries report immunization data to WHO and UNICEF using the Joint Reporting Form, which includes information on immunization schedules and the number of vaccine doses administered through routine immunization services and vaccination campaigns. † Because RCV first became available in high-income countries, the World Bank income groupings for 2020 were used to evaluate national income-related disparities. § In 2020, RCV had been introduced in 173 (89%) of 194 countries, a 31% increase compared with the 132 (68%) countries that offered RCV in 2012 (Figure 1). All countries in AMR, the European Region (EUR), the South-East Asia Region (SEAR), and the Western Pacific Region (WPR), have introduced RCV. In the two remaining regions, RCV has been introduced in 31 (66%) of 47 countries in AFR, and 16 (76%) of 21 countries in EMR (Table). FIGURE 1 Percentage of countries that have introduced rubella-containing vaccine in the routine immunization schedule and the percentage with verified rubella elimination, by year — worldwide, 2000–2020 Abbreviation: RCV = rubella-containing vaccine. The figure is a histogram that shows the percentage of countries that have introduced rubella-containing vaccine in the routine immunization schedule and the percentage with verified rubella elimination, by year, worldwide, during 2000–2020. TABLE Global progress toward control and elimination of rubella and congenital rubella syndrome, by World Health Organization region — worldwide, 2012, 2019, and 2020 Characteristic WHO region (no. of countries) AFR (47) AMR (35) EMR (21) EUR (53) SEAR (11) WPR (27) Worldwide (194) Regional rubella or CRS target None Elimination None Elimination Elimination Elimination None Countries verified eliminated, no. (%)* 2012 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2019 NA 35 (100) 3 (14) 45 (85) N/A 4 (15) 87 (45) 2020 NA 35 (100) 3 (14) 49 (92) 2 (18) 4 (15) 93 (48) Countries with RCV in schedule, no. (%) 2012 3 (6) 35 (100) 14 (67) 53 (100) 5 (45) 22 (81) 132 (68) 2019 31 (66) 35 (100) 16 (76) 53 (100) 11 (100) 27 (100) 173 (89) 2020 31 (66) 35 (100) 16 (76) 53 (100) 11 (100) 27 (100) 173 (89) Regional rubella vaccination coverage (%)† 2012 0 94 38 95 5 86 40 2019 33 87 45 96 93 95 71 2020 36 85 45 94 87 95 70 Countries reporting rubella cases, no. (%) 2012 41 (87) 35 (100) 18 (86) 47 (89) 11 (100) 23 (85) 175 (90) 2019 45 (96) 34 (97) 19 (90) 49 (93) 10 (91) 22 (81) 179 (92) 2020 38 (81) 30 (86) 13 (62) 33 (62) 8 (73) 13 (48) 135 (70) Reported rubella cases, no. 2012 10,850 15 1,681 30,579 6,877 44,275 94,277 2019 6,027 25 2,603 671 4,537 35,273 49,136 2020 4,883 7 732 92 1,514 2,966 10,194 Countries reporting CRS cases, no. (%) 2012 20 (43) 35 (100) 9 (43) 43 (81) 6 (55) 17 (63) 130 (67) 2019 18 (38) 32 (91) 13 (62) 42 (79) 7 (64) 19 (70) 131 (68) 2020 13 (28) 32 (91) 10 (48) 38 (72) 8 (73) 11 (41) 112 (58) Reported CRS cases, no. 2012 69 3 20 62 14 134 302 2019 9 0 26 8 358 22 423 2020 28 2 309 2 248 14 603 Abbreviations: AFR = African Region; AMR = Region of the Americas; CRS = congenital rubella syndrome; EMR = Eastern Mediterranean Region; EUR = European Region; NA = not available; RCV = rubella-containing vaccine; SEAR = South-East Asia Region; WHO = World Health Organization; WPR = Western Pacific Region. * Established regional verification commissions verify achievement of elimination in five regions (AMR, EMR, EUR, SEAR, and WPR). 
 † Coverage estimates for RCVs are determined by WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage. The introduction of RCV within income groups has increased over time (Figure 2). In 2012, RCV had been introduced in all 59 high-income countries, 91% of 54 upper middle-income countries, and 43% of 54 lower middle-income countries, but only 4% of 28 low-income countries. By 2020, RCV introduction within income groups increased to 94% of upper middle-income countries, 93% of lower middle-income countries, and 48% of low-income countries. FIGURE 2 Percentage of countries that have introduced rubella-containing vaccine in the routine schedule, by World Bank income group* and year — worldwide, 2000–2020† * Gross National Income per capita in U.S. dollars in 2020: high income >$12,695; upper middle income = $4,096–$12,695; lower middle income = $1,046–$4,095; and low income ≤$1,045. https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups † In 2020, there were 59 high-income, 54 upper middle-income, 54 lower middle-income, and 27 low-income countries. The figure is a line graph that shows the percentage of countries that have introduced rubella-containing vaccine in the routine schedule, by World Bank income group and year, worldwide, during 2000–2020. According to the WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage, global infant RCV coverage estimates increased from 40% in 2012 to 70% in 2020, with wide regional variation (range = 36%–95%) (Table). In 2020, rubella vaccination coverage was 26% in low-income counties, 76% in lower middle-income countries and upper middle-income countries combined, and 93% in high-income countries. Surveillance Activities and Reported Rubella and CRS Incidence Rubella and CRS surveillance data are reported through the Joint Reporting Form using standard case definitions ( 5 ). Rubella and CRS surveillance data complement each other to provide a more complete picture of program progress. Rubella surveillance relies on the measles surveillance system to detect cases because both illnesses cause fever and rash; however, rubella is typically milder than measles, resulting in a lower percentage of persons with rubella seeking health care and a lower percentage of cases being identified. CRS cases are detected through separate surveillance systems, often using a few sentinel sites, which might not be nationally representative ( 6 ). In 2020, all 194 countries conducted rubella surveillance, and 193 (99%) had access to standardized quality-controlled laboratory testing through the WHO Global Measles and Rubella Laboratory Network. ¶ The number of countries reporting rubella cases (including the reporting of zero cases) increased from 175 (90%) in 2012 to 179 (92%) in 2019, but then decreased to 135 (70%) in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Similarly, the number of countries reporting CRS cases increased from 130 (67%) in 2012 to 131 (68%) in 2019, but then decreased to 112 (58%) in 2020. Compared with the 94,277 rubella cases reported in 2012, case counts declined by 48%, to 49,136 in 2019, with a further decrease to 10,194 in 2020. Reported CRS cases increased from 302 in 2012 to 603 in 2020, primarily because of initiation of CRS surveillance and reporting in several populous countries (Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, and Pakistan) since 2012 and changes in reporting in Pakistan in 2020** (Table). Between 2018 and 2021, 4,588 rubella sequences from 25 countries were reported to the global Rubella Virus Nucleotide Surveillance database †† ; 3,205 (70%) were genotype 1E and 1,382 (30%) were genotype 2B. However, 98% of the sequences were from China and Japan, highlighting the need to enhance global virologic surveillance for rubella. Progress Toward Elimination Progress toward regional goals is measured by the number of countries introducing RCV and the number verified as having eliminated rubella and CRS. The interruption of endemic rubella virus transmission is defined as at least 12 months without ongoing local transmission. When interruption of transmission is sustained for 36 months, an independent regional commission verifies countries as having eliminated rubella ( 7 ). Data on verification of elimination are available in regional verification commission reports. §§ , ¶¶ , *** , ††† During 2019, SEAR advanced its rubella control goal to an elimination goal, joining AMR, EUR, and WPR as regions with rubella and CRS regional elimination goals. Although AFR and EMR have yet to set elimination goals, the regions have expressed a commitment to achieving elimination ( 8 ). The AMR commission verified that the entire region had eliminated rubella and CRS in 2015; verification commissions in EMR, EUR, SEAR, and WPR assess rubella elimination status on a country-by-country basis. The elimination of endemic rubella has been verified in 93 countries: 35 (100%) in AMR, three (14%) of 21 in EMR, 49 (92%) of 53 in EUR, two (18%) of 11 in SEAR, and four (15%) of 27 in WPR. Discussion Progress toward rubella elimination has accelerated since 2012, and in 2020, rubella elimination had been verified in approximately one half of the countries in the world. The considerable progress made toward elimination has been driven by the establishment of regional WHO rubella elimination goals, an increase in commitment to elimination by countries, and the availability of financial support from global partners for RCV introduction. Progress is reflected in an increase in the number of countries introducing RCV into national childhood immunization schedules and the coverage achieved. From 2012 to 2020, the number of countries that have introduced RCV increased from 132 to 173, and global coverage increased from 40% to 70%. Although vaccine availability increased, as more low-income countries and lower middle-income countries have introduced RCV, coverage estimates continue to reflect barriers to access in lower-income groups; however, coverage declined only one percentage point from 2019 to 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Progress has also been reflected in the decline in reported rubella cases, including a 48% decrease during 2012–2019, with a further decrease in 2020. The extent to which rubella transmission declined in 2020 is unclear, however, because fewer reported cases might reflect the impact of COVID-19 mitigation measures or an underreporting of cases in 2020 because of reductions in health care–seeking behavior from patients, health facility availability and reporting, or overall pandemic-related health system disruptions ( 9 ). The increase in the number of reported CRS cases during 2012–2020 reflects improved surveillance in several populous countries that initiated CRS surveillance after 2012, rather than an increase in rubella among susceptible pregnant women and CRS in their infants. The Measles and Rubella Strategic Framework 2021–2030 outlines potential actions to improve surveillance, including strengthening comprehensive surveillance supported by laboratory networks; promoting training of health workers in early detection, notification and investigation of cases using standardized definitions, tools, and templates for collecting data; and supplementing routine data collection with serosurveys to identify immunity gaps ( 8 ). In countries that have not yet introduced RCV, providing policy makers with data on the impact of the investment to introduce RCV can help them determine whether their country should introduce RCV. The decision-making process benefits from 1) evaluation of the impact of RCV introduction on CRS, 2) consideration of the opportunities offered by accelerated measles elimination activities, and 3) evaluation of the long-term sustainability of financing for RCV along with other vaccines ( 3 ). Countries that had initially introduced RCV in selected populations (usually females only) to control CRS or that introduced RCV without a wide age-range campaign, should identify and address existing immunity gaps to achieve elimination. The Immunization Agenda 2030, the global immunization strategy for 2021–2030, includes rubella in its call for five regions to achieve elimination targets ( 10 ). Because all six WHO Regions have either established or expressed a commitment to rubella elimination, recommended strategic priorities include improving the collection and use of surveillance data, increasing community demand for and coverage with RCVs, and ensuring the availability of vaccine supplies and laboratory reagents ( 8 ). Because rubella and measles vaccines are administered as a combined vaccine and the surveillance systems are intricately connected, the progress toward rubella elimination might be a motivating marker of progress toward measles elimination. The findings in this report are subject to at least two limitations. First, the accuracy and reliability of surveillance and immunization data remain a challenge, limiting the ability to identify immunity gaps, to focus immunization-strengthening activities, and to demonstrate the interruption of rubella virus transmission. Second, the decrease in the number of countries reporting and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the quality of surveillance data limit the ability to monitor progress in 2020. Considerable progress has been made in control and elimination of rubella and CRS since 2012. By 2020, only 21 (11%) countries have yet to introduce RCV into the immunization schedule, global RCV coverage has increased by 30%, and one region has eliminated rubella and a second region is close. The commitment to elimination by all regions indicates that global rubella elimination is in sight. As the remaining countries introduce RCVs, surveillance and coverage data will become crucial to identifying and closing immunity gaps and maintaining high routine coverage, with periodic campaigns conducted as necessary to achieve and maintain elimination status. Summary What is already known about this topic? Congenital rubella syndrome, a devastating constellation of birth defects, is caused by rubella infection during pregnancy. Since 2012, rubella-containing vaccine (RCV) introduction efforts have accelerated worldwide, and a 2020 global policy update recommended that introduction efforts use a strategy that leads to elimination. What is added by this report? By 2020, 173 (89%) of 194 countries had introduced RCVs, and 93 (48%) had been verified as having eliminated rubella transmission. Vaccination introduction equity improved substantially among lower income countries, but vaccination coverage remains a concern. What are the implications for public health practice? To further progress, it is important the 21 remaining countries introduce rubella vaccine and that all countries enhance vaccination coverage and surveillance to achieve and maintain elimination.

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          Progress Toward Regional Measles Elimination — Worldwide, 2000–2020

          In 2012, the World Health Assembly endorsed the Global Vaccine Action Plan,* with the objective of eliminating measles † in five of the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions by 2020 ( 1 ). The Immunization Agenda 2021–2030 (IA2030) § uses measles incidence as an indicator of the strength of immunization systems. The Measles-Rubella Strategic Framework 2021–2030 ¶ and the Measles Outbreaks Strategic Response Plan 2021–2023** are aligned with the IA2030 and highlight robust measles surveillance systems to document immunity gaps, identify root causes of undervaccination, and develop locally tailored solutions to ensure administration of 2 doses of measles-containing vaccine (MCV) to all children. This report describes progress toward World Health Assembly milestones and measles elimination objectives during 2000–2020 and updates a previous report ( 2 ). During 2000–2010, estimated MCV first dose (MCV1) coverage increased globally from 72% to 84%, peaked at 86% in 2019, but declined to 84% in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. All countries conducted measles surveillance, although fewer than one third achieved the sensitivity indicator target of ≥2 discarded †† cases per 100,000 population in 2020. Annual reported measles incidence decreased 88% during 2000–2016, from 145 to 18 cases per 1 million population, rebounded to 120 in 2019, before falling to 22 in 2020. During 2000–2020, the annual number of estimated measles deaths decreased 94%, from 1,072,800 to 60,700, averting an estimated 31.7 million measles deaths. To achieve regional measles elimination targets, enhanced efforts are needed to reach all children with 2 MCV doses, implement robust surveillance, and identify and close immunity gaps. Immunization Activities WHO and UNICEF estimate immunization coverage using data from administrative records (calculated by dividing the number of vaccine doses administered by the estimated target population, reported annually), country estimates, and vaccination coverage surveys to estimate MCV1 and second dose MCV (MCV2) coverage through routine immunization (i.e., not mass campaigns). §§ During 2000–2010, estimated MCV1 coverage worldwide increased from 72% to 84%. However, coverage stagnated at 84%–85% since 2010, peaked at 86% in 2019, and declined to 84% in 2020. Regional variation exists; however, five of the six WHO regions reported a decline in MCV1 coverage between 2019 and 2020 (Table 1). TABLE 1 Estimates of coverage with the first and second doses of measles-containing vaccine administered through routine immunization services, reported measles cases, and incidence, by World Health Organization region — worldwide, 2000, 2010, 2016, 2019, and 2020 WHO region/Year (no. of countries in region) % No. of reported measles cases§ (% of total cases) Measles incidence per 1 million population§,¶ MCV1* coverage Countries with ≥90% MCV1 coverage† MCV2* coverage Reporting countries with <5 measles cases per 1 million population§ African 2000 (46) 53 9 5 8 520,102 (60.9) 842 2010 (46) 73 37 4 30 199,174 (57.9) 235 2016 (47) 69 34 22 51 36,269 (27.4) 37 2019 (47) 70 30 33 34 618,595 (70.9) 567 2020 (47) 68 15 36 32 115,364 (77.0) 108 Americas 2000 (35) 93 63 65 89 1,754 (0.2) 2 2010 (35) 93 74 67 100 247 (0.1) 0.3 2016 (35) 92 66 80 100 97 (0.1) 0.1 2019 (35) 87 69 72 91 21,971 (2.5) 32 2020 (35) 85 37 73 100 1,548 (1.0) 2 Eastern Mediterranean 2000 (21) 71 57 28 17 38,592 (4.5) 90 2010 (21) 77 62 52 40 10,072 (2.9) 17 2016 (21) 82 57 74 55 6,275 (4.7) 10 2019 (21) 84 52 75 42 18,458 (2.1) 27 2020 (21) 83 33 76 64 6,122 (4.1) 10 European 2000 (52) 91 62 48 45 37,421 (4.4) 50 2010 (53) 93 83 80 69 30,625 (8.9) 34 2016 (53) 93 81 88 82 4,440 (3.4) 5 2019 (53) 96 85 91 29 106,130 (12.2) 116 2020 (53) 94 57 91 80 10,772 (7.2) 17 South-East Asia 2000 (10) 63 30 3 0 78,558 (9.2) 51 2010 (11) 83 45 15 36 54,228 (15.8) 30 2016 (11) 89 64 75 27 27,530 (20.8) 14 2019 (11) 94 73 83 30 29,389 (3.4) 15 2020 (11) 88 55 78 56 9,389 (6.3) 5 Western Pacific 2000 (27) 85 48 2 30 177,052 (20.7) 104 2010 (27) 96 63 87 68 49,460 (14.4) 27 2016 (27) 96 63 93 68 57,879 (43.7) 31 2019 (27) 95 67 93 46 78,479 (9.0) 41 2020 (27) 95 44 94 60 6,601 (4.4) 4 Total 2000 (191) 72 45 18 38 853,479 (100) 145 2010 (193) 84 63 42 60 343,806 (100) 50 2016 (194) 85 61 67 70 132,490 (100) 18 2019 (194) 86 62 71 45 873,022 (100) 120 2020 (194) 84 39 70 65 149,796 (100) 22 Abbreviations: MCV1 = first dose of measles-containing vaccine; MCV2 = second dose of measles-containing vaccine; WHO = World Health Organization. * https://www.who.int/teams/immunization-vaccines-and-biologicals/immunization-analysis-and-insights/global-monitoring/immunization-coverage/who-unicef-estimates-of-national-immunization-coverage; data accessed July 6, 2021. † Denominator is the number of WHO member states. § https://immunizationdata.who.int/pages/incidence/measles.html?GROUP%20=%20Countries&YEAR%20=; data accessed July 6, 2021. Only those countries that reported data are in the numerator and denominator. ¶ Population data from United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, 2020. Any country not reporting measles cases for that year was removed from both the numerator and denominator in calculating incidence. Among 194 WHO member states, 75 (39%) achieved ≥90% MCV1 coverage in 2020, a 13% decrease from 86 (45%) countries in 2000, and a 37% decrease from 119 (61%) countries in 2019. In 2020, 22.3 million infants did not receive MCV1 through routine immunization services, an increase of three million (16%) from 2019. The 10 countries with the highest numbers of infants not receiving MCV1 were Nigeria (3.3 million), India (2.6 million), the Democratic Republic of the Congo (1.5 million), Ethiopia (1.4 million), Indonesia (1.1 million), Pakistan (1.0 million), Angola (0.7 million), the Philippines (0.6 million), Brazil (0.6 million), and Afghanistan (0.4 million); accounting for nearly two thirds (59%) of the global total. Estimated global MCV2 coverage nearly quadrupled from 18% in 2000 to 71% in 2019, then declined to 70% in 2020. The number of countries offering MCV2 increased 88%, from 95 (50%) in 2000 to 179 (92%) in 2020. Two countries (Madagascar and Nigeria) introduced MCV2 in 2020. Approximately 36 million persons received MCV during supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) ¶¶ in 24 countries in 2020. An additional two million persons received MCV during measles outbreak response activities. Twenty-four SIAs in 23 countries planned for 2020 were postponed because of the COVID-19 pandemic, affecting ≥93 million persons (LL Ho, WHO, personal communication, November 2021). Reported Measles Incidence and Surveillance Performance In 2020, all 194 countries conducted measles surveillance, and 193*** (99%) had access to standardized quality-controlled laboratory testing through the WHO Global Measles and Rubella Laboratory Network (GMRLN). ††† In spite of this access, surveillance worsened in 2020: GMRLN received 122,517 specimens for measles testing in 2020, the lowest number since 2010, and only 46 (32%) of 144 countries that reported discarded cases achieved the sensitivity indicator target of two or more discarded cases per 100,000 population, compared with 81 (52%) of 157 countries in 2019. Countries report the number of incident measles cases §§§ to WHO and UNICEF annually, using the Joint Reporting Form. ¶¶¶ During 2000–2016, the number of reported measles cases decreased 84%, from 853,479 (2000) to 132,490 (2016). From 2000 to 2016, annual measles incidence decreased 88%, from 145 cases per million (2000) to 18 (2016), then increased 567% to 120 per million (2019) before decreasing 82% to 22 (2020) (Table 1). In 2020, 26 large and disruptive outbreaks (≥20 cases per million) were reported across five WHO regions (Supplementary Table, https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/111172); 17 (65%) of these outbreaks occurred in countries in the African Region (AFR). Genotypes of viruses isolated from persons with measles were reported by 47 (46%) of 102 countries reporting at least one measles case in 2020, compared with 88 (62%) of 141 countries in 2019. The number of genotypes detected per year decreased from 13 in 2002, to three in 2020, a sign of progress toward elimination. Among 1,268 reported sequences in 2020, 947 (75%) were D8, 307 (24%) were B3, and 14 (1%) were D4. Measles Case and Mortality Estimates A previously described model for estimating measles cases and deaths ( 3 ) was updated with annual vaccination coverage data, case data, and United Nations population estimates for all countries during 2000–2020. The model was revised ( 4 , 5 ) to incorporate alternative assumptions of correlation between routine MCV doses and SIAs and updated case-fatality ratios, enabling derivation of new global disease and mortality estimates. On the basis of updated annual data and model revisions, the estimated number of measles cases decreased 79%, from 36,763,000 in 2000 to 7,549,000 in 2020; estimated annual measles deaths decreased 94%, from 1,072,800 to 60,700 (Table 2). During 2000–2020, compared with no measles vaccination, measles vaccination prevented an estimated 31.7 million deaths globally (Figure). TABLE 2 Estimated number of measles cases and deaths,* by World Health Organization region — worldwide, 2000 and 2020 WHO region/Year (no. of countries in region) Estimated no. of measles cases (95% CI) Estimated no. of measles deaths (95% CI) Estimated % measles mortality reduction, 2000–2020 Cumulative no. of measles deaths averted by vaccination, 2000–2020 African 2000 (46) 11,416,700 (7,212,400–16,519,900) 647,800 (429,500–919,300) 95 16,129,100 2020 (47) 1,944,700 (1,227,300–3,482,200) 33,400 (22,300–56,000) Americas 2000 (35) 8,800 (4,400–35,000) NA† NA 105,200 2020 (35) 43,700 (21,800–174,700) NA† Eastern Mediterranean 2000 (21) 4,641,600 (2,120,400–10,419,900) 156,400 (83,400–317,500) 87 3,274,300 2020 (21) 2,043,600 (1,394,300–2,944,600) 20,400 (14,400–28,700) European 2000 (52) 813,500 (592,400–1,296,000) 4,100 (3,000–5,400) 97 103,400 2020 (53) 179,600 (70,800–392,500) 100 (0–200) South-East Asia 2000 (10) 13,856,500 (10,730,400–17,563,500) 231,400 (190,500–282,000) 98 10,487,700 2020 (11) 2,552,600 (1,509,300–3,902,300) 5,600 (3,800–8,000) Western Pacific 2000 (27) 6,026,000 (4,955,600–7,899,400) 33,100 (26,700–38,200) 96 1,597,700 2020 (27) 784,900 (153,700–2,173,500) 1,200 (300–2,800) Total 2000 (191) 36,763,000 (25,615,600–53,733,800) 1,072,800 (733,100–1,562,300) 94 31,697,500 2020 (194) 7,549,000 (4,377,300–13,069,700) 60,700 (40,800–95,800) Abbreviations: NA = not applicable; WHO = World Health Organization. * The measles mortality model used to generate estimated measles cases and deaths is rerun each year using the new and revised annual WHO/UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage data, as well as updated surveillance data. In addition, in 2021, the model was revised with respect to correlations in coverage among different measles-containing vaccine delivery methods; therefore, the estimated number of cases and mortality estimates in this report differ from previous reports. † Estimated measles mortality was too low to allow reliable measurement of mortality reduction. FIGURE Estimated number of annual measles deaths with vaccination and without vaccination* — worldwide, 2000–2020 * Deaths prevented by vaccination are estimated by the area between estimated deaths with vaccination and without vaccination (total of 31.7 million deaths prevented during 2000–2020). Vertical bars represent upper and lower 95% CIs around the point estimate. This figure is a multiple line graph that shows the estimated number of annual measles deaths with vaccination and without vaccination, worldwide, during 2000–2020. Regional Verification of Measles Elimination By the end of 2020, 81 (42%) countries had been verified by independent regional commissions as having sustained measles elimination, but no new countries had achieved elimination. No WHO region had achieved and sustained elimination, and no AFR country has yet been verified to have eliminated measles. The WHO Region of the Americas achieved verification of measles elimination in 2016; however, endemic measles transmission was reestablished in Venezuela (2016) and Brazil (2018). Since 2016, endemic transmission has been reestablished in nine other countries that had previously eliminated measles (Albania, Cambodia, Czechia, Germany, Lithuania, Mongolia, Slovakia, the United Kingdom, and Uzbekistan). Discussion A substantial decrease in measles incidence and associated mortality occurred worldwide during 2000–2016, followed by a global resurgence during 2017–2019, then an apparent decline in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite this decline, millions more children were susceptible to measles at the end of 2020 than in 2019. MCV1 coverage decreased globally and in all but one region in 2020; 22.3 million children did not receive MCV1 through routine immunization, and at least 93 million persons did not receive MCV because of COVID-19–related postponement of measles SIAs. Measles surveillance also deteriorated in 2020: the number of specimens submitted was the lowest in over a decade, many countries did not report, and few countries (32%) achieved the measles surveillance sensitivity indicator. Increased population susceptibility and suboptimal measles surveillance portend an immediate elevated risk for measles transmission and outbreaks, threatening the already fragile progress toward regional elimination goals. The extent to which measles transmission declined in 2020 is unclear. Fewer reported cases might reflect lower transmission secondary to increased immunity from outbreaks during 2017–2019, COVID-19 mitigation measures, or both. Conversely, measles cases might have been underreported in 2020 because of reductions in health care–seeking behavior from patients, health facility availability and reporting, or overall pandemic-related health system disruptions. Large and disruptive measles outbreaks in 2020, however, suggest that measles transmission was underreported. Robust case-based measles surveillance systems enable countries to detect and respond promptly to measles cases and outbreaks. Expanded virologic surveillance can better monitor local patterns of transmission, particularly in high-incidence areas like AFR. The Measles Outbreaks Strategic Response Plan 2021–2023 recommends annual risk assessments to strengthen preparedness and response, investigation of every outbreak, rapid implementation of effective interventions to stop transmission, and root cause analysis to close immunity gaps and prevent future outbreaks through tailored approaches. Coverage of ≥95% with MCV1 and MCV2 is necessary to ensure and sustain high population immunity against measles. MCV1 coverage has stagnated since 2010, and the largest annual increase since 2000 in children who did not receive MCV1 was reported in 2020, representing an acute setback in progress toward measles elimination ( 6 ). Accelerated efforts are needed to expand MCV1 coverage among the 22.3 million unvaccinated children in 2020 and ensure immunization of future birth cohorts. Routine MCV2 immunization has been recommended since 2017 ( 7 ); timely introduction is needed in the 15 countries that have yet to introduce MCV2, including 13 of the 47 countries in AFR. The revised measles estimation model indicates that in many countries, MCV is provided through SIAs to children with access to routine services ( 4 ); instead, SIAs should aim to fill immunity gaps among persons without access to routine service delivery, including older children and adults. The findings in this report are subject to at least three limitations. First, in 2020, 35 (18%) countries did not report MCV1 coverage and 50 (26%) did not report case data to WHO/UNICEF by the deadline. This decreased reporting precludes a complete understanding of measles epidemiology globally and regionally. Second, revisions to the measles estimation model limit comparability of the estimates in this report to those of previous years’ reports. Finally, genotype data are based on a limited number of sequences, most of which do not originate from AFR, which has the highest disease incidence. The proportion of circulating genotypes might differ from those reported here. Progress toward measles elimination during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond necessitates strong case-based surveillance systems to document immunity gaps and quickly identify cases and outbreaks. Outbreaks should be viewed as opportunities to identify weaknesses across the immunization system and develop tailored strategies to close immunity gaps. Together, these actions will bolster measles elimination efforts while strengthening immunization systems. Summary What is already known about this topic? All six World Health Organization (WHO) regions remain committed to measles elimination. What is added by this report? Annual reported measles incidence decreased globally during 2000–2016, increased in all regions during 2017–2019, then decreased in 2020. Measles surveillance, already suboptimal, worsened in 2020. Since 2000, estimated measles deaths decreased 94%. Measles vaccination has prevented an estimated 31.7 million deaths worldwide. No WHO region has achieved and maintained measles elimination. What are the implications for public health practice? To achieve regional measles elimination targets, enhanced efforts are needed to reach all children with 2 doses of measles-containing vaccine, implement robust surveillance, and identify and close immunity gaps.
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            Elimination of rubella and congenital rubella syndrome in the Americas.

            In 2003, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) adopted a resolution calling for rubella and congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) elimination in the Americas by the year 2010. To accomplish this goal, PAHO advanced a rubella and CRS elimination strategy including introduction of rubella-containing vaccines into routine vaccination programs accompanied by high immunization coverage, interruption of rubella transmission through mass vaccination of adolescents and adults, and strengthened surveillance for rubella and CRS. The rubella elimination strategies were aligned with the successful measles elimination strategies. By the end of 2009, all countries routinely vaccinated children against rubella, an estimated 450 million people had been vaccinated against measles and rubella in supplementary immunization activities, and rubella transmission had been interrupted. This article describes how the region eliminated rubella and CRS.
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              Progress Toward Rubella and Congenital Rubella Syndrome Control and Elimination — Worldwide, 2000–2018

              Rubella is a leading cause of vaccine-preventable birth defects. Although rubella virus infection usually causes a mild febrile rash illness in children and adults, infection during pregnancy, especially during the first trimester, can result in miscarriage, fetal death, stillbirth, or a constellation of birth defects known as congenital rubella syndrome (CRS). A single dose of rubella-containing vaccine (RCV) can provide lifelong protection ( 1 ). In 2011, the World Health Organization (WHO) updated guidance on the use of RCV and recommended capitalizing on the accelerated measles elimination activities as an opportunity to introduce RCV ( 1 ). The Global Vaccine Action Plan 2011–2020 (GVAP) includes a target to achieve elimination of rubella in at least five of the six WHO regions by 2020 ( 2 ). This report on the progress toward rubella and CRS control and elimination updates the 2017 report ( 3 ), summarizing global progress toward the control and elimination of rubella and CRS from 2000 (the initiation of accelerated measles control activities) and 2012 (the initiation of accelerated rubella control activities) to 2018 (the most recent data) using WHO immunization and surveillance data. Among WHO Member States,* the number with RCV in their immunization schedules has increased from 99 (52% of 191) in 2000 to 168 (87% of 194) in 2018 † ; 69% of the world’s infants were vaccinated against rubella in 2018. Rubella elimination has been verified in 81 (42%) countries. To make further progress to control and eliminate rubella, and to reduce the equity gap, introduction of RCV in all countries is important. Likewise, countries that have introduced RCV can achieve and maintain elimination with high vaccination coverage and surveillance for rubella and CRS. The two WHO regions that have not established an elimination goal (African [AFR] and Eastern Mediterranean [EMR]) should consider establishing a goal. § Immunization Activities The preferred strategy for introducing RCV into national immunization schedules is to conduct an initial vaccination campaign targeting the majority of persons who might not have been naturally exposed to rubella, usually children aged ≤14 years ( 1 ), a strategy that can eliminate rubella and CRS ( 4 ). WHO recommends that countries that introduce RCV achieve and maintain a minimum coverage of at least 80% with at least 1 dose of RCV, delivered through routine services or campaigns ( 1 ). Financial resources to introduce RCV are provided by governments, and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance (Gavi) also provides substantial support for low-income and some lower-middle–income countries. Each year, countries report immunization data to WHO and the United Nations Children’s Fund using the Joint Reporting Form, which includes information on immunization schedules and the number of vaccine doses administered through routine immunization services and vaccination campaigns. ¶ RCV was available in high-income countries before becoming available in lower-income countries. World Bank country income groupings were used to assess RCV introduction among countries in different income categories.** According to Joint Reporting Form data, global coverage of infants with RCV increased from 21% in 2000 to 40% in 2012 and to 69% in 2018 (Table). In 2000, approximately half (52%, 99 of 191) of countries had introduced RCV into national immunization schedules. By the end of 2012, approximately two thirds (68%, 132 of 194) of countries were using RCV and by 2018, 168 (87%) countries had introduced RCV (Figure 1). WHO recommends that RCV be given with the first routine dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV1) (i.e., as a combination vaccine). This recommendation has been implemented in 163 (97%) of the 168 countries that have introduced RCV; one country introduced the vaccine before the recommendations were published, and four countries administer monovalent measles vaccine at age 9 months and RCV as a combination measles-mumps-rubella vaccine at age 12 months, which is consistent with licensed use. TABLE Global progress toward control and elimination of rubella and congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) by World Health Organization (WHO) regions — worldwide, 2000, 2012 and 2018 Characteristic WHO region (no. of countries) AFR (47) AMR (35) EMR (21) EUR (53) SEAR (11) WPR (27)   Worldwide (194)* Regional rubella/CRS target None Elimination None Elimination Control Elimination None No. (%) of countries verified eliminated* 2000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2012 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2018 N/A 35 (100) 3 (14) 39 (74) 6† (55) 4 (15) 81 (42) No. (%) of countries with RCV in schedule 2000 2 (4) 31 (89) 12 (63) 40 (77) 2 (20) 12 (44) 99 (52) 2012 3 (6) 35 (100) 14 (67) 53 (100) 5(45) 22 (81) 132 (68) 2018 27 (57) 35 (100) 16 (76) 53 (100) 10 (91) 27 (100) 168 (87) Regional rubella vaccination coverage (%)§ 2000 0 85 23 60 3 11 21 2012 0 94 38 95 5 86 40 2018 32 90 45 95 83 94 69 No. (%) of countries reporting rubella cases 2000 7 (15) 25 (71) 11 (52) 41 (79) 3 (30) 15 (56) 102 (53) 2012 41 (87) 35 (100) 19 (90) 47 (89) 11 (100) 23 (85) 176 (91) 2018 45 (96) 34 (97) 18 (86) 46 (87) 11 (100) 22 (81) 176 (91) No. of reported rubella cases 2000 865 39,228 3,122 621,039 1,165 5,475 670,894 2012 10,850 15 1,681 30,579 6,877 44,275 94,277 2018 11,787 2 1,622 798 4,533 7,264 26,006 No. (%) of countries reporting CRS cases 2000 3 (7) 18 (51) 6 (29) 34 (65) 2 (20) 12 (44) 75 (39) 2012 20 (43) 35(100) 9 (43) 43 (81) 6 (55) 17 (63) 130 (67) 2018 19 (40) 33 (94) 13 (62) 46 (87) 10 (91) 17 (63) 138 (71) No. of reported CRS cases 2000 0 80 0 47 26 3 156 2012 69 3 20 62 14 134 302 2018 18 0 39 14 342 36 449 Abbreviations: AFR = African Region; AMR = Region of the Americas; EMR = Eastern Mediterranean Region; EUR = European Region; N/A = not available; RCV = rubella-containing vaccine; SEAR = South-East Asia Region; WPR = Western Pacific Region. * In 2000, WHO had 191 Member States worldwide; one country was added in each of three regions (AFR, EUR, and SEAR) by 2012, resulting in 194 countries. † Established regional verification commissions verify achievement of elimination in four regions (AMR, EMR, EUR, and WPR), but verify control in one (SEAR). The six countries in SEAR that have been verified as controlled are not included in the worldwide total of countries eliminated. § Coverage estimates for rubella-containing vaccines are determined by WHO and United Nations Children’s Fund Estimate National Immunization Coverage. FIGURE 1 Percentage of countries that have introduced rubella-containing vaccine (RCV) and the percentage with verified rubella elimination, by year — worldwide, 2000–2018 The figure is a stacked bar chart showing the percentage of countries that have introduced rubella-containing vaccine and the percentage with verified rubella elimination, by year, worldwide during 2000–2018. All countries in the Region of the Americas (AMR), the Western Pacific Region (WPR) and the European Region (EUR) have introduced RCV. In the remaining regions, RCV has been introduced in 27 (57%) of 47 countries in AFR, 16 (76%) of 21 countries in EMR, and 10 (91%) of 11 countries in the South-East Asia Region (SEAR) (Table). The income group of countries introducing RCV has shifted over time (Figure 2). In 2000, RCV had been introduced in all 57 high-income countries but in only 13% of lower-middle–income countries and 3% of low-income countries. By 2018, 39 (85% of 46) lower-middle–income countries and 14 (45% of 31) low-income countries had introduced RCV. Fifteen countries introduced RCV in 2017 and 2018, including 14 that used financial support from Gavi (Supplementary Table, https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/81634). FIGURE 2 Percentage of countries that have introduced rubella-containing vaccine, by World Bank income group* and year — worldwide, 2000–2018 * Gross National Income per capita in USD in 2018: high income: >$12,055; upper-middle income: $3,896–12,055; lower-middle income: $996–$3,895; low income: 95% measles-containing vaccine coverage (the level needed to achieve measles elimination) continue to improve population immunity with high-coverage routine services and campaigns and, by doing so, also eliminate rubella. In addition, countries that had introduced RCV in selected populations (usually females only) to control CRS, have large immunity gaps (usually in men) and might need to develop plans to identify and protect susceptible populations to achieve elimination. Research and innovation will help improve surveillance, target programmatic activities more effectively, and develop new vaccination delivery systems to help further accelerate progress toward rubella and measles elimination ( 10 ). The findings in this report are subject to at least two limitations. First, improvements in the accuracy and reliability of available surveillance and immunization data are needed to better identify immunity gaps, to focus immunization-strengthening activities, and to demonstrate the interruption of rubella virus transmission. Second, the impact of recent RCV introductions (e.g., two large countries in SEAR introducing RCV in 2018) might not be fully reflected in the available surveillance data. Increases in the number of countries introducing RCV into national immunization schedules, in global RCV coverage, and in the number of countries verified as having eliminated endemic rubella transmission demonstrate the progress toward control and ultimately the elimination of rubella. The countries verified as having eliminated rubella serve as important examples and provide valuable lessons for other countries. Countries in all income groups can eliminate rubella by introducing RCV, strengthening surveillance, and improving immunization service delivery. Summary What is already known about this topic? Congenital rubella syndrome is caused by rubella virus infection of pregnant women. Since 2011, there has been an acceleration in the efforts to introduce rubella-containing vaccine using a strategy that can result in elimination. What is added by this report? Progress toward rubella elimination has resulted in 168 (87%) of 194 countries protecting infants with RCV and 81 (42%) eliminating rubella transmission. Equity between countries using rubella-containing vaccine has increased as lower-income countries have introduced rubella-containing vaccine. What are the implications for public health practice? To make further progress, it is important that the 26 remaining countries introduce rubella vaccine and the countries that have already introduced the vaccine achieve and maintain elimination.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep
                MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep
                WR
                Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
                Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
                0149-2195
                1545-861X
                11 February 2022
                11 February 2022
                : 71
                : 6
                : 196-201
                Affiliations
                Global Immunization Division, Center for Global Health, CDC; Department of Immunization, Vaccines, and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
                Author notes
                Corresponding author: Laura A. Zimmerman, LZimmerman@ 123456cdc.gov , 404-639-8690.
                Article
                mm7106a2
                10.15585/mmwr.mm7106a2
                8830626
                35143468
                6b7c56e0-b295-4509-8df6-031976f8a36a

                All material in the MMWR Series is in the public domain and may be used and reprinted without permission; citation as to source, however, is appreciated.

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