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      Maximum likelihood estimation of a migration matrix and effective population sizes in n subpopulations by using a coalescent approach.

      Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
      Genetics, Population, Humans, Likelihood Functions, Markov Chains, Monte Carlo Method, Population Density, Transients and Migrants

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          Abstract

          A maximum likelihood estimator based on the coalescent for unequal migration rates and different subpopulation sizes is developed. The method uses a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach to investigate possible genealogies with branch lengths and with migration events. Properties of the new method are shown by using simulated data from a four-population n-island model and a source-sink population model. Our estimation method as coded in migrate is tested against genetree; both programs deliver a very similar likelihood surface. The algorithm converges to the estimates fairly quickly, even when the Markov chain is started from unfavorable parameters. The method was used to estimate gene flow in the Nile valley by using mtDNA data from three human populations.

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          Author and article information

          Journal
          11287657
          31874
          10.1073/pnas.081068098

          Chemistry
          Genetics, Population,Humans,Likelihood Functions,Markov Chains,Monte Carlo Method,Population Density,Transients and Migrants

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