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      Time to Death and Associated Factors among Tuberculosis Patients in Dangila Woreda, Northwest Ethiopia

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          Abstract

          Background

          Tuberculosis (TB) is among the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. More than 70% of the deaths of TB patients occur during the first two months of TB treatment. The major risk factors that increase early death of TB patients are being positive for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), being of old age, being underweight or undergoing re-treatment.

          Objective

          To assess the time of reported deaths and associated factors in a cohort of patients with TB during TB treatment.

          Methods

          An institution-based retrospective cohort study was analyzed in Dangila Woreda, Northwest Ethiopia from March 1 st through March 30, 2014. All TB patients registered in the direct observed treatment (DOTs) clinic from 2008–2012 were included in the study. Data were entered into EpiData and exported to SPSS for analysis. The survival probability was analyzed by the Kaplan Meier method and Cox regression analysis was applied to investigate factors associated with death during TB treatment.

          Results

          From a total of 872 cases registered in TB registry log book, 810 were used for the analysis of which 60 (7.4%) died during the treatment. The overall mortality rate was 12.8/1000 person months of observation. A majority of TB deaths 34 (56.7%) occurred during the intensive phase of the treatment, and the median time of death was at two months of the treatment. Age, HIV status and baseline body weight were independent predictors of death during TB treatment.

          Conclusions

          Most deaths occurred in the first two months of TB treatment. Old age, TB/HIV co-infection and a baseline body weight of <35 kg increased the mortality during TB treatment. Therefore, a special follow up of TB patients during the intensive phase, of older patients and of TB/HIV co-infected cases, as well as nutritionally supplementing for underweight patients may be important to consider as interventions to reduce deaths during TB treatment.

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          Most cited references11

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          Treatment outcome of tuberculosis patients at Gondar University Teaching Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia. A five - year retrospective study

          Background In Gondar University Teaching Hospital standardized tuberculosis prevention and control programme, incorporating Directly Observed Treatment, Short Course (DOTS) started in 2000. According to the proposal of World Health Organization (WHO), treatment outcome is an important indicator of tuberculosis control programs. This study investigated the outcome of tuberculosis treatment at Gondar University Teaching Hospital in Northwest Ethiopia. Methods We analyzed the records of 4000 tuberculosis patients registered at Gondar University Teaching Hospital from September 2003 to May 2008. Treatment outcome and tuberculosis type were categorized according to the national tuberculosis control program guideline. Multivariate analysis using logistic regression model was used to analyse the association between treatment outcome and potential predictor variables. Results From the total of 4000 patients, tuberculosis type was categorized as extrapulmonary in 1133 (28.3%), smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis in 2196 (54.9%) and smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis in 671 (16.8%) cases. Of all patients, treatment outcome was classified as successfully treated in 1181(29.5%), defaulted in 730 (18.3%), died in 403 (10.1%), treatment failed in six (0.2%) and transferred out in 1680 (42.0%) patients. Males had the trend to be more likely to experience death or default than females, and the elderly were more likely to die than younger. The proportion of default rate was increased across the years from 97(9.2%) to 228(42.9%). Being female, age group 15-24 years, smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis and being urban resident were associated with higher treatment success rate. Conclusion The treatment success rate of tuberculosis patients was unsatisfactorily low (29.5%). A high proportion of patients died (10.1%) or defaulted (18.3%), which is a serious public health concern that needs to be addressed urgently.
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            Mortality and associated risk factors in a cohort of tuberculosis patients treated under DOTS programme in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

            Background Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of mortality among infectious diseases worldwide. Ninty five percent of TB cases and 98% of deaths due to TB occur in developing countries. Globally, the mortality rate has declined with the introduction of effective anti TB chemotherapy. Nevertheless, some patients with active TB still die while on treatment for their disease. In Ethiopia, little is known on survival and risk factors for mortality among a cohort of TB patients. The objective of the study is to determine the magnitude and identify risk factors associated with time to death among TB patients treated under DOTS programme in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Methods This is a retrospective cohort study. Data was obtained by assessing medical records of TB patients registered from June 2004 to July 2009 G.C and treated under the DOTS strategy in three randomly selected health centers. A step-wise multivariable Cox's regression model and Kaplan- Meier curves were used to model the outcome of interest. Mortality was used as an outcome measure. Person-years of observation (PYO) were calculated from the date of starting anti-TB treatment to date of outcome and was calculated as the number of deaths/100 PYO. Statistical analysis SPSS version 16 was used for data analysis and results were reported significant whenever P-value was less than 5%. Results From a total of 6,450 registered TB patients 236(3.7%) were died. More than 75% death occurred within eight month of treatment initiation. The mean and median times of survival starting from the date of treatment initiation were 7.2 and 7.9 months, respectively. Comparison of survival curves using Kaplan Meier curves method with log-rank test showed that the survival status was significantly different between patient categories as well as across treatment centers (P < 0.05). The death rate of pulmonary positive, pulmonary negative and extra pulmonary TB patients were 2.7%, 3.6%, and 4.3%, respectively. Body weight at initiation of anti-TB treatment (<35 kg), patient category, year of enrollment and treatment center were independent predictors for time to death. Conclusions Most of the patients were died at the end of treatment period. This underlines the need for devising a mechanism of standardizing the existing DOTS programme and nutritional support for underweight patients for better clinical and treatment outcome.
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              High early death rate in tuberculosis patients in Malawi.

              Thirty-eight district and mission hospitals in Malawi. In patients registered with all types of tuberculosis (TB) in 1997 to determine 1) treatment outcomes, and 2) when in the course of anti-tuberculosis treatment TB deaths occurred. A retrospective study using information from TB registers, health centre registers, TB treatment cards and TB ward admission books. A total of 16,004 patients were registered with all types of TB, 6471 with smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB), 5305 with smear-negative PTB and 4228 with extra-pulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB). Of patients with all types of TB, 3720 (23%) died: death rates were 22% in smear-positive PTB, 26% in smear-negative PTB and 22% in EPTB. Month of death was known in 3371 patients (91% of those who died) and day of death in 3326 patients (89% of those who died). In patients who died, 19% of deaths occurred by day 7 and 41% by the end of the first month of treatment. A higher proportion of early deaths occurred in patients with smear-negative PTB and EPTB and in relation to increasing age. There was a high overall death rate in TB patients registered in 1997, with 40% of deaths occurring in the first month of treatment. Strategies to combat this problem are needed.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                15 December 2015
                2015
                : 10
                : 12
                : e0144244
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Monitoring and Evaluation, Addis Ababa City Administration Health Bureau, Yeka Sub-City, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
                [2 ]Department of Medical Laboratory Sciences and Pathology, College of Health Sciences, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
                [3 ]Department of Statistics, College of Natural Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
                [4 ]Department of Epidemiology, College of Health Sciences, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
                University of Otago, NEW ZEALAND
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Conceived and designed the experiments: AB GT TD KW. Performed the experiments: AB. Analyzed the data: AB TD KW. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: AB GT TD KW. Wrote the paper: AB GT TD KW.

                Article
                PONE-D-15-25899
                10.1371/journal.pone.0144244
                4687639
                26669737
                ab46168e-2a18-4ffc-9c6a-1f8e0fb2bab3
                © 2015 Birlie et al

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited

                History
                : 13 June 2015
                : 16 November 2015
                Page count
                Figures: 1, Tables: 3, Pages: 10
                Funding
                This work was funded by Jimma University Postgraduate Coordination Office, www.ju.edu.et. The funding was received by AB. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
                Categories
                Research Article
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                All relevant data are within the paper.

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