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      Utilização das informações vitais para a estimação de indicadores de mortalidade no Brasil: da busca ativa de eventos ao desenvolvimento de métodos Translated title: Utilización de la información vital para la estimación de indicadores de mortalidad en Brasil: de la búsqueda activa de eventos al desarrollo de métodos Translated title: Use of vital data to estimate mortality indicators in Brazil: from the active search for events to the development of methods

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          Abstract

          Resumo: O artigo apresenta a construção histórica brasileira sobre a utilização das informações vitais, incorporando procedimentos de avaliação das informações e pesquisas de busca ativa de nascimentos e óbitos, que resultaram na proposição de métodos para o cálculo de indicadores de natalidade e mortalidade mediante o uso de registros contínuos. Além das pesquisas para captar eventos vitais referentes aos anos de 2000 e 2008, são apresentados os procedimentos para a correção dos eventos informados aos sistemas de informação e a mudança de paradigma no método de cálculo dos indicadores de mortalidade decorrente destas iniciativas. Adicionalmente, destacam-se os avanços na adequação das informações sobre óbitos e nascidos vivos no Brasil, as alterações nas estimativas da mortalidade infantil decorrentes da proposição de métodos, além do desafio de estimar o indicador para áreas geográficas subnacionais, com menores contingentes populacionais, que em sua maioria é composta por municípios com baixa cobertura e regularidade dos dados.

          Translated abstract

          Resumen: El artículo presenta la construcción histórica brasileña sobre la utilización de la información vital, incorporando procedimientos de evaluación de la información e investigaciones de búsqueda activa de nacimientos y óbitos, que resultaron en la propuesta de métodos para el cálculo de indicadores de natalidad y mortalidad, mediante el uso de registros continuos. Además de las investigaciones para captar eventos vitales, referentes a los años de 2000 y 2008, se presentan los procedimientos para la corrección de los eventos informados en los sistemas de información y el cambio de paradigma en el método del cálculo de los indicadores de mortalidad, derivado de estas iniciativas. Asimismo, se destacan los avances en la adecuación de la información sobre óbitos y nacidos vivos en Brasil, las alteraciones en las estimativas de la mortalidad infantil, derivadas de la propuesta de métodos, además del desafío de estimar el indicador para áreas geográficas subnacionales, con menores contingentes poblacionales, que en su mayoría están compuestas por municipios con baja cobertura y regularidad de datos.

          Translated abstract

          Abstract: The article addresses Brazil's historical development in the use of vital data, incorporating procedures for the evaluation of such data and research with active search of births and deaths, resulting in the proposal of methods for calculating birth and mortality indicators through the use of continuous records. In addition to research to capture vital events from the years 2000 and 2008, the article presents procedures for the correction of events reported to the information systems and the paradigm shift in the method for calculating mortality indicators, resulting from such initiatives. The study also features advances in the adequacy of information on deaths and live births in Brazil, changes in the estimates on infant mortality resulting from the proposed methods, and the challenge of estimating the indicator for subnational geographic areas with lower population contingents, mostly consisting of municipalities (counties) with low and irregular data coverage.

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          Most cited references28

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          Civil registration and vital statistics: progress in the data revolution for counting and accountability.

          New momentum for civil registration and vital statistics (CRVS) is building, driven by the confluence of growing demands for accountability and results in health, improved equity, and rights-based approaches to development challenges, and by the immense potential of innovation and new technologies to accelerate CRVS improvement. Examples of country successes in strengthening of hitherto weak systems are emerging. The key to success has been to build collaborative partnerships involving local ownership by several sectors that span registration, justice, health, statistics, and civil society. Regional partners can be important to raise awareness, set regional goals and targets, foster country-to-country exchange and mutual learning, and build high-level political commitment. These regional partners continue to provide a platform through which country stakeholders, development partners, and technical experts can share experiences, develop and document good practices, and propose innovative approaches to tackle CRVS challenges. This country and regional momentum would benefit from global leadership, commitment, and support.
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            Can we achieve Millennium Development Goal 4? New analysis of country trends and forecasts of under-5 mortality to 2015.

            Global efforts have increased the accuracy and timeliness of estimates of under-5 mortality; however, these estimates fail to use all data available, do not use transparent and reproducible methods, do not distinguish predictions from measurements, and provide no indication of uncertainty around point estimates. We aimed to develop new reproducible methods and reanalyse existing data to elucidate detailed time trends. We merged available databases, added to them when possible, and then applied Loess regression to estimate past trends and forecast to 2015 for 172 countries. We developed uncertainty estimates based on different model specifications and estimated levels and trends in neonatal, post-neonatal, and childhood mortality. Global under-5 mortality has fallen from 110 (109-110) per 1000 in 1980 to 72 (70-74) per 1000 in 2005. Child deaths worldwide have decreased from 13.5 (13.4-13.6) million in 1980 to an estimated 9.7 (9.5-10.0) million in 2005. Global under-5 mortality is expected to decline by 27% from 1990 to 2015, substantially less than the target of Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG4) of a 67% decrease. Several regions in Latin America, north Africa, the Middle East, Europe, and southeast Asia have had consistent annual rates of decline in excess of 4% over 35 years. Global progress on MDG4 is dominated by slow reductions in sub-Saharan Africa, which also has the slowest rates of decline in fertility. Globally, we are not doing a better job of reducing child mortality now than we were three decades ago. Further improvements in the quality and timeliness of child-mortality measurements should be possible by more fully using existing datasets and applying standard analytical strategies.
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              Recent trends in maternal, newborn, and child health in Brazil: progress toward Millennium Development Goals 4 and 5.

              We analyzed Brazil's efforts in reducing child mortality, improving maternal and child health, and reducing socioeconomic and regional inequalities from 1990 through 2007. We compiled and reanalyzed data from several sources, including vital statistics and population-based surveys. We also explored the roles of broad socioeconomic and demographic changes and the introduction of health sector and other reform measures in explaining the improvements observed. Our findings provide compelling evidence that proactive measures to reduce health disparities accompanied by socioeconomic progress can result in measurable improvements in the health of children and mothers in a relatively short interval. Our analysis of Brazil's successes and remaining challenges to reach and surpass Millennium Development Goals 4 and 5 can provide important lessons for other low- and middle-income countries.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                csp
                Cadernos de Saúde Pública
                Cad. Saúde Pública
                Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil )
                0102-311X
                1678-4464
                2017
                : 33
                : 3
                : e00206015
                Affiliations
                [5] Brasília orgnameOrganização Pan-Americana da Saúde Brasil
                [4] Rio de Janeiro Rio de Janeiro orgnameFundação Oswaldo Cruz orgdiv1Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca Brazil
                [2] Rio de Janeiro Rio de Janeiro orgnameFundação Oswaldo Cruz orgdiv1Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde Brazil
                [6] Brasília Distrito Federal orgnameAgência Nacional de Vigilância Sanitária Brazil
                [3] Goiânia Goiás orgnameUniversidade Federal de Goiás orgdiv1Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública Brazil
                [1] Recife orgnameInstituto de Medicina Integral Prof. Fernando Figueira Brasil
                Article
                S0102-311X2017000305014 S0102-311X(17)03300305014
                10.1590/0102-311x00206015
                28380150
                da27a04f-c09b-488e-8448-22f84bc6b453

                This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

                History
                : 08 January 2016
                : 02 June 2016
                Page count
                Figures: 0, Tables: 0, Equations: 0, References: 37, Pages: 0
                Product

                SciELO Public Health

                Self URI: Texto completo somente em PDF (PT)

                Birth Registration,Registros de Mortalidad,Registros de Mortalidade,Sistemas de Información,Registro de Nascimento,Estadísticas Vitales,Estatísticas Vitais,Sistemas de Informação,Mortality Registries,Information Systems,Vital Statistics,Registro de Nacimiento

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