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      Strategies for feeding the world more sustainably with organic agriculture

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          Abstract

          Organic agriculture is proposed as a promising approach to achieving sustainable food systems, but its feasibility is also contested. We use a food systems model that addresses agronomic characteristics of organic agriculture to analyze the role that organic agriculture could play in sustainable food systems. Here we show that a 100% conversion to organic agriculture needs more land than conventional agriculture but reduces N-surplus and pesticide use. However, in combination with reductions of food wastage and food-competing feed from arable land, with correspondingly reduced production and consumption of animal products, land use under organic agriculture remains below the reference scenario. Other indicators such as greenhouse gas emissions also improve, but adequate nitrogen supply is challenging. Besides focusing on production, sustainable food systems need to address waste, crop–grass–livestock interdependencies and human consumption. None of the corresponding strategies needs full implementation and their combined partial implementation delivers a more sustainable food future.

          Abstract

          Organic agriculture requires fewer inputs but produces lower yields than conventional farming. Here, via a modeling approach, Muller et al. predict that if food waste and meat consumption are reduced, organic agriculture could feed the world without requiring cropland expansion.

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          Most cited references28

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          Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production

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            Soil fertility and biodiversity in organic farming.

            An understanding of agroecosystems is key to determining effective farming systems. Here we report results from a 21-year study of agronomic and ecological performance of biodynamic, bioorganic, and conventional farming systems in Central Europe. We found crop yields to be 20% lower in the organic systems, although input of fertilizer and energy was reduced by 34 to 53% and pesticide input by 97%. Enhanced soil fertility and higher biodiversity found in organic plots may render these systems less dependent on external inputs.
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              Comparing the yields of organic and conventional agriculture.

              Numerous reports have emphasized the need for major changes in the global food system: agriculture must meet the twin challenge of feeding a growing population, with rising demand for meat and high-calorie diets, while simultaneously minimizing its global environmental impacts. Organic farming—a system aimed at producing food with minimal harm to ecosystems, animals or humans—is often proposed as a solution. However, critics argue that organic agriculture may have lower yields and would therefore need more land to produce the same amount of food as conventional farms, resulting in more widespread deforestation and biodiversity loss, and thus undermining the environmental benefits of organic practices. Here we use a comprehensive meta-analysis to examine the relative yield performance of organic and conventional farming systems globally. Our analysis of available data shows that, overall, organic yields are typically lower than conventional yields. But these yield differences are highly contextual, depending on system and site characteristics, and range from 5% lower organic yields (rain-fed legumes and perennials on weak-acidic to weak-alkaline soils), 13% lower yields (when best organic practices are used), to 34% lower yields (when the conventional and organic systems are most comparable). Under certain conditions—that is, with good management practices, particular crop types and growing conditions—organic systems can thus nearly match conventional yields, whereas under others it at present cannot. To establish organic agriculture as an important tool in sustainable food production, the factors limiting organic yields need to be more fully understood, alongside assessments of the many social, environmental and economic benefits of organic farming systems.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                adrian.mueller@fibl.org
                Journal
                Nat Commun
                Nat Commun
                Nature Communications
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2041-1723
                14 November 2017
                14 November 2017
                2017
                : 8
                : 1290
                Affiliations
                [1 ]ISNI 0000 0004 0511 762X, GRID grid.424520.5, Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL), ; Ackerstrasse 113, 5070 Frick, Switzerland
                [2 ]Institute of Environmental Decisions, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland
                [3 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1937 0300, GRID grid.420153.1, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), ; Viale Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy
                [4 ]Institute of Social Ecology Vienna (SEC), Alpen-Adria University Klagenfurt-Vienna-Graz, Schottenfeldgasse 29, 1070 Wien, Austria
                [5 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7291, GRID grid.7107.1, Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, , University of Aberdeen, ; 23 St Machar Drive, AB24 3UU Aberdeen, UK
                [6 ]bovicare GmbH, Hermannswerder Haus 14, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8335-4159
                Article
                1410
                10.1038/s41467-017-01410-w
                5686079
                29138387
                a6deab22-1963-4e20-9e64-19949e43f79c
                © The Author(s) 2017

                Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 26 February 2016
                : 15 September 2017
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