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      Anticoagulation quality through time in therapeutic range in Sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

      systematic-review

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          Abstract

          Background

          The quality of anticoagulation with warfarin is often assessed through the time in therapeutic range (TTR). However, achieving optimal TTR and maintaining therapeutic INR levels presents significant challenges in Sub-Saharan Africa. This review aims to summarize the existing evidence on the quality of warfarin anticoagulation among patients in Sub-Saharan Africa.

          Method

          We searched MEDLINE via Ovid, PubMed, Embase via Ovid, and Scopus, and citation analysis from Google Scholar. The review’s primary focus was therapeutic INR and TTR ≥ 65. Meta-analysis was conducted using R version 4.3.3. A mixed-effects meta-regression model was used to examine the influence of moderators, with heterogeneity estimated using I 2 and prediction intervals (PI), and publication bias assessed through funnel plots and Egger’s test, with p < 0.05 indicating potential bias. The robustness of pooled proportions was tested using a leave-one-out sensitivity analysis. The preparation of this review adhered to the guidelines outlined in the PRISMA.

          Results

          We identified 15 observational studies for inclusion in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Egger’s test confirmed an absence of publication bias across these studies. Sensitivity analyses showed consistency in individual therapeutic INR (pooled estimate: 0.37; range: 0.37–0.40) and TTR (pooled estimate: 0.16; range: 0.15–0.17), closely aligning with pooled proportions. Meta-analysis of high-quality TTR measurements yielded a pooled prevalence of 17% ( I 2 = 89%), with study-specific values ranging from 10 to 29% and predicted effect sizes between 0.05 and 0.34. The therapeutic INR was observed at a pooled prevalence of 40% ( I 2 = 86%; prediction interval: 0.16, 0.67).

          Conclusion

          Warfarin therapy is associated with very low percentage of TTR suggests poor quality of anticoagulation management. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings.

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          Most cited references71

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          Meta-analysis: antithrombotic therapy to prevent stroke in patients who have nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

          Atrial fibrillation is a strong independent risk factor for stroke. To characterize the efficacy and safety of antithrombotic agents for stroke prevention in patients who have atrial fibrillation, adding 13 recent randomized trials to a previous meta-analysis. Randomized trials identified by using the Cochrane Stroke Group search strategy, 1966 to March 2007, unrestricted by language. All published randomized trials with a mean follow-up of 3 months or longer that tested antithrombotic agents in patients who have nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Two coauthors independently extracted information regarding interventions; participants; and occurrences of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, major extracranial bleeding, and death. Twenty-nine trials included 28,044 participants (mean age, 71 years; mean follow-up, 1.5 years). Compared with the control, adjusted-dose warfarin (6 trials, 2900 participants) and antiplatelet agents (8 trials, 4876 participants) reduced stroke by 64% (95% CI, 49% to 74%) and 22% (CI, 6% to 35%), respectively. Adjusted-dose warfarin was substantially more efficacious than antiplatelet therapy (relative risk reduction, 39% [CI, 22% to 52%]) (12 trials, 12 963 participants). Other randomized comparisons were inconclusive. Absolute increases in major extracranial hemorrhage were small (< or =0.3% per year) on the basis of meta-analysis. Methodological features and quality varied substantially and often were incompletely reported. Adjusted-dose warfarin and antiplatelet agents reduce stroke by approximately 60% and by approximately 20%, respectively, in patients who have atrial fibrillation. Warfarin is substantially more efficacious (by approximately 40%) than antiplatelet therapy. Absolute increases in major extracranial hemorrhage associated with antithrombotic therapy in participants from the trials included in this meta-analysis were less than the absolute reductions in stroke. Judicious use of antithrombotic therapy importantly reduces stroke for most patients who have atrial fibrillation.
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            Systematic overview of warfarin and its drug and food interactions.

            Warfarin is a highly efficacious oral anticoagulant, but its use is limited by a well-founded fear of bleeding. Drug and food interactions are frequently cited as causes of adverse events with warfarin. We provide an updated systematic overview of the quality, clinical effect, and importance of these reported interactions. MEDLINE, TOXLINE, IPA, and EMBASE databases from October 1993 to March 2004. Database searches combined the keyword warfarin with drug interactions, herbal medicines, Chinese herbal drugs, and food-drug interactions. Eligible articles contained original reports of warfarin drug or food interactions in human subjects. Non-English articles were included if sufficient information could be abstracted. Reports were rated independently by 2 investigators for interaction direction, clinical severity, and quality of evidence. Quality of evidence was based on previously validated causation criteria and study design. Of 642 citations retrieved, 181 eligible articles contained original reports on 120 drugs or foods. Inter-rater agreement was excellent, with weighted kappa values of 0.84 to 1.00. Of all reports, 72% described a potentiation of warfarin's effect and 84% were of poor quality, 86% of which were single case reports. The 31 incidents of clinically significant bleeding were all single case reports. Newly reported interactions included celecoxib, rofecoxib, and herbal substances, such as green tea and danshen. The number of drugs reported to interact with warfarin continues to expand. While most reports are of poor quality and present potentially misleading conclusions, the consistency of reports of interactions with azole antibiotics, macrolides, quinolones, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, including selective cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, omeprazole, lipid-lowering agents, amiodarone, and fluorouracil, suggests that coadministration with warfarin should be avoided or closely monitored. More systematic study of warfarin drug interactions in patients is urgently needed.
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              Risks and benefits of direct oral anticoagulants versus warfarin in a real world setting: cohort study in primary care

              Abstract Objective To investigate the associations between direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and risks of bleeding, ischaemic stroke, venous thromboembolism, and all cause mortality compared with warfarin. Design Prospective open cohort study. Setting UK general practices contributing to QResearch or Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Participants 132 231 warfarin, 7744 dabigatran, 37 863 rivaroxaban, and 18 223 apixaban users without anticoagulant prescriptions for 12 months before study entry, subgrouped into 103 270 patients with atrial fibrillation and 92 791 without atrial fibrillation between 2011 and 2016. Main outcome measures Major bleeding leading to hospital admission or death. Specific sites of bleeding and all cause mortality were also studied. Results In patients with atrial fibrillation, compared with warfarin, apixaban was associated with a decreased risk of major bleeding (adjusted hazard ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.54 to 0.79) and intracranial bleeding (0.40, 0.25 to 0.64); dabigatran was associated with a decreased risk of intracranial bleeding (0.45, 0.26 to 0.77). An increased risk of all cause mortality was observed in patients taking rivaroxaban (1.19, 1.09 to 1.29) or on lower doses of apixaban (1.27, 1.12 to 1.45). In patients without atrial fibrillation, compared with warfarin, apixaban was associated with a decreased risk of major bleeding (0.60, 0.46 to 0.79), any gastrointestinal bleeding (0.55, 0.37 to 0.83), and upper gastrointestinal bleeding (0.55, 0.36 to 0.83); rivaroxaban was associated with a decreased risk of intracranial bleeding (0.54, 0.35 to 0.82). Increased risk of all cause mortality was observed in patients taking rivaroxaban (1.51, 1.38 to 1.66) and those on lower doses of apixaban (1.34, 1.13 to 1.58). Conclusions Overall, apixaban was found to be the safest drug, with reduced risks of major, intracranial, and gastrointestinal bleeding compared with warfarin. Rivaroxaban and low dose apixaban were, however, associated with increased risks of all cause mortality compared with warfarin.
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                Author and article information

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                Journal
                Front Med (Lausanne)
                Front Med (Lausanne)
                Front. Med.
                Frontiers in Medicine
                Frontiers Media S.A.
                2296-858X
                14 March 2025
                2025
                : 12
                : 1517162
                Affiliations
                [1] 1Department of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University , Bahir Dar, Ethiopia
                [2] 2Department of Neurology, St. Peter Hospital , Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
                [3] 3Department of Anesthesia, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Adigrat University , Adigrat, Ethiopia
                [4] 4Department of Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Woldia University , Woldia, Ethiopia
                [5] 5Department of Pharmacology, Biomedical Division, and Center for Equity in Global Surgery, University of Global Health Equity , Kigali, Rwanda
                Author notes

                Edited by: Pierpaolo Di Micco, Ospedale Santa Maria delle Grazie, Italy

                Reviewed by: Cristiano Bortoluzzi, Azienda Ulss 12 Veneziana, Italy

                Paola Gnerre, ASL 2 Savona, Italy

                *Correspondence: Desalegn Getnet Demsie, desget361@ 123456gmail.com
                Article
                10.3389/fmed.2025.1517162
                11949880
                e7d38bd6-e559-4802-85b2-7d97e83766ac
                Copyright © 2025 Demsie, Addisu, Tafere, Feyisa, Bahiru, Yismaw, Mihret, Tilahun, Gebrie and Berhe.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

                History
                : 25 October 2024
                : 21 February 2025
                Page count
                Figures: 7, Tables: 3, Equations: 0, References: 71, Pages: 12, Words: 7937
                Funding
                The author(s) declare that no financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article.
                Categories
                Medicine
                Systematic Review
                Custom metadata
                Family Medicine and Primary Care

                warfarin,sub-sahara africa,anticoagulation,inr,ttr
                warfarin, sub-sahara africa, anticoagulation, inr, ttr

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