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      Resilient biotic response to long‐term climate change in the Adriatic Sea

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          Abstract

          Preserving adaptive capacities of coastal ecosystems, which are currently facing the ongoing climate warming and a multitude of other anthropogenic impacts, requires an understanding of long‐term biotic dynamics in the context of major environmental shifts prior to human disturbances. We quantified responses of nearshore mollusk assemblages to long‐term climate and sea‐level changes using 223 samples (~71,300 specimens) retrieved from latest Quaternary sediment cores of the Adriatic coastal systems. These cores provide a rare chance to study coastal systems that existed during glacial lowstands. The fossil mollusk record indicates that nearshore assemblages of the penultimate interglacial (Late Pleistocene) shifted in their faunal composition during the subsequent ice age, and then reassembled again with the return of interglacial climate in the Holocene. These shifts point to a climate‐driven habitat filtering modulated by dispersal processes. The resilient, rather than persistent or stochastic, response of the mollusk assemblages to long‐term environmental changes over at least 125 thousand years highlights the historically unprecedented nature of the ongoing anthropogenic stressors (e.g., pollution, eutrophication, bottom trawling, and invasive species) that are currently shifting coastal regions into novel system states far outside the range of natural variability archived in the fossil record.

          Abstract

          The latest Quaternary fossil record from sediment cores in the Adriatic coastal systems indicates that nearshore mollusk assemblages of the penultimate interglacial shifted in their faunal composition during the subsequent ice age, and then reassembled again with the return of interglacial climate in the Holocene. These shifts point to a climate‐driven habitat filtering modulated by dispersal processes. The resilient response of the mollusk assemblages to past climate changes suggests that Adriatic nearshore benthic ecosystem may be buffered, to some extent, against future global environmental changes.

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          Most cited references78

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          Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems.

          In marine ecosystems, rising atmospheric CO2 and climate change are associated with concurrent shifts in temperature, circulation, stratification, nutrient input, oxygen content, and ocean acidification, with potentially wide-ranging biological effects. Population-level shifts are occurring because of physiological intolerance to new environments, altered dispersal patterns, and changes in species interactions. Together with local climate-driven invasion and extinction, these processes result in altered community structure and diversity, including possible emergence of novel ecosystems. Impacts are particularly striking for the poles and the tropics, because of the sensitivity of polar ecosystems to sea-ice retreat and poleward species migrations as well as the sensitivity of coral-algal symbiosis to minor increases in temperature. Midlatitude upwelling systems, like the California Current, exhibit strong linkages between climate and species distributions, phenology, and demography. Aggregated effects may modify energy and material flows as well as biogeochemical cycles, eventually impacting the overall ecosystem functioning and services upon which people and societies depend.
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            PERMANOVA, ANOSIM, and the Mantel test in the face of heterogeneous dispersions: What null hypothesis are you testing?

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              Marine taxa track local climate velocities.

              Organisms are expected to adapt or move in response to climate change, but observed distribution shifts span a wide range of directions and rates. Explanations often emphasize biological distinctions among species, but general mechanisms have been elusive. We tested an alternative hypothesis: that differences in climate velocity-the rate and direction that climate shifts across the landscape-can explain observed species shifts. We compiled a database of coastal surveys around North America from 1968 to 2011, sampling 128 million individuals across 360 marine taxa. Climate velocity explained the magnitude and direction of shifts in latitude and depth much more effectively than did species characteristics. Our results demonstrate that marine species shift at different rates and directions because they closely track the complex mosaic of local climate velocities.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                daniele.scarponi@unibo.it
                Journal
                Glob Chang Biol
                Glob Chang Biol
                10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2486
                GCB
                Global Change Biology
                John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
                1354-1013
                1365-2486
                12 April 2022
                July 2022
                : 28
                : 13 ( doiID: 10.1111/gcb.v28.13 )
                : 4041-4053
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] ringgold 9296; Dipartimento di Scienze Biologiche, Geologiche e Ambientali Università di Bologna Bologna Italy
                [ 2 ] ringgold 9296; Alma Mater Research Institute on Global Challenges and Climate Change Università di Bologna Bologna Italy
                [ 3 ] Department of Palaeontology University of Vienna Vienna Austria
                [ 4 ] Istituto di Scienze Marine sezione di Bologna Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche Bologna Italy
                [ 5 ] Florida Museum of Natural History University of Florida Gainesville Florida USA
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence

                Daniele Scarponi, Dipartimento di Scienze Biologiche, Geologiche e Ambientali, Università di Bologna, 40126, Bologna, Italy.

                Email: daniele.scarponi@ 123456unibo.it

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5914-4947
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5774-7311
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0197-6817
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2453-3998
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7365-8573
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8476-8804
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8575-4711
                Article
                GCB16168
                10.1111/gcb.16168
                9324144
                35411661
                ff1908b3-086e-4f52-ae50-2508eb6fc78d
                © 2022 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 10 December 2021
                : 21 February 2022
                Page count
                Figures: 6, Tables: 1, Pages: 13, Words: 8602
                Funding
                Funded by: ExxonMobil Upstream Research Company
                Funded by: University of Florida Jon A. and Beverly L. Thompson Endowment
                Funded by: Ricerca Fondamentale Orientata‐RFO 2020
                Funded by: The National Science Foundation
                Award ID: EAR‐1559196
                Categories
                Research Article
                Research Articles
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                July 2022
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_JATSPMC version:6.1.7 mode:remove_FC converted:26.07.2022

                climate change,conservation paleobiology,glacial–interglacial cycle,italy,mediterranean basin,mollusk

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