Introduction
Population aging has been represented as one of the main global trends in future prospects,
and Brazil is increasingly becoming established within this scenario. While life expectancy
is estimated to be over 83 years in countries like Japan, Switzerland, and Spain,
in others such as Nigeria and Somalia individuals reach an average age of 55. In 2018,
life expectancy was estimated at 71 years in Brazil.
1
The relationship between health and development is quite complex, and it presents
countless interactions. Both life expectancy and main causes of death appear as indicators
of a region or a country’s quality of life. They are signs of lifestyle (and advice
regarding adequate change), preventative healthcare services provided to the community
and advances in diagnostic techniques.
2
Health conditions are influenced by the socio-economic environment, given that higher
indicators of income and educational level manifest as adoption of healthier lifestyle
habits and, naturally, access to more effective treatment.
3
In the past, communicable diseases represented the leading cause of death. In low-income
countries, 52% of deaths were caused by communicable diseases, conditions resulting
from pregnancy and childbirth, and other issues related to nutritional deficiencies.
In contrast, in high-income countries, these causes accounted for at most 7% of deaths.
4
It is estimated that, by 2030, most countries will have made the much acclaimed epidemiological
transition and have profiles with a higher prevalence of non-communicable diseases.
Relationship between economic development and cardiovascular mortality
In 2016, of the 56.9 million deaths that occurred worldwide, ischemic heart disease
and stroke were the two leading causes, and they have remained the main causes of
global death over the past 15 years. It is, nonetheless, worth emphasizing that causes
of mortality vary according to countries’ wealth patterns.
4
A recent publication presents data from a prospective, multicenter study involving
155,722 participants from 21 different countries, which evaluated risk factors and
mortality from cardiovascular diseases (CVD).
Countries were stratified according to level of economic development. It was observed
that the majority of diseases and deaths related to the cardiovascular system could
be attributed to a small number of modifiable risk factors, some with important effects,
others varying by the countries’ economic levels. The study emphasizes, moreover,
that health policies should concentrate on specific risk factors. For example, low
educational level’s association with CVD and death was strongly identified in countries
with low to medium economic development. In developed countries, 70% of CVD were attributed
to modifiable risk factors (with the exception of environmental pollution), with the
important contribution of metabolic risk factors and tobacco use. In undeveloped countries,
80% of diseases and deaths due to cardiovascular etiology were attributed to modifiable
risk factors, with the important contribution of metabolic factors, environmental
pollution, and poor diet. Level of education’s association with death is even stronger
than its association with wealth. From early childhood onward, education affects multiple
living conditions, including living and working in healthier environments and greater
access to health services. It is worth reiterating that improvements in education
will likely decrease the number of deaths from different conditions, indicating that
investments in this area could bring wide reaching benefits to health.
5
Socioeconomic aspects of the incidence of malignant neoplasms
The prevalence of cancer is relevant worldwide. In 2018, on the global level, one
in every six deaths was related to this group of diseases. Malignant neoplasms are
also responsible for approximately 70% of deaths in low- and middle-income countries.
6
Some Western countries have managed to control the incidence of determined types of
cancer by reducing the prevalence of classic risk factors, as well as by early detection
and appropriate treatment. However, lung, breast, and cervical neoplasms continue
to increase significantly, due to risk factors typical in Western countries, such
as tobacco use, obesity, sedentarism, and changing reproductive patterns. Organs such
as the stomach, liver, and cervix also continue to present high morbidity related
to infection.
Countries with high economic development continue to present high incidences of lung,
colorectal, breast, and prostate cancer. What are distinct, however, are the mortality
rates; while there is a reduction in the number of deaths from cancer in developed
countries, this figure increases in undeveloped countries. Mortality rates due to
malignant neoplasms have been increasing in countries with low levels of development,
as a consequence of increased prevalence of risk factors, such as increased tobacco
use, excess body weight, physical inactivity, and better treatment.
7
The article “Trends in Mortality Rates from Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer between
2000 and 2015 in the Most Populous Capital Cities of the Five Regions of Brazil”
8
presents important conclusions regarding the incidence of cancer and CVD in relation
to a country’s level of development. In England, for instance, the rate of mortality
from CVD decreased more than the rate from cancer. In individuals over the age of
75, in particular, the impact of advances made in diagnosis and treatment on the mortality
rate from cancer was even lower. In 2011, the age-standardized mortality rate from
cancer exceeded that of CVD in both sexes, in the United Kingdom, long before this
is observed in Brazil.
9
In the USA, mortality rates from cancer in adults between the ages of 45 and 64 decreased
by 19%, from 1999 to 2017, whereas rates of mortality from heart diseases decreased
by 22%, from 1999 to 2011, and then increased by 4% from 2011 to 2017. The mortality
rate from cancer has always been higher than that from heart diseases in that country.
10
Final considerations
In this manner, Brazil continues with its demographic transformation and its epidemiological
transition. Population aging, as previously observed, is a foreseeable trend, allowing
society and individuals to plan for this new profile. As a national panorama, our
demographic profile is already similar to that of large countries. The elderly group
(individuals over the age of 60) is growing faster than any other age group in Brazil.
Nevertheless, the epidemiological transition continues with inequality: The group
of Brazilians who live with housing and income conditions similar to those in developed
countries also demonstrate morbidity and mortality similar to those countries, whereas
the rest of the population, which constitutes the majority of Brazilians, lives in
poverty with scarce healthcare resources.
A correlation was recently demonstrated between the evolutionary variation of gross
domestic product (GDP) per capita in the municipalities of the state of Rio de Janeiro
and reduced mortality from coronary artery disease.
11
This once again emphasizes the importance of the need for better living conditions
in order to reduce cardiovascular mortality. For this and other reasons, Martins et
al.
8
draw attention to the need to fragment the discussion regarding death trends in Brazil,
due to the distinct profiles the country presents, which correspond to different GDP
and indicators of education.
The main challenge in Brazil will be that of recognizing this new profile that is
being unveiled and designing targeted strategies according to the peculiarities found,
leading to greater health promotion for the entire population in an equitable manner.