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      The Impact of Government Policy Responses to the COVID‐19 Pandemic and Brexit on the UK Financial Market: A Behavioural Perspective

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          Abstract

          At the height of the COVID‐19 pandemic in the United Kingdom, the Governor of the Bank of England, while granting an interview, described the pandemic as an unprecedented economic emergency and said that the Bank could go as far as radical money‐printing operations. In reaction, the UK financial market, particularly the FTSE 100 and pound sterling, witnessed record‐breaking losses. Considering this evidence, we hypothesized that the emotions and moods of investors towards the financial market might have been impacted by the information they obtained from frequent government policy announcements. Furthermore, we proposed that the United Kingdom's final exit from the European Union (Brexit), which coincided with the pandemic, could have worsened the outlook of the UK financial market, as investors began to diversify their portfolios. Consequently, we examined the impact of government's policy announcements on investors’ reactions to the concurrence of the COVID‐19 pandemic and Brexit. Our findings reveal that the psychology of investors during the pandemic was significantly shaped by frequent policy announcements, which in turn affected overall market behaviour.

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          Most cited references46

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          A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice

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            A global panel database of pandemic policies (Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker)

            COVID-19 has prompted unprecedented government action around the world. We introduce the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT), a dataset that addresses the need for continuously updated, readily usable and comparable information on policy measures. From 1 January 2020, the data capture government policies related to closure and containment, health and economic policy for more than 180 countries, plus several countries' subnational jurisdictions. Policy responses are recorded on ordinal or continuous scales for 19 policy areas, capturing variation in degree of response. We present two motivating applications of the data, highlighting patterns in the timing of policy adoption and subsequent policy easing and reimposition, and illustrating how the data can be combined with behavioural and epidemiological indicators. This database enables researchers and policymakers to explore the empirical effects of policy responses on the spread of COVID-19 cases and deaths, as well as on economic and social welfare.
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              The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice

              The psychological principles that govern the perception of decision problems and the evaluation of probabilities and outcomes produce predictable shifts of preference when the same problem is framed in different ways. Reversals of preference are demonstrated in choices regarding monetary outcomes, both hypothetical and real, and in questions pertaining to the loss of human lives. The effects of frames on preferences are compared to the effects of perspectives on perceptual appearance. The dependence of preferences on the formulation of decision problems is a significant concern for the theory of rational choice.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                (View ORCID Profile)
                Journal
                British Journal of Management
                British J of Management
                Wiley
                1045-3172
                1467-8551
                January 2024
                January 05 2023
                January 2024
                : 35
                : 1
                : 174-191
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Business School University of Aberdeen Aberdeen AB24 3FX UK
                [2 ] Business School Edinburgh Napier University 219 Colinton Road, Craiglockhart Edinburgh EH14 1DJ UK
                [3 ] School of Finance and Management SOAS University of London London WC1H 0XG UK
                [4 ] School of Health and Social Care Edinburgh Napier University Edinburgh EH11 4BN UK
                Article
                10.1111/1467-8551.12702
                8e4e33ff-d901-4b3d-b62b-8ed99d3a9205
                © 2024

                http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

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