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      Climate change is poised to alter mountain stream ecosystem processes via organismal phenological shifts

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          Significance

          In mountain regions globally, climate change is reducing snowpack, advancing snowmelt, and altering environmental regimes of rivers born in these elevations. Here, we conducted an experiment simulating end-of-century vs. current flow regimes in Sierra Nevada mountain streams to examine impending shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem processes. Early snowmelt destabilized stream epilithic biofilm metabolism and altered key ecosystem functions such as insect production and emergence, via shifts in community composition, structure, and phenology (i.e., timing of development). Notably, some processes showed sensitivity to climate change on fine timescales, with implications for predator–prey synchrony. As climate continues to change quickly in high-altitude mountain ecosystems, the resilience of stream ecosystem functions may hinge on the presence of diverse ecological communities.

          Abstract

          Climate change is affecting the phenology of organisms and ecosystem processes across a wide range of environments. However, the links between organismal and ecosystem process change in complex communities remain uncertain. In snow-dominated watersheds, snowmelt in the spring and early summer, followed by a long low-flow period, characterizes the natural flow regime of streams and rivers. Here, we examined how earlier snowmelt will alter the phenology of mountain stream organisms and ecosystem processes via an outdoor mesocosm experiment in stream channels in the Eastern Sierra Nevada, California. The low-flow treatment, simulating a 3- to 6-wk earlier return to summer baseflow conditions projected under climate change scenarios in the region, increased water temperature and reduced biofilm production to respiration ratios by 32%. Additionally, most of the invertebrate species explaining community change (56% and 67% of the benthic and emergent taxa, respectively), changed in phenology as a consequence of the low-flow treatment. Further, emergent flux pulses of the dominant insect group (Chironomidae) almost doubled in magnitude, benefitting a generalist riparian predator. Changes in both invertebrate community structure (composition) and functioning (production) were mostly fine-scale, and response diversity at the community level stabilized seasonally aggregated responses. Our study illustrates how climate change in vulnerable mountain streams at the rain-to-snow transition is poised to alter the dynamics of stream food webs via fine-scale changes in phenology—leading to novel predator–prey “matches” or “mismatches” even when community structure and ecosystem processes appear stable at the annual scale.

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          The Natural Flow Regime

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            piecewiseSEM: Piecewise structural equation modelling inr for ecology, evolution, and systematics

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              Impact of climate change on marine pelagic phenology and trophic mismatch.

              Phenology, the study of annually recurring life cycle events such as the timing of migrations and flowering, can provide particularly sensitive indicators of climate change. Changes in phenology may be important to ecosystem function because the level of response to climate change may vary across functional groups and multiple trophic levels. The decoupling of phenological relationships will have important ramifications for trophic interactions, altering food-web structures and leading to eventual ecosystem-level changes. Temperate marine environments may be particularly vulnerable to these changes because the recruitment success of higher trophic levels is highly dependent on synchronization with pulsed planktonic production. Using long-term data of 66 plankton taxa during the period from 1958 to 2002, we investigated whether climate warming signals are emergent across all trophic levels and functional groups within an ecological community. Here we show that not only is the marine pelagic community responding to climate changes, but also that the level of response differs throughout the community and the seasonal cycle, leading to a mismatch between trophic levels and functional groups.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
                Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
                PNAS
                Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
                National Academy of Sciences
                0027-8424
                1091-6490
                18 March 2024
                2 April 2024
                18 March 2024
                : 121
                : 14
                : e2310513121
                Affiliations
                [1] aDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California , Berkeley, CA 94720
                [2] bSierra Nevada Aquatic Research Laboratory, University of California , Santa Barbara, CA 93106
                [3] cInstitute of Biology and Earth Sciences, Pomeranian University in Słupsk , Słupsk 76-200, Poland
                Author notes
                1To whom correspondence may be addressed. Email: kyle_leathers@ 123456berkeley.edu .

                Edited by Andrea Rinaldo, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland; received June 22, 2023; accepted January 31, 2024

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9219-1689
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1323-8686
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4011-6457
                Article
                202310513
                10.1073/pnas.2310513121
                10998557
                38498724
                debd0f25-bc01-444e-a025-4e9b0fb271cf
                Copyright © 2024 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.

                This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY).

                History
                : 22 June 2023
                : 31 January 2024
                Page count
                Pages: 11, Words: 8408
                Funding
                Funded by: National Science Foundation (NSF), FundRef 100000001;
                Award ID: 1802714
                Award Recipient : Albert Ruhi
                Funded by: National Science Foundation (NSF), FundRef 100000001;
                Award ID: 2047324
                Award Recipient : Albert Ruhi
                Categories
                research-article, Research Article
                eco, Ecology
                414
                Biological Sciences
                Ecology

                climate change,phenology,ecosystem processes,mountain streams,low flow

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