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      Epidemiology of COVID‐19: A Systematic Review and Meta‐analysis of Clinical Characteristics, Risk factors and Outcomes

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          Abstract

          Background

          COVID‐19 has become a pandemic, but its reported characteristics and outcomes vary greatly amongst studies.

          Objectives

          We determined pooled estimates for clinical characteristics and outcomes in COVID‐19 patients including subgroups by disease severity (based on WHO Interim Guidance Report or IDSA/ATS criteria) and by country/region.

          Methods

          We searched Pubmed, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane, Chinese Medical Journal, and preprint databases from January 1, 2020 to April 6, 2020. Studies of laboratory confirmed COVID‐19 patients with relevant data were included. Two reviewers independently performed study selection and data extraction.

          Results

          From 6,007 articles, 212 studies from 11 countries/regions involving 281,461 individuals were analyzed. Overall, mean age was 46 .7 years, 51.8% were male, 22.9% had severe disease, and mortality was 5.6%. Underlying immunosuppression, diabetes, and malignancy were most strongly associated with severe COVID‐19 (coefficient=53.9, 23.4, 23.4, respectively, all p<0.0007), while older age, male gender, diabetes, and hypertension were also associated with higher mortality (coefficient=0.05 per year, 5.1, 8.2, 6.99, respectively, p=0.006 to 0.0002). Gastrointestinal (nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain) and respiratory symptoms (shortness of breath, chest pain) were associated with severe COVID‐19, while pneumonia and end organ failure were associated with mortality.

          Conclusion

          COVID‐19 is associated with a severe disease course in about 23% and mortality in about 6% of infected persons. Individuals with comorbidities and clinical features associated with severity should be monitored closely, and preventive efforts should especially target those with diabetes, malignancy and immunosuppression.

          This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

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          Author and article information

          Contributors
          mindiehn@stanford.edu
          Journal
          J Med Virol
          J. Med. Virol
          10.1002/(ISSN)1096-9071
          JMV
          Journal of Medical Virology
          John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
          0146-6615
          1096-9071
          13 August 2020
          : 10.1002/jmv.26424
          Affiliations
          [ 1 ] Department of Infectious Disease Shandong Provincial Hospital affiliated to Shandong First Medical University Jinan Shandong China
          [ 2 ] Department of Infectious Disease Shandong Provincial Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University Jinan Shandong 250021 China
          [ 3 ] Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine National University Hospital Singapore
          [ 4 ] Department of Medicine Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore Singapore
          [ 5 ] Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Stanford University Medical Center Stanford CA USA
          [ 6 ] Division of Infectious Disease The Third People's Hospital of Shenzhen Shenzhen Guangdong China
          [ 7 ] Department of Internal Medicine School of Medicine, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Guangdong China
          [ 8 ] Lane Medical Library School of Medicine, Stanford University Stanford CA USA
          [ 9 ] Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System Palo Alto California USA
          Author notes
          [*] [* ] Correspondence Mindie H. Nguyen, MD, MAS, Professor of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University Medical Center, 750 Welch Road, Suite 210, Palo Alto, CA 94304.

          Email: mindiehn@ 123456stanford.edu

          [†]

          These authors contributed equally to this article.

          Author information
          http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6275-4989
          Article
          JMV26424
          10.1002/jmv.26424
          7436673
          32790106
          c496448c-c81f-45ee-ae51-b9501ab8f7fc
          This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

          This article is being made freely available through PubMed Central as part of the COVID-19 public health emergency response. It can be used for unrestricted research re-use and analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source, for the duration of the public health emergency.

          History
          Page count
          Figures: 0, Tables: 0, Pages: 36, Words: 444
          Categories
          Research Article
          Research Articles
          Custom metadata
          2.0
          accepted-manuscript
          Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_JATSPMC version:5.8.7 mode:remove_FC converted:19.08.2020

          Microbiology & Virology
          clinical characteristics,covid‐19,mortality,risk factors,severe
          Microbiology & Virology
          clinical characteristics, covid‐19, mortality, risk factors, severe

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