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      COVID-19, climate change, and the finite pool of worry in 2019 to 2021 Twitter discussions

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          Significance

          According to Weber's psychological theory of the finite pool of worry, people avoid dealing with multiple negative events at the same time. Consistent with this theory, as people worry more about the COVID-19 pandemic, they tend to neglect the problem of climate change. Here, we examine the number and content of climate change discussions on Twitter from 2019 through 2021. We show that as COVID-19 cases and deaths increase, climate change tweets have a less negative sentiment. There is also less content associated with fear and anger, the emotions related to worry and anxiety. These results support the finite pool of worry hypothesis and imply that the pandemic redirects public attention from the important problem of climate change mitigation.

          Abstract

          Climate change mitigation has been one of the world's most salient issues for the past three decades. However, global policy attention has been partially diverted to address the COVID-19 pandemic for the past 2 y. Here, we explore the impact of the pandemic on the frequency and content of climate change discussions on Twitter for the period of 2019 to 2021. Consistent with the “finite pool of worry” hypothesis both at the annual level and on a daily basis, a larger number of COVID-19 cases and deaths is associated with a smaller number of “climate change” tweets. Climate change discussion on Twitter decreased, despite 1) a larger Twitter daily active usage in 2020 and 2021, 2) greater coverage of climate change in the traditional media in 2021, 3) a larger number of North Atlantic Ocean hurricanes, and 4) a larger wildland fires area in the United States in 2020 and 2021. Further evidence supporting the finite pool of worry is the significant relationship between daily COVID-19 cases/deaths on the one hand and the public sentiment and emotional content of climate change tweets on the other. In particular, increasing COVID-19 numbers decrease negative sentiment in climate change tweets and the emotions related to worry and anxiety, such as fear and anger.

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          Construal-level theory of psychological distance.

          People are capable of thinking about the future, the past, remote locations, another person's perspective, and counterfactual alternatives. Without denying the uniqueness of each process, it is proposed that they constitute different forms of traversing psychological distance. Psychological distance is egocentric: Its reference point is the self in the here and now, and the different ways in which an object might be removed from that point-in time, in space, in social distance, and in hypotheticality-constitute different distance dimensions. Transcending the self in the here and now entails mental construal, and the farther removed an object is from direct experience, the higher (more abstract) the level of construal of that object. Supporting this analysis, research shows (a) that the various distances are cognitively related to each other, (b) that they similarly influence and are influenced by level of mental construal, and (c) that they similarly affect prediction, preference, and action. PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved.
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            A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
                Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
                pnas
                PNAS
                Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
                National Academy of Sciences
                0027-8424
                1091-6490
                17 October 2022
                25 October 2022
                17 April 2023
                : 119
                : 43
                : e2210988119
                Affiliations
                [1] aDepartment of Political Science, Stony Brook University , Stony Brook, NY 11794
                Author notes
                1To whom correspondence may be addressed. Email: oleg.smirnov@ 123456stonybrook.edu .

                Edited by Susan Fiske, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; received June 26, 2022; accepted September 23, 2022

                Author contributions: O.S. designed research; O.S. and P.-H.H. performed research; O.S. and P.-H.H. analyzed data; and O.S. wrote the paper.

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9633-910X
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1147-8208
                Article
                202210988
                10.1073/pnas.2210988119
                9618108
                36251993
                095ddc25-6d37-4abf-a4e6-836785517421
                Copyright © 2022 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.

                This article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND).

                History
                : 23 September 2022
                Page count
                Pages: 8
                Categories
                431
                Social Sciences
                Psychological and Cognitive Sciences

                climate change discussions,finite pool of worry,covid-19 pandemic,twitter sentiment analysis,construal-level theory

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