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      Equitable, effective, and feasible approaches for a prospective fossil fuel transition

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          Abstract

          Most fossil fuel resources must remain unused to comply with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Scholars and policymakers debate which approaches should be undertaken to Leave Fossil Fuels Underground (LFFU). However, existing scholarship has not yet inventoried and evaluated the array of approaches to LFFU based on their effectiveness, equity, or feasibility. Hence, this review article asks: What lessons can we learn from reviewing scholarship on proposed approaches to leaving fossil fuels underground (LFFU)? We identify 28 unique LFFU approaches, of which only 12 are deemed environmentally effective (e.g., fossil fuel extraction taxes, bans and moratoria, and financial swaps); eight involve moderate‐to‐high (non‐)monetary costs, and only four are deemed entirely just and equitable. Of the 12 environmentally effective approaches: only three were deemed cost‐effective (regulating financial capital for fossil fuel projects, removing existing fossil fuel subsidies, and bans & moratoria); merely four were deemed equitable (asset write‐offs, retiring existing fossil infrastructure, pursuing court cases/litigation, and financial swaps); and all were deemed institutionally problematic in terms of their feasibility (six were challenging to implement as they threatened the vested interests of powerful stakeholder groups). Moreover, the reviewed scholarship draws heavily on empirical studies of how these LFFU approaches can be optimized in European, North American, and Chinese contexts; fewer studies have explored the effectiveness and fairness of LFFU approaches in the South and/or in a North–South context. Future research should particularly focus on North–South fossil fuel financial flows, which have received comparatively little attention.

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          • The Carbon Economy and Climate Mitigation > Decarbonizing Energy and/or Reducing Demand

          Abstract

          A menu item of 28 possible approaches for Leaving Fossil Fuels Underground (LFFU) is identified, all of which embody varying degrees of environmental effectiveness, cost effectiveness, justice and equitability, and institutional feasibility, depicted by the visual abstract below.

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          Systematic review or scoping review? Guidance for authors when choosing between a systematic or scoping review approach

          Background Scoping reviews are a relatively new approach to evidence synthesis and currently there exists little guidance regarding the decision to choose between a systematic review or scoping review approach when synthesising evidence. The purpose of this article is to clearly describe the differences in indications between scoping reviews and systematic reviews and to provide guidance for when a scoping review is (and is not) appropriate. Results Researchers may conduct scoping reviews instead of systematic reviews where the purpose of the review is to identify knowledge gaps, scope a body of literature, clarify concepts or to investigate research conduct. While useful in their own right, scoping reviews may also be helpful precursors to systematic reviews and can be used to confirm the relevance of inclusion criteria and potential questions. Conclusions Scoping reviews are a useful tool in the ever increasing arsenal of evidence synthesis approaches. Although conducted for different purposes compared to systematic reviews, scoping reviews still require rigorous and transparent methods in their conduct to ensure that the results are trustworthy. Our hope is that with clear guidance available regarding whether to conduct a scoping review or a systematic review, there will be less scoping reviews being performed for inappropriate indications better served by a systematic review, and vice-versa.
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            A scoping review of scoping reviews: advancing the approach and enhancing the consistency

            Background The scoping review has become an increasingly popular approach for synthesizing research evidence. It is a relatively new approach for which a universal study definition or definitive procedure has not been established. The purpose of this scoping review was to provide an overview of scoping reviews in the literature. Methods A scoping review was conducted using the Arksey and O'Malley framework. A search was conducted in four bibliographic databases and the gray literature to identify scoping review studies. Review selection and characterization were performed by two independent reviewers using pretested forms. Results The search identified 344 scoping reviews published from 1999 to October 2012. The reviews varied in terms of purpose, methodology, and detail of reporting. Nearly three-quarter of reviews (74.1%) addressed a health topic. Study completion times varied from 2 weeks to 20 months, and 51% utilized a published methodological framework. Quality assessment of included studies was infrequently performed (22.38%). Conclusions Scoping reviews are a relatively new but increasingly common approach for mapping broad topics. Because of variability in their conduct, there is a need for their methodological standardization to ensure the utility and strength of evidence. © 2014 The Authors. Research Synthesis Methods published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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              The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C

              Policy makers have generally agreed that the average global temperature rise caused by greenhouse gas emissions should not exceed 2 °C above the average global temperature of pre-industrial times. It has been estimated that to have at least a 50 per cent chance of keeping warming below 2 °C throughout the twenty-first century, the cumulative carbon emissions between 2011 and 2050 need to be limited to around 1,100 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (Gt CO2). However, the greenhouse gas emissions contained in present estimates of global fossil fuel reserves are around three times higher than this, and so the unabated use of all current fossil fuel reserves is incompatible with a warming limit of 2 °C. Here we use a single integrated assessment model that contains estimates of the quantities, locations and nature of the world's oil, gas and coal reserves and resources, and which is shown to be consistent with a wide variety of modelling approaches with different assumptions, to explore the implications of this emissions limit for fossil fuel production in different regions. Our results suggest that, globally, a third of oil reserves, half of gas reserves and over 80 per cent of current coal reserves should remain unused from 2010 to 2050 in order to meet the target of 2 °C. We show that development of resources in the Arctic and any increase in unconventional oil production are incommensurate with efforts to limit average global warming to 2 °C. Our results show that policy makers' instincts to exploit rapidly and completely their territorial fossil fuels are, in aggregate, inconsistent with their commitments to this temperature limit. Implementation of this policy commitment would also render unnecessary continued substantial expenditure on fossil fuel exploration, because any new discoveries could not lead to increased aggregate production.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                a.m.rempel@uva.nl
                Journal
                Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change
                Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change
                10.1002/(ISSN)1757-7799
                WCC
                Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. Climate Change
                John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (Hoboken, USA )
                1757-7780
                1757-7799
                28 December 2021
                Mar-Apr 2022
                : 13
                : 2 ( doiID: 10.1002/wcc.v13.2 )
                : e756
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Governance and Inclusive Development Research Group University of Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands
                [ 2 ] Governance and Inclusive Development Research Group Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research, University of Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands
                [ 3 ] IHE‐Delft Institute for Water Education Delft The Netherlands
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence

                Arthur Rempel, Governance and Inclusive Development Research Group, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Email: a.m.rempel@ 123456uva.nl

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7296-1009
                Article
                WCC756
                10.1002/wcc.756
                9286627
                35865191
                aa6657b6-fe49-4d03-9dd5-1a914c1d2641
                © 2021 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.

                History
                : 05 December 2021
                : 23 July 2021
                : 10 December 2021
                Page count
                Figures: 31, Tables: 2, Pages: 32, Words: 17653
                Funding
                Funded by: H2020 European Research Council , doi 10.13039/100010663;
                Award ID: 101020082
                Funded by: Stichting voor de Technische Wetenschappen , doi 10.13039/501100003958;
                Award ID: W07.303.104
                Funded by: Universiteit van Amsterdam , doi 10.13039/501100001827;
                Categories
                Decarbonizing Energy and/or Reducing Demand
                Advanced Review
                Advanced Reviews
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                March/April 2022
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_JATSPMC version:6.1.7 mode:remove_FC converted:15.07.2022

                climate change,climate justice,climate policy,fossil fuels,fossil transition

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