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      Nonlinear time-series modeling of unconfined groundwater head

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      Water Resources Research
      Wiley-Blackwell

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          Reducing the time complexity of the derandomized evolution strategy with covariance matrix adaptation (CMA-ES).

          This paper presents a novel evolutionary optimization strategy based on the derandomized evolution strategy with covariance matrix adaptation (CMA-ES). This new approach is intended to reduce the number of generations required for convergence to the optimum. Reducing the number of generations, i.e., the time complexity of the algorithm, is important if a large population size is desired: (1) to reduce the effect of noise; (2) to improve global search properties; and (3) to implement the algorithm on (highly) parallel machines. Our method results in a highly parallel algorithm which scales favorably with large numbers of processors. This is accomplished by efficiently incorporating the available information from a large population, thus significantly reducing the number of generations needed to adapt the covariance matrix. The original version of the CMA-ES was designed to reliably adapt the covariance matrix in small populations but it cannot exploit large populations efficiently. Our modifications scale up the efficiency to population sizes of up to 10n, where n is the problem dimension. This method has been applied to a large number of test problems, demonstrating that in many cases the CMA-ES can be advanced from quadratic to linear time complexity.
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            The Millennium Drought in southeast Australia (2001-2009): Natural and human causes and implications for water resources, ecosystems, economy, and society

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              Time Series Analysis

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Water Resources Research
                Water Resour. Res.
                Wiley-Blackwell
                00431397
                October 2014
                October 2014
                : 50
                : 10
                : 8330-8355
                Article
                10.1002/2013WR014800
                f05e31f3-0b64-4cea-b48b-e200f2d69600
                © 2014

                http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1.1

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