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      Evaluation of the long‐term cost‐effectiveness of once‐weekly semaglutide versus dulaglutide for treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the UK

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          Abstract

          Aims

          Glucagon‐like peptide‐1 (GLP‐1) receptor agonists are appealing as glucose‐lowering therapy for individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) as they also reduce body weight and are associated with low rates of hypoglycaemia. This analysis assessed the long‐term cost‐effectiveness of semaglutide 0.5 and 1 mg vs dulaglutide 1.5 mg (two once‐weekly GLP‐1 receptor agonists) from a UK healthcare payer perspective, based on the head‐to‐head SUSTAIN 7 trial, to inform healthcare decision making.

          Materials and Methods

          Long‐term outcomes were projected using the IQVIA CORE Diabetes Model (version 9.0). Baseline cohort characteristics, changes in physiological parameters and adverse event rates were derived from the 40‐week SUSTAIN 7 trial. Costs to a healthcare payer were assessed, and these captured pharmacy costs and costs of complications. Utilities were taken from published sources.

          Results

          Once‐weekly semaglutide 0.5 and 1 mg were associated with improvements in quality‐adjusted life expectancy of 0.04 and 0.10 quality‐adjusted life years, respectively, compared with dulaglutide 1.5 mg. Clinical benefits were achieved at reduced costs, with lifetime cost savings of GBP 35 with once‐weekly semaglutide 0.5 mg and GBP 106 with the once‐weekly semaglutide 1 mg, resulting from fewer diabetes‐related complications due to better glycaemic control. Therefore, both doses of once‐weekly semaglutide were considered dominant vs dulaglutide 1.5 mg (improving outcomes and reducing costs).

          Conclusions

          Compared with treatment with dulaglutide, once‐weekly semaglutide represents a cost‐effective option for treating individuals in the UK with T2DM who are not achieving glycaemic control with metformin, projected to both improve clinical outcomes and reduce costs.

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          Most cited references23

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          Risk of hypoglycaemia in types 1 and 2 diabetes: effects of treatment modalities and their duration.

          (2007)
          We explored the epidemiology of hypoglycaemia in individuals with insulin-treated diabetes by testing the hypothesis that diabetes type and duration of insulin treatment influence the risk of hypoglycaemia. This was an observational study over 9-12 months in six UK secondary care diabetes centres. Altogether 383 patients were involved. Patients were divided into the following three treatment groups for type 2 diabetes: (1) sulfonylureas, (2) insulin for 5 years, and into two treatment groups for type 1 diabetes, namely 15 years disease duration. Self-reported (mild and severe) and biochemical episodes (interstitial glucose 15 years group, 3.2.episodes per subject-year). During early insulin use in type 2 diabetes, the frequency of hypoglycaemia is generally equivalent to that observed in patients treated with sulfonylureas and considerably lower than during the first 5 years of treatment in type 1 diabetes.
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            Semaglutide versus dulaglutide once weekly in patients with type 2 diabetes (SUSTAIN 7): a randomised, open-label, phase 3b trial

            Despite common mechanisms of actions, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists differ in structure, pharmacokinetic profile, and clinical effects. This head-to-head trial compared semaglutide with dulaglutide in patients with inadequately controlled type 2 diabetes.
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              Review of utility values for economic modeling in type 2 diabetes.

              Economic analysis in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) requires an assessment of the effect of a wide range of complications. The objective of this article was to identify a set of utility values consistent with the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) reference case and to critically discuss and illustrate challenges in creating such a utility set.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                hunt@ossianconsulting.com
                Journal
                Diabetes Obes Metab
                Diabetes Obes Metab
                10.1111/(ISSN)1463-1326
                DOM
                Diabetes, Obesity & Metabolism
                Blackwell Publishing Ltd (Oxford, UK )
                1462-8902
                1463-1326
                28 November 2018
                March 2019
                : 21
                : 3 ( doiID: 10.1111/dom.2019.21.issue-3 )
                : 611-621
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Borthwick Diabetes Research Centre, Lister Hospital (East and North Hertfordshire NHS Trust) Stevenage UK
                [ 2 ] Novo Nordisk Ltd Gatwick UK
                [ 3 ] Novo Nordisk A/S Søborg Denmark
                [ 4 ] Ossian Health Economics and Communications Basel Switzerland
                [ 5 ] Swansea University Medical School Swansea UK
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence

                Barnaby Hunt MSc, Ossian Health Economics and Communications GmbH, Bäumleingasse 20, 4051 Basel, Switzerland.

                Email: hunt@ 123456ossianconsulting.com

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1306-7784
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5420-279X
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8519-4964
                Article
                DOM13564
                10.1111/dom.13564
                6587509
                30362224
                a45a5e7c-cc1e-4101-b248-98e46ae30b0d
                © 2018 The Authors. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.

                History
                : 27 July 2018
                : 08 October 2018
                : 19 October 2018
                Page count
                Figures: 1, Tables: 4, Pages: 11, Words: 8332
                Funding
                Funded by: Novo Nordisk A/S
                Categories
                Original Article
                Original Articles
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                dom13564
                March 2019
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_NLMPMC version:5.6.4 mode:remove_FC converted:21.06.2019

                Endocrinology & Diabetes
                antidiabetic drug,cost‐effectiveness,glp‐1 analogue,incretin therapy

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