Greenland Ice Sheet Elevation Change From CryoSat‐2 and ICESat‐2

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Abstract

Although fluctuations in ice sheet surface mass balance lead to seasonal and interannual elevation changes, it is unclear if they are resolved differently by radar and laser satellite altimeters. We compare methods of computing elevation change from CryoSat‐2 and ICESat‐2 over the Greenland Ice Sheet to assess their consistency and to quantify recent change. Solutions exist such that interannual trends in the interior and the ablation zone agree to within −0.2 ± 1.5 and 3.3 ± 6.0 cm/yr, respectively, and that seasonal cycle amplitudes within the ablation zone agree to within 3.5 ± 38.0 cm. The agreement is best in the north where the measurements are relatively dense and worst in the southeast where the terrain is rugged. Using both missions, we estimate Greenland lost 196 ± 37 km ³/yr of volume between 2010 and 2022 with an interannual variability of 129 km ³/yr.

Plain Language Summary

The polar ice sheets are reacting to climate warming. Changes in their height can be used to study changes in their snowfall, surface melting, glacier flow, and sea level contribution. Although satellite altimeters are able to detect changes in ice sheet height, it is not clear whether these changes are sensed differently by laser and radar systems. Using four years of coincident measurements recorded by ESA's CryoSat‐2 and NASA's ICESat‐2, we show that radar‐laser differences at the ice sheet scale are, in fact, a small proportion (<10%) of the changes in height that are taking place. This means that either system can be used with confidence to study the effects of climate change on the polar ice sheets. At smaller spatial scales, the remaining differences are still important and should be investigated further so that we can understand their causes.

Key Points

Greenland Ice Sheet elevation change between 2018 and 2022 from CryoSat‐2 and ICESat‐2 was −11.4 ± 0.8 and −11.7 ± 1.3 cm/yr, respectively
Ablation zone seasonal cycle amplitude between 2018 and 2022 from CryoSat‐2 and ICESat‐2 was 62.9 ± 26.5 and 59.4 ± 24.4 cm, respectively
Volume change between 2010 and 2022 was −196 ± 37 km ³/yr with an interannual variability of 129 km ³/yr

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The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979

Mika Rantanen, Alexey Karpechko, Antti Lipponen … (2022)

In recent decades, the warming in the Arctic has been much faster than in the rest of the world, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification. Numerous studies report that the Arctic is warming either twice, more than twice, or even three times as fast as the globe on average. Here we show, by using several observational datasets which cover the Arctic region, that during the last 43 years the Arctic has been warming nearly four times faster than the globe, which is a higher ratio than generally reported in literature. We compared the observed Arctic amplification ratio with the ratio simulated by state-of-the-art climate models, and found that the observed four-fold warming ratio over 1979–2021 is an extremely rare occasion in the climate model simulations. The observed and simulated amplification ratios are more consistent with each other if calculated over a longer period; however the comparison is obscured by observational uncertainties before 1979. Our results indicate that the recent four-fold Arctic warming ratio is either an extremely unlikely event, or the climate models systematically tend to underestimate the amplification.

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Extensive dynamic thinning on the margins of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets.

Hamish Pritchard, Robert J. Arthern, David Vaughan … (2009)

Many glaciers along the margins of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are accelerating and, for this reason, contribute increasingly to global sea-level rise. Globally, ice losses contribute approximately 1.8 mm yr(-1) (ref. 8), but this could increase if the retreat of ice shelves and tidewater glaciers further enhances the loss of grounded ice or initiates the large-scale collapse of vulnerable parts of the ice sheets. Ice loss as a result of accelerated flow, known as dynamic thinning, is so poorly understood that its potential contribution to sea level over the twenty-first century remains unpredictable. Thinning on the ice-sheet scale has been monitored by using repeat satellite altimetry observations to track small changes in surface elevation, but previous sensors could not resolve most fast-flowing coastal glaciers. Here we report the use of high-resolution ICESat (Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite) laser altimetry to map change along the entire grounded margins of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. To isolate the dynamic signal, we compare rates of elevation change from both fast-flowing and slow-flowing ice with those expected from surface mass-balance fluctuations. We find that dynamic thinning of glaciers now reaches all latitudes in Greenland, has intensified on key Antarctic grounding lines, has endured for decades after ice-shelf collapse, penetrates far into the interior of each ice sheet and is spreading as ice shelves thin by ocean-driven melt. In Greenland, glaciers flowing faster than 100 m yr(-1) thinned at an average rate of 0.84 m yr(-1), and in the Amundsen Sea embayment of Antarctica, thinning exceeded 9.0 m yr(-1) for some glaciers. Our results show that the most profound changes in the ice sheets currently result from glacier dynamics at ocean margins.