Toward improved prediction of risk for atopy and asthma among preschoolers: A prospective
      cohort study

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Abstract

Atopy and asthma are commonly initiated during early life, and there is increasing interest in the development of preventive treatments for at-risk children. However, effective methods for assessing the level of risk in individual children are lacking. We sought to identify clinical and laboratory biomarkers in 2-year-olds that are predictive of the risk for persistent atopy and wheeze at age 5 years. We prospectively studied 198 atopic family history-positive children to age 5 years. Clinical and laboratory assessments related to asthma history and atopy status were undertaken annually; episodes of acute respiratory illness were assessed and classified throughout and graded by severity. Aeroallergen-specific IgE titers cycled continuously within the low range in nonatopic subjects. Atopic subjects displayed similar cycling in infancy but eventually locked into a stable pattern of upwardly trending antibody production and T(H)2-polarized cellular immunity. The latter was associated with stable expression of IL-4 receptor in allergen-specific T(H)2 memory responses, which was absent from responses during infancy. Risk for persistent wheeze was strongly linked to early sensitization and in turn to early infection. Integration of these data by means of logistic regression revealed that attaining mite-specific IgE titers of greater than 0.20 kU/L by age 2 years was associated with a 12.7% risk of persistent wheeze, increasing progressively to an 87.2% risk with increasing numbers of severe lower respiratory tract illnesses experienced. The risk for development of persistent wheeze in children can be quantified by means of integration of measures related to early sensitization and early infections. Follow-up studies along similar lines in larger unselected populations to refine this approach are warranted.

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Early-life respiratory viral infections, atopic sensitization, and risk of subsequent development of persistent asthma

Merci Kusel, Nicholas de Klerk, Tatiana Kebadze … (2007)

Background Severe lower respiratory infections (LRIs) and atopic sensitization have been identified as independent risk factors for asthma. Objective The nature of potential interactions between these risk factors was the subject of this study. Methods A community-based cohort of 198 children at high atopic risk was followed from birth to 5 years. All episodes of acute respiratory illness in the first year were recorded and postnasal aspirates were collected for viral identification. History of wheeze and asthma was collected annually, and atopy was assessed at 6 months, 2 years, and 5 years. Results A total of 815 episodes of acute respiratory illness were reported, and 33% were LRIs. Viruses were detected in 69% of aspirates, most commonly rhinoviruses (48.3%) and respiratory syncytial virus (10.9%). At 5 years, 28.3%(n = 56) had current wheeze, and this was associated with wheezy [odds ratio (OR), 3.4 (1.2-9.7); P = .02] and/or febrile LRI [OR, 3.9 (1.4-10.5); P = .007], in particular those caused by respiratory syncytial virus or rhinoviruses [OR, 4.1 (1.3-12.6); P = .02]. Comparable findings were made for current asthma. Strikingly these associations were restricted to children who displayed early sensitization (≤2 years old) and not observed in nonatopic patients or those sensitized later. Conclusion These data suggest viral infections interact with atopy in infancy to promote later asthma. Notably the occurrence of both of these events during this narrow developmental window is associated with maximal risk for subsequent asthma, which suggests a contribution from both classes of inflammatory insults to disease pathogenesis. Clinical implications Protection of “high-risk” children against the effects of severe respiratory infections during infancy may represent an effective strategy for primary asthma prevention. The potential benefits of these strategies merit more careful evaluation in this age group.

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TH1 and TH2 cells: different patterns of lymphokine secretion lead to different functional properties.

T R Mosmann, R L Coffman (1989)

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Role of respiratory viruses in acute upper and lower respiratory tract illness in the first year of life: a birth cohort study.

Merci Kusel, Nicholas de Klerk, Patrick Holt … (2006)

Although acute respiratory illnesses (ARI) are major causes of morbidity and mortality in early childhood worldwide, little progress has been made in their control and prophylaxis. Most studies have focused on hospitalized children or children from closed populations. It is essential that the viral etiology of these clinical diseases be accurately defined in the development of antiviral drugs. To investigate the role of all common respiratory viruses as upper and lower respiratory tract pathogens in the first year of life. This community-based birth cohort study prospectively collected detailed information on all ARI contracted by 263 infants from birth until 1 year of age. Nasopharyngeal aspirates were collected for each ARI episode, and all common respiratory viruses were detected by polymerase chain reaction. Episodes were classified as upper respiratory illnesses or lower respiratory illnesses (LRI), with or without wheeze. The majority reported 2-5 episodes of ARI in the first year (range, 0-11 episodes; mean, 4.1). One-third were LRI, and 29% of these were associated with wheeze. Viruses were detected in 69% of ARI; most common were rhinoviruses (48.5%) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) (10.9%). Compared with RSV, >10 times the number of upper respiratory illnesses and >3 times the number of both LRI and wheezing LRI were attributed to rhinoviruses. Rhinoviruses are the major upper and lower respiratory pathogens in the first year of life. Although RSV is strongly associated with severe LRI requiring hospitalization, the role of rhinoviruses as the major lower respiratory pathogens in infants has not previously been recognized.