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      Epidemiologic Evaluation of Measurement Data in the Presence of Detection Limits

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          Abstract

          Quantitative measurements of environmental factors greatly improve the quality of epidemiologic studies but can pose challenges because of the presence of upper or lower detection limits or interfering compounds, which do not allow for precise measured values. We consider the regression of an environmental measurement (dependent variable) on several covariates (independent variables). Various strategies are commonly employed to impute values for interval-measured data, including assignment of one-half the detection limit to nondetected values or of “fill-in” values randomly selected from an appropriate distribution. On the basis of a limited simulation study, we found that the former approach can be biased unless the percentage of measurements below detection limits is small (5–10%). The fill-in approach generally produces unbiased parameter estimates but may produce biased variance estimates and thereby distort inference when 30% or more of the data are below detection limits. Truncated data methods (e.g., Tobit regression) and multiple imputation offer two unbiased approaches for analyzing measurement data with detection limits. If interest resides solely on regression parameters, then Tobit regression can be used. If individualized values for measurements below detection limits are needed for additional analysis, such as relative risk regression or graphical display, then multiple imputation produces unbiased estimates and nominal confidence intervals unless the proportion of missing data is extreme. We illustrate various approaches using measurements of pesticide residues in carpet dust in control subjects from a case–control study of non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

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          Estimation of Relationships for Limited Dependent Variables

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            Estimation of Average Concentration in the Presence of Nondetectable Values

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              Toenail trace element levels as biomarkers: reproducibility over a 6-year period.

              We assessed the reproducibility over a 6-year period of 16 trace elements measured in toenails by comparing levels in paired specimens collected in 1982-1983 and 1988 from 127 women in the United States. The Spearman correlation coefficients for the reproducibility of toenail levels of selenium and arsenic (both known to reflect intake of these elements) were 0.48 and 0.54. Correlations for other elements ranged from 0.26 (copper) to 0.58 (zinc). In utilizing biomarkers to assess exposure in epidemiological studies of cancer and other chronic disease, random within-person variability in exposure leads to attenuation of measures of association between exposure and disease. We demonstrate the effect of such variability on odds ratios from a hypothetical case-control study. For a true odds ratio of 3.0 (for a comparison of the highest quintile versus the remaining 4 quintiles of exposure) the odds ratios which would be observed in the presence of the degree of within-person variability demonstrated in this study were 2.15 for toenail arsenic and 1.67 for toenail copper levels. Toenail concentrations of certain trace elements are useful biomarkers of exposure in which a single sample is assumed to represent long-term exposure. However, substantial attenuation in measures of association may occur.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Environ Health Perspect
                Environmental Health Perspectives
                0091-6765
                December 2004
                13 September 2004
                : 112
                : 17
                : 1691-1696
                Affiliations
                1Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
                2Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, Texas, USA
                3Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and the University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
                4Mayo Clinic, College of Medicine, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
                5Karmanos Cancer Institute and Department of Family Medicine, Wayne State University, Detroit, Michigan, USA
                6Department of Preventive Medicine, Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
                Author notes

                Address correspondence to J. Lubin, National Cancer Institute, Biostatistics Branch, 6120 Executive Boulevard, Room 8042, Rockville, MD 20852 USA. Telephone number: (301) 496-3357. Fax: (301) 402-0081. E-mail: lubinj@ 123456mail.nih.gov

                Support for this study included contracts with the National Cancer Institute: N01-PC-67010, N01-PC-67008, N02-PC-71105, N01-PC-67009, and N01-PC-65064.

                The authors declare they have no competing financial interests.

                Article
                ehp0112-001691
                10.1289/ehp.7199
                1253661
                15579415
                600c7af0-d642-4c7b-be55-0417e52544ed
                This is an Open Access article: verbatim copying and redistribution of this article are permitted in all media for any purpose, provided this notice is preserved along with the article's original DOI.
                History
                : 21 April 2004
                : 13 September 2004
                Categories
                Research
                Articles

                Public health
                imputation,dust,pesticides,missing data,environmental exposure,non-hodgkin lymphoma
                Public health
                imputation, dust, pesticides, missing data, environmental exposure, non-hodgkin lymphoma

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