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      Genotype scores predict drug efficacy in subtypes of female sexual interest/arousal disorder: A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled cross-over trial

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          Abstract

          Attempts to develop a drug treatment for female sexual interest/arousal disorder have so far been guided by the principle of ‘one size fits all’, and have failed to acknowledge the complexity of female sexuality. Guided by personalized medicine, we designed two on-demand drugs targeting two distinct hypothesized causal mechanisms for this sexual disorder. The objective of this study was to design and test a novel procedure, based on genotyping, that predicts which of the two on-demand drugs will yield a positive treatment response. In a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled cross-over experiment, 139 women with female sexual interest/arousal disorder received three different on-demand drug-combination treatments during three 2-week periods: testosterone 0.5 mg + sildenafil 50 mg, testosterone 0.5 mg + buspirone 10 mg, and matching placebo. The primary endpoint was change in satisfactory sexual events. Subjects’ genetic profile was assessed using a microarray chip that measures 300,000 single-nucleotide polymorphisms. A preselection of single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with genes that are shown to be involved in sexual behaviour were combined into a Phenotype Prediction Score. The Phenotype Prediction Score demarcation formula was developed and subsequently validated on separate data sets. Prediction of drug-responders with the Phenotype Prediction Score demarcation formula gave large effect sizes (d = 0.66 through 1.06) in the true drug-responders, and medium effect sizes (d = 0.51 and d = 0.47) in all patients (including identified double, and non-responders). Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the Phenotype Prediction Score demarcation formula were all between 0.78 and 0.79, and thus sufficient. The resulting Phenotype Prediction Score was validated and shown to effectively and reliably predict which women would benefit from which on-demand drug, and could therefore also be useful in clinical practice, as a companion diagnostic establishing the way to a true personalized medicine approach.

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          Rare and common variants: twenty arguments.

          Genome-wide association studies have greatly improved our understanding of the genetic basis of disease risk. The fact that they tend not to identify more than a fraction of the specific causal loci has led to divergence of opinion over whether most of the variance is hidden as numerous rare variants of large effect or as common variants of very small effect. Here I review 20 arguments for and against each of these models of the genetic basis of complex traits and conclude that both classes of effect can be readily reconciled.
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            Common disorders are quantitative traits.

            After drifting apart for 100 years, the two worlds of genetics - quantitative genetics and molecular genetics - are finally coming together in genome-wide association (GWA) research, which shows that the heritability of complex traits and common disorders is due to multiple genes of small effect size. We highlight a polygenic framework, supported by recent GWA research, in which qualitative disorders can be interpreted simply as being the extremes of quantitative dimensions. Research that focuses on quantitative traits - including the low and high ends of normal distributions - could have far-reaching implications for the diagnosis, treatment and prevention of the problematic extremes of these traits.
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              Size of treatment effects and their importance to clinical research and practice.

              In randomized clinical trails (RCTs), effect sizes seen in earlier studies guide both the choice of the effect size that sets the appropriate threshold of clinical significance and the rationale to believe that the true effect size is above that threshold worth pursuing in an RCT. That threshold is used to determine the necessary sample size for the proposed RCT. Once the RCT is done, the data generated are used to estimate the true effect size and its confidence interval. Clinical significance is assessed by comparing the true effect size to the threshold effect size. In subsequent meta-analysis, this effect size is combined with others, ultimately to determine whether treatment (T) is clinically significantly better than control (C). Thus, effect sizes play an important role both in designing RCTs and in interpreting their results; but specifically which effect size? We review the principles of statistical significance, power, and meta-analysis, and commonly used effect sizes. The commonly used effect sizes are limited in conveying clinical significance. We recommend three equivalent effect sizes: number needed to treat, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve comparing T and C responses, and success rate difference, chosen specifically to convey clinical significance.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Womens Health (Lond)
                Womens Health (Lond)
                WHE
                spwhe
                Women's Health
                SAGE Publications (Sage UK: London, England )
                1745-5057
                1745-5065
                17 July 2018
                2018
                : 14
                : 1745506518788970
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Emotional Brain BV, Almere, The Netherlands
                [2 ]Chemistry and Life Sciences, V.O. Patients & Trademarks, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
                [3 ]Alan Turing Institute Almere, Almere, The Netherlands
                [4 ]Department of Experimental Psychology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
                [5 ]Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine (IDM), University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
                [6 ]Department of Psychiatry and Mental Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
                [7 ]Utrecht Institute for Pharmaceutical Sciences and Rudolf Magnus Institute of Neuroscience, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
                [8 ]Division of Pharmacology, Utrecht Institute for Pharmaceutical Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
                [9 ]Department of Central Hospital Pharmacy, Viecuri Hospital, Venlo, The Netherlands
                [10 ]Exelion Bio-Pharmaceutical Consultancy B.V., Waddinxveen, The Netherlands
                [11 ]Department of Information and Computing Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
                [12 ]Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
                [13 ]Research Group of Pharmaceutical Technology and Biopharmacy, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherland
                [14 ]Department of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
                [15 ]Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
                [16 ]Department of Psychology, Centre for Studies in Behavioral Neurobiology, Concordia University, Montreal, QC, Canada
                Author notes
                [*]Adriaan Tuiten, Emotional Brain BV, Louis Armstrongweg 78, 1311 RL, Almere, The Netherlands. Email: a.tuiten@ 123456emotionalbrain.nl
                Article
                10.1177_1745506518788970
                10.1177/1745506518788970
                6052493
                30016917
                bbeedd21-e38e-4d61-a071-95421eab7b3c
                © The Author(s) 2018

                This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License ( http://www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages ( https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).

                History
                : 22 March 2018
                : 17 May 2018
                : 25 June 2018
                Funding
                Funded by: Emotional Brain B.V., Almere, The Netherlands, ;
                Categories
                Special Topic – Personalized Medicine in Women’s Health
                Custom metadata
                January-December 2018

                female sexual interest/arousal disorder,genotype scores,hypoactive sexual desire disorder,personalized medicine,phenotype prediction score,satisfactory sexual events,single-nucleotide polymorphisms,testosterone

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