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      Diversified farms bolster forest-bird populations despite ongoing declines in tropical forests

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          Significance

          While diversified farms provide habitat for many species, it is unclear whether agricultural areas can support viable populations of species that are sensitive to environmental changes. We explored this question by tracking changes in bird populations in different farming systems over 18 y in Costa Rica. We found that diversified farming practices can support the long-term population growth of many sensitive forest-affiliated and insect-eating species over time. Unexpectedly, population declines in surrounding forest habitats outweigh the increases in diversified farms. Our findings suggest that the benefits of diversified farming practices for biodiversity can accrue through time and that such practices retain vital potential for future restoration.

          Abstract

          While some agricultural landscapes can support wildlife in the short term, it is uncertain how well they can truly sustain wildlife populations. To compare population trends in different production systems, we sampled birds along 48 transects in mature forests, diversified farms, and intensive farms across Costa Rica from 2000 to 2017. To assess how land use influenced population trends in the 349 resident and 80 migratory species with sufficient data, we developed population models. We found, first, that 23% of species were stable in all three land use types, with the rest almost evenly split between increasing and decreasing populations. Second, in forest habitats, a slightly higher fraction was declining: 62% of the 164 species undergoing long-term population changes; nearly half of these declines occurred in forest-affiliated invertivores. Third, in diversified farms, 49% of the 230 species with population changes were declining, with 60% of these declines occurring in agriculture-affiliated species. In contrast, 51% of the species with population changes on diversified farms showed increases, primarily in forest-affiliated invertivores and frugivores. In intensive farms, 153 species showed population changes, also with similar proportions of species increasing (50%) and decreasing (50%). Declines were concentrated in agriculture-affiliated invertivores and forest-affiliated frugivores; increases occurred in many large, omnivorous species. Our findings paint a complex picture but clearly indicate that diversified farming helps sustain populations of diverse, forest-affiliated species. Despite not fully offsetting losses in forest habitats, diversified farming practices help sustain wildlife in a critical time, before possible transformation to nature-positive policies and practices.

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          Most cited references44

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          Defaunation in the Anthropocene.

          We live amid a global wave of anthropogenically driven biodiversity loss: species and population extirpations and, critically, declines in local species abundance. Particularly, human impacts on animal biodiversity are an under-recognized form of global environmental change. Among terrestrial vertebrates, 322 species have become extinct since 1500, and populations of the remaining species show 25% average decline in abundance. Invertebrate patterns are equally dire: 67% of monitored populations show 45% mean abundance decline. Such animal declines will cascade onto ecosystem functioning and human well-being. Much remains unknown about this "Anthropocene defaunation"; these knowledge gaps hinder our capacity to predict and limit defaunation impacts. Clearly, however, defaunation is both a pervasive component of the planet's sixth mass extinction and also a major driver of global ecological change. Copyright © 2014, American Association for the Advancement of Science.
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            glmmTMB balances speed and flexibility among packages for zero-inflated generalized linear mixed modeling

            Count data can be analyzed using generalized linear mixed models when observations are correlated in ways that require random effects. However, count data are often zero-inflated, containing more zeros than would be expected from the typical error distributions. We present a new package, glmmTMB, and compare it to other R packages that fit zero-inflated mixed models. The glmmTMB package fits many types of GLMMs and extensions, including models with continuously distributed responses, but here we focus on count responses. glmmTMB is faster than glmmADMB, MCMCglmm, and brms, and more flexible than INLA and mgcv for zero-inflated modeling. One unique feature of glmmTMB (among packages that fit zero-inflated mixed models) is its ability to estimate the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution parameterized by the mean. Overall, its most appealing features for new users may be the combination of speed, flexibility, and its interface’s similarity to lme4. The R journal, 9 (2) ISSN:2073-4859
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              Landscapes that work for biodiversity and people

              How can we manage farmlands, forests, and rangelands to respond to the triple challenge of the Anthropocene—biodiversity loss, climate change, and unsustainable land use? When managed by using biodiversity-based techniques such as agroforestry, silvopasture, diversified farming, and ecosystem-based forest management, these socioeconomic systems can help maintain biodiversity and provide habitat connectivity, thereby complementing protected areas and providing greater resilience to climate change. Simultaneously, the use of these management techniques can improve yields and profitability more sustainably, enhancing livelihoods and food security. This approach to “working lands conservation” can create landscapes that work for nature and people. However, many socioeconomic challenges impede the uptake of biodiversity-based land management practices. Although improving voluntary incentives, market instruments, environmental regulations, and governance is essential to support working lands conservation, it is community action, social movements, and broad coalitions among citizens, businesses, nonprofits, and government agencies that have the power to transform how we manage land and protect the environment.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
                Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
                PNAS
                Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
                National Academy of Sciences
                0027-8424
                1091-6490
                5 September 2023
                12 September 2023
                5 March 2024
                : 120
                : 37
                : e2303937120
                Affiliations
                [1] aDepartment of Biology, Stanford University , Stanford, CA 94305
                [2] bCenter for Conservation Biology, Stanford University , Stanford, CA 94305
                [3] cThe Natural Capital Project, Stanford University , Stanford, CA 94305
                [4] dDepartment of Biology, University of Texas at Arlington , Arlington, TX 76019
                [5] eUnión de Ornitólogos de Costa Rica, Naranjo de Alajuela , Alajuela, Costa Rica 1169-1000
                [6] fWoods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University , Stanford, CA 94305
                Author notes
                1To whom correspondence may be addressed. Email: gdaily@ 123456stanford.edu .

                Contributed by Gretchen C. Daily; received March 8, 2023; accepted August 1, 2023; reviewed by Claire Kremen and Alejandra Martínez-Salinas

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9570-8447
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8821-0509
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5738-2140
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5654-4785
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1443-1111
                Article
                202303937
                10.1073/pnas.2303937120
                10500279
                37669369
                9585acc4-9d90-4a39-b9e1-949f3c8a8c24
                Copyright © 2023 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.

                This article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND).

                History
                : 08 March 2023
                : 01 August 2023
                Page count
                Pages: 8, Words: 6165
                Funding
                Funded by: Gerhard Casper and John P. Morgridge Fellowship;
                Award ID: NA
                Award Recipient : Nicholas Hendershot Award Recipient : Gretchen C. Daily
                Funded by: LuEsther T. Mertz Charitable Trust;
                Award ID: NA
                Award Recipient : Nicholas Hendershot Award Recipient : Gretchen C. Daily
                Funded by: Moore Family Foundation (MFF), FundRef 100015632;
                Award ID: NA
                Award Recipient : Gretchen C. Daily
                Funded by: Winslow Foundation (The Winslow Foundation), FundRef 501100019824;
                Award ID: NA
                Award Recipient : Gretchen C. Daily
                Categories
                research-article, Research Article
                eco, Ecology
                from-the-cover, From the Cover
                414
                Biological Sciences
                Ecology

                bird population trends,diversified farming,population declines,costa rica

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