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      Changing spatiotemporal patterns for hepatitis of unspecified aetiology in China, 2004–2021: a population-based surveillance study

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          Abstract

          Objectives

          As global efforts continue toward the target of eliminating viral hepatitis by 2030, the emergence of acute hepatitis of unspecified aetiology (HUA) remains a concern. This study assesses the overall trends and changes in spatiotemporal patterns in HUA in China from 2004 to 2021.

          Methods

          We extracted the incidence and mortality rates of HUA from the Public Health Data Center, the official website of the National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, and the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Surveillance System from 2004 to 2021. We used R software, ArcGIS, Moran’s statistical analysis, and joinpoint regression to examine the spatiotemporal patterns and annual percentage change in incidence and mortality of the HUA across China.

          Results

          From 2004 to 2021, a total of 707,559 cases of HUA have been diagnosed, including 636 deaths. The proportion of HUA in viral hepatitis gradually decreased from 7.55% in 2004 to 0.72% in 2021. The annual incidence of HUA decreased sharply from 6.6957 per 100,000 population in 2004 to 0.6302 per 100,000 population in 2021, with an average annual percentage change (APC) reduction of −13.1% ( p < 0.001). The same result was seen in the mortality (APC, −22.14%, from 0.0089/100,000 in 2004 to 0.0002/100,000 in 2021, p < 0.001). All Chinese provinces saw a decline in incidence and mortality. Longitudinal analysis identified the age distribution in the incidence and mortality of HUA did not change and was highest in persons aged 15–59 years, accounting for 70% of all reported cases. During the COVID-19 pandemic, no significant increase was seen in pediatric HUA cases in China.

          Conclusion

          China is experiencing an unprecedented decline in HUA, with the lowest incidence and mortality for 18 years. However, it is still important to sensitively monitor the overall trends of HUA and further improve HUA public health policy and practice in China.

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          Most cited references37

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          Epidemiology and cause of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Guangdong, People's Republic of China, in February, 2003

          Summary Background An epidemic of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) has been associated with an outbreak of atypical pneumonia originating in Guangdong Province, People's Republic of China. We aimed to identify the causative agent in the Guangdong outbreak and describe the emergence and spread of the disease within the province. Methods We analysed epidemiological information and collected serum and nasopharyngeal aspirates from patients with SARS in Guangdong in mid-February, 2003. We did virus isolation, serological tests, and molecular assays to identify the causative agent. Findings SARS had been circulating in other cities of Guangdong Province for about 2 months before causing a major outbreak in Guangzhou, the province's capital. A novel coronavirus, SARS coronavirus (CoV), was isolated from specimens from three patients with SARS. Viral antigens were also directly detected in nasopharyngeal aspirates from these patients. 48 of 55 (87%) patients had antibodies to SARS CoV in their convalescent sera. Genetic analysis showed that the SARS CoV isolates from Guangzhou shared the same origin with those in other countries, and had a phylogenetic pathway that matched the spread of SARS to the other parts of the world. Interpretation SARS CoV is the infectious agent responsible for the epidemic outbreak of SARS in Guangdong. The virus isolated from patients in Guangdong is the prototype of the SARS CoV in other regions and countries.
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            Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates

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              Cancer incidence, mortality, and burden in China: a time‐trend analysis and comparison with the United States and United Kingdom based on the global epidemiological data released in 2020

              Background Cancer is one of the leading causes of death and a main economic burden in China. Investigating the differences in cancer patterns and control strategies between China and developed countries could provide reference for policy planning and contribute to improving cancer control measures. In this study, we reviewed the rates and trends of cancer incidence and mortality and disability‐adjusted life year (DALY) burden in China, and compared them with those in the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK). Methods Cancer incidence, mortality, and DALY data for China, US and UK were obtained from the GLOBOCAN 2020 online database, Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, and Cancer Incidence in Five Continents plus database (CI5 plus). Trends of cancer incidence and mortality in China, US, and UK were analyzed using Joinpoint regression models to calculate annual percent changes (APCs) and identify the best‐fitting joinpoints. Results An estimated 4,568,754 newly diagnosed cancer cases and 3,002,899 cancer deaths occurred in China in 2020. Additionally, cancers resulted in 67,340,309 DALYs in China. Compared to the US and UK, China had lower cancer incidence but higher cancer mortality and DALY rates. Furthermore, the cancer spectrum of China was changing, with a rapid increase incidence and burden of lung, breast, colorectal, and prostate cancer in addition to a high incidence and heavy burden of liver, stomach, esophageal, and cervical cancer. Conclusions The cancer spectrum of China is changing from a developing country to a developed country. Population aging and increase of unhealthy lifestyles would continue to increase the cancer burden of China. Therefore, the Chinese authorities should adjust the national cancer control program with reference to the practices of cancer control which have been well‐established in the developed countries, and taking consideration of the diversity of cancer types by of different regions in China at the same time. The cancer spectrum of China is changing, with a rapidly increase incidence and burden of "cancers of the rich" (lung, breast, colorectal, and prostate cancer) in addition to a high incidence and heavy burden of “cancers of the poor” (liver, stomach, esophageal, and cervical cancer).
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Front Public Health
                Front Public Health
                Front. Public Health
                Frontiers in Public Health
                Frontiers Media S.A.
                2296-2565
                05 May 2023
                2023
                : 11
                : 1177965
                Affiliations
                [1] 1School of Ecology and Environment, Anhui Normal University , Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
                [2] 2Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences , Beijing, China
                [3] 3Department of Neuro-Oncology, Cancer Center, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University , Beijing, China
                [4] 4Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine , Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
                [5] 5Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Aging and Physic-Chemical Injury Diseases of Zhejiang Province , Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
                [6] 6The School of Basic Medical Sciences, Wannan Medical College , Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
                [7] 7Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Hefei, Anhui Province, China
                [8] 8Department of Infectious Diseases, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
                [9] 9College of Life Sciences, Anhui Normal University , Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
                Author notes

                Edited by: Trina Ekawati Tallei, Sam Ratulangi University, Indonesia

                Reviewed by: Xiangjun Zhai, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, China; Rajesh Karyakarte, B. J. Medical College & Sassoon Hospital, India

                *Correspondence: Shelan Liu, liushelan@ 123456126.com

                These authors have contributed equally to this work

                Article
                10.3389/fpubh.2023.1177965
                10196104
                9a484948-5bfe-42c6-9782-b5aaae207e1f
                Copyright © 2023 Zhao, Guo, Wang, Zhou, Gong, Miao, Chen, Qin, Yu, Liu and Wang.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

                History
                : 02 March 2023
                : 14 April 2023
                Page count
                Figures: 7, Tables: 1, Equations: 0, References: 46, Pages: 10, Words: 6164
                Funding
                Funded by: National Natural Science Foundation of China, doi 10.13039/501100001809;
                Award ID: 31901120
                Funded by: China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, doi 10.13039/501100002858;
                Award ID: 2022M723135
                Funded by: Beijing Natural Science Foundation, doi 10.13039/501100004826;
                Award ID: 5192016
                Funded by: Anhui province
                Award ID: 2022e07020071
                Categories
                Public Health
                Original Research
                Custom metadata
                Infectious Diseases: Epidemiology and Prevention

                epidemiological features,hepatitis of unspecified aetiology,incidence,mortality,spatio-temporal pattern

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