Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

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Most cited references 36

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Inference from Iterative Simulation Using Multiple Sequences

Andrew Gelman, Donald B Rubin (1992)

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On the relationship between niche and distribution

H.R. Pulliam (2000)

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Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe.

Dagmar Schröter, Wolfgang Cramer, Rik Leemans … (2005)

Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.

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Author and article information

Journal

Title: Global Ecology and Biogeography

Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell

ISSN: 1466822X

Publication date Created: February 2012

Publication date (Print): February 2012

Volume: 21

Issue: 2

Pages: 293-304

Article

DOI: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00663.x

SO-VID: fdd14acb-6dd7-4ccc-9d7d-3ab1b940d3a7

License:

http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1.1

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