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      Circulating cell-free DNA is a predictor of short-term neurological outcome in stroke patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis

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          Abstract

          Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has been described as a prognostic marker for several diseases. Its prognostic value for short-term outcome in stroke patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis remains unexplored. cfDNA was measured on admission in 54 tissue plasminogen activator (tPA)-treated patients and 15 healthy controls using a real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction assay. Neurological outcome was assessed at 48 h. Predictors of neurological improvement were evaluated by logistic regression analysis, and the additional predictive value of cfDNA over clinical variables was determined by integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Stroke patients presented higher baseline cfDNA than healthy controls (408.5 (179–700.5) vs. 153.5 (66.9–700.5) kilogenome-equivalents/L, p = 0.123). A trend towards lower cfDNA levels was found in patients who neurologically improved at 48 h (269.5 (143.3–680) vs. 504 (345.9–792.3) kilogenome-equivalents/L, p = 0.130). In logistic regression analysis, recanalization at 1 h and cfDNA < 302.75 kilogenome-equivalents/L was independently associated with neurological improvement after adjustment by age, gender and baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score. The addition of cfDNA to the clinical predictive model improved its discrimination (IDI = 21.2% (9.2–33.3%), p = 0.009). These data suggest that cfDNA could be a surrogate marker for monitoring tPA efficacy by the prediction of short-term neurological outcome.

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          Most cited references14

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          Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2016 Update

          Circulation, 133(4)
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            Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Acute Ischemic Stroke

            (1996)
            Thrombolytic therapy for acute ischemic stroke has been approached cautiously because there were high rates of intracerebral hemorrhage in early clinical trials. We performed a randomized, double-blind trial of intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) for ischemic stroke after recent pilot studies suggested that t-PA was beneficial when treatment was begun within three hours of the onset of stroke. The trial had two parts. Part 1 (in which 291 patients were enrolled) tested whether t-PA had clinical activity, as indicated by an improvement of 4 points over base-line values in the score of the National Institutes of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) or the resolution of the neurologic deficit within 24 hours of the onset of stroke. Part 2 (in which 333 patients were enrolled) used a global test statistic to assess clinical outcome at three months, according to scores on the Barthel index, modified Rankin scale, Glasgow outcome scale, and NIHSS: In part 1, there was no significant difference between the group given t-PA and that given placebo in the percentages of patients with neurologic improvement at 24 hours, although a benefit was observed for the t-PA group at three months for all four outcome measures. In part 2, the long-term clinical benefit of t-PA predicted by the results of part 1 was confirmed (global odds ratio for a favorable outcome, 1.7; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 2.6). As compared with patients given placebo, patients treated with t-PA were at least 30 percent more likely to have minimal or no disability at three months on the assessment scales. Symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage within 36 hours after the onset of stroke occurred in 6.4 percent of patients given t-PA but only 0.6 percent of patients given placebo (P < 0.001). Mortality at three months was 17 percent in the t-PA group and 21 percent in the placebo group (P = 0.30). Despite an increased incidence of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage, treatment with intravenous t-PA within three hours of the onset of ischemic stroke improved clinical outcome at three months.
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              Statistical methods for assessment of added usefulness of new biomarkers.

              The discovery and development of new biomarkers continues to be an exciting and promising field. Improvement in prediction of risk of developing disease is one of the key motivations in these pursuits. Appropriate statistical measures are necessary for drawing meaningful conclusions about the clinical usefulness of these new markers. In this review, we present several novel metrics proposed to serve this purpose. We use reclassification tables constructed on the basis of clinically meaningful disease risk categories to discuss the concepts of calibration, risk separation, risk discrimination, and risk classification accuracy. We discuss the notion that the net reclassification improvement (NRI) is a simple yet informative way to summarize information contained in risk reclassification tables. In the absence of meaningful risk categories, we suggest a 'category-less' version of the NRI and integrated discrimination improvement as metrics to summarize the incremental value of new biomarkers. We also suggest that predictiveness curves be preferred to receiver operating characteristic curves as visual descriptors of a statistical model's ability to separate predicted probabilities of disease events. Reporting of standard metrics, including measures of relative risk and the c statistic, is still recommended. These concepts are illustrated with a risk prediction example using data from the Framingham Heart Study.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                J Circ Biomark
                J Circ Biomark
                CBX
                spcbx
                Journal of Circulating Biomarkers
                SAGE Publications (Sage UK: London, England )
                1849-4544
                26 September 2016
                Jan-Dec 2016
                : 5
                : 1849454416668791
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Neurovascular Research Laboratory, Institut de Recerca, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron. Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
                [2 ]Stroke Program, Institute of Biomedicine of Seville, Hospital Universitario Virgen del Rocio, Seville, Spain
                [3 ]Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Hospital Universitario Virgen del Rocio (IBiS/CSIC/SAS/University of Seville), Seville, Spain
                [4 ]Stroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitary Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
                Author notes
                [*]Joan Montaner, Hospital Vall d’Hebron, Passeig de la Vall d’Hebron, 119-129, 08035 Barcelona, Spain. Email: joan.montaner@ 123456vhir.org
                Article
                10.1177_1849454416668791
                10.1177/1849454416668791
                5548318
                28936264
                990fd31e-29ac-4080-ad6a-d2b8c2ec1af8
                © The Author(s) 2016

                This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 License ( http://www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages ( https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).

                History
                : 14 June 2016
                : 11 August 2016
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                January-December 2016

                stroke,biomarkers,circulating dna,thrombolysis,outcome,neurological improvement

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