Reactive greenhouse gas scenarios: Systematic exploration of uncertainties and the role of atmospheric chemistry

Prather, Michael J.; Holmes, Christopher D.; Hsu, Juno

doi:10.1029/2012GL051440

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Reactive greenhouse gas scenarios: Systematic exploration of uncertainties and the role of atmospheric chemistry : ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND GREENHOUSE GASES

Author(s): Michael J. Prather , Christopher D. Holmes , Juno Hsu

Publication date Created: May 2012

Publication date (Print): May 2012

Journal: Geophysical Research Letters

Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)

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Climate Change 2007

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007)

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Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application

J-F. Lamarque, T. Bond, V. Eyring … (2010)

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Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States.

Tim P. Barnett, David W. Pierce, Hugo Hidalgo … (2008)

Observations have shown that the hydrological cycle of the western United States changed significantly over the last half of the 20th century. We present a regional, multivariable climate change detection and attribution study, using a high-resolution hydrologic model forced by global climate models, focusing on the changes that have already affected this primarily arid region with a large and growing population. The results show that up to 60% of the climate-related trends of river flow, winter air temperature, and snow pack between 1950 and 1999 are human-induced. These results are robust to perturbation of study variates and methods. They portend, in conjunction with previous work, a coming crisis in water supply for the western United States.