Baseline peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio could predict survival in patients with adult polymyositis and dermatomyositis: A retrospective observational study

Abstract

Recent studies have suggested that neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) are emerging markers of disease activity and prognosis in patients with chronic inflammatory diseases, cardiovascular diseases, or malignancies. Therefore, we investigated the clinical significance and prognostic value of the NLR and CAR in adult patients with polymyositis and dermatomyositis. The medical records of 197 patients with newly diagnosed polymyositis/dermatomyositis between August 2003 and November 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Survival and causes of death were recorded during an average 33-month observational period. Clinical and laboratory findings were compared between survivors and non-survivors. Using receiver operating characteristic curves, the NLR and CAR cut-off values for predicting survival were calculated. Univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox proportional hazard models were performed to identify factors associated with survival. Twenty-six patients (13.2%) died during the study period, and the 5-year survival-rate was estimated to be 82%. The non-survivor group exhibited older age and a higher prevalence of interstitial lung disease (ILD), acute interstitial pneumonia, and acute exacerbation of ILD compared to that in the survivor group. NLR and CAR values were significantly higher in the non-survivors and in patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis-associated ILD, and the death rates increased across NLR and CAR quartiles. Furthermore, when stratified according to the NLR or CAR optimal cut-off values, patients with a high NLR (>4.775) or high CAR (>0.0735) had a significantly lower survival rate than patients with low NLR or CAR, respectively. In addition, old age (>50 years), the presence of acute interstitial pneumonia, hypoproteinemia (serum protein <5.5 g/dL), and high NLR (but not high CAR) were independent predictors for mortality. The results indicate that a high NLR is independently associated with worse overall survival. Thus, the baseline NLR level may be a simple, cost-effective prognostic marker in patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis.