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      Assessing the influence of conflict on the dynamics of sex work and the HIV and HCV epidemics in Ukraine: protocol for an observational, ethnographic, and mathematical modeling study

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          Abstract

          Background

          Armed conflict erupted in eastern Ukraine in 2014 and still continues. This conflict has resulted in an intensification of poverty, displacement and migration, and has weakened the local health system. Ukraine has some of the highest rates of HIV and Hepatitis C (HCV) in Europe. Whether and how the current conflict, and its consequences, will lead to changes in the HIV and HCV epidemic in Ukraine is unclear. Our study aims to characterize how the armed conflict in eastern Ukraine and its consequences influence the pattern, practice, and experience of sex work and how this affects HIV and HCV rates among female sex workers (FSWs) and their clients.

          Methods

          We are implementing a 5-year mixed methods study in Dnipro, eastern Ukraine. Serial mapping and size estimation of FSWs and clients will be conducted followed by bio-behavioral cross-sectional surveys among FSWs and their clients. The qualitative component of the study will include in-depth interviews with FSWs and other key stakeholders and participant diaries will be implemented with FSWs. We will also conduct an archival review over the course of the project. Finally, we will use these data to develop and structure a mathematical model with which to estimate the potential influence of changes due to conflict on the trajectory of HIV and HCV epidemics among FSW and clients.

          Discussion

          The limited data that exists on the effect of conflict on disease transmission provides mixed results. Our study will provide rigorous, timely and context-specific data on HIV and HCV transmission in the setting of conflict. This information can be used to inform the design and delivery of HIV and HCV prevention and care services.

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          Most cited references48

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          Defining Integrated Knowledge Translation and Moving Forward: A Response to Recent Commentaries

          Integrated knowledge translation (IKT) is a model of collaborative research, where researchers work with knowledge users who identify a problem and have the authority to implement the research recommendations. Knowledge users have unique expertise pertaining to the research topic, including knowledge of the context and the potential for implementation. Researchers bring methodological and content expertise to the collaboration. Implicit in this approach is the sharing of power between researchers and knowledge users. Sometimes referred to as the co-production of knowledge, this new way of working suggests that the synergies derived from the collaboration will result in better science; more relevant and actionable research findings; increased use of the findings in policy or practice; and mutual learning. An evaluation of knowledge translation funding programs at the Canadian Institutes of Health Research demonstrated that researchers and knowledge users co-producing research were more likely to report improving the health of Canadians, creating more effective health services or products and strengthening the Canadian healthcare system than researchers who do not work with knowledge users. 1 Interest in IKT as a strategy for accelerating the uptake and impact of research is growing as demonstrated by the recent publication of articles and commentaries in this and other journals. 2-5 Rycroft-Malone et al 6 note that, while promising, the IKT approach is not without its challenges. The authors highlight issues of power, politics, and perceptions that require careful attention if an IKT approach is to be successful. Collaborations, they argue, require prompting and support. The authors also suggest that certain personable qualities, such as being tolerant of less structure whilst maintaining methodological standards, are required of individuals participating in IKT partnerships. A related commentary was offered by Cooke et al 7 in which they address the issue of power. In particular, these authors argue that the co-production process ought to be visible, and that actionable outputs (in the form user-oriented products, like toolkits) representing this joint effort are necessary. The authors present their experience with the use of design as one way to flatten hierarchy and show co-produced knowledge artefacts. A recent scoping review 8 about IKT related to organizational and system-level decision-making identified some notable knowledge gaps in the literature. A detailed understanding of IKT strategies and models is needed so that they can be linked to outcomes. The review also demonstrated minimal theoretical development in the area. Finally, the review showed that we do not yet understand how decision-makers ought to be engaged to achieve optimal outcomes. Similar knowledge gaps were found in a review by Camden et al. 9 As IKT scholars consider and prioritize research questions, it might be useful to remember that different stakeholders will assign the gaps varying importance; what a funder needs to know about IKT (eg, “how can funders incentivize researchers to engage in IKT research?”) will be different than what a researcher will want to know (eg, “what theory can be used to understand IKT processes?”). Both IKT researchers and knowledge users are interested in how to define and measure IKT outcomes. In 2016, we launched a 7-year program of research funded by a Canadian Institutes of Health Research Foundation Grant called the Integrated Knowledge Translation Research Network. The program, housed at the University of Ottawa, began as a collaboration of over 40 researcher and knowledge-user co-investigators, but it has evolved into a network so that we can build additional linkages and collaborations with the many people within and outside Canada committed to better understanding and using the IKT approach to research. The first order of business for the network is to achieve clarity on the differences between IKT and other collaborative research approaches and to delineate the benefits of that clarity. To that end we have begun a conceptual analysis of multiple collaborative research traditions. This is a starting point, but much more needs to be done to develop the theoretical gaps in IKT that we have already alluded to. We want to learn how successful IKT research projects operate and what the mechanisms are, which is why we began a realist review on the IKT research process late last year. Because IKT involves multiple institutions and stakeholders, we will be collaborating with funders and health-system organizations to determine what conditions will foster the best collaborations and impacts. For example, we have launched projects exploring how organizations decide when and how to partner with researchers. Of course, we want to be able to answer the question, “Does it work?” In the coming years we will launch projects aimed at measuring the impacts of IKT research. We will not be able to fill all of the knowledge gaps, but we have six years to train a new generation of IKT researchers who will answer the new and outstanding questions. Acknowledgments IDG is a recipient of an inaugural Canadian Institutes of Health Research Foundation Grant [FDN #143237]. Current members of the IKTR Network are: Gonzalo Alvarez, Beth Beaupre, Ingrid Botting, Jamie Brehaut, Krista Connell, Sandra Dunn, Jeanette Edwards, Shannon Fenton, Ann Gagliardi, Ian D. Graham, Jeremy Grimshaw, Wendy Gifford, Bev Holmes, Michael Hillmer, Russell Ives, Ian Jones, Monika Kastner, Anita Kothari, Sara Kreindler, John Lavis, Karen Lee, France Legare, Debra Lynkowski, Martha MacLeod, Theresa Montini, Jo Rycroft-Malone, Patrick Odnokon, Sheldon Permack, Jonathan Salsberg, Yves Savoie, Gayle Scarrow, Robert Sheldon, Ann Sprague, Janet Squires, Dawn Stacey, Sharon Straus, Anthony Tang, Cathy Ulrich, Pam Valentine, Christina Weise, George Wells, Brock Wright. Ethical issues Not applicable. Competing interests Authors declare that they have no competing interests. Authors’ contributions AK drafted the response. All authors then edited, contributed written text and reviewed the final version of the article. IDG was an author of the article that is the subject of the commentaries. Authors’ affiliations 1School of Health Studies, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada. 2Integrated Knowledge Translation Research Network, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada. 3School of Epidemiology, Public Health and Preventive Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
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            Intimate partner violence and HIV in ten sub-Saharan African countries: what do the Demographic and Health Surveys tell us?

            Many studies have identified a significant positive relation between intimate partner violence and HIV in women, but adjusted analyses have produced inconsistent results. We systematically assessed the association, and under what condition it holds, using nationally representative data from ten sub-Saharan African countries, focusing on physical, sexual, and emotional violence, and on the role of male controlling behaviour.
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              Prevalence of HIV infection in conflict-affected and displaced people in seven sub-Saharan African countries: a systematic review.

              Violence and rape are believed to fuel the HIV epidemic in countries affected by conflict. We compared HIV prevalence in populations directly affected by conflict with that in those not directly affected and in refugees versus the nearest surrounding host communities in sub-Saharan African countries. Seven countries affected by conflict (Democratic Republic of Congo, southern Sudan, Rwanda, Uganda, Sierra Leone, Somalia, and Burundi) were chosen since HIV prevalence surveys within the past 5 years had been done and data, including original antenatal-care sentinel surveillance data, were available. We did a systematic and comprehensive literature search using Medline and Embase. Only articles and reports that contained original data for prevalence of HIV infection were included. All survey reports were independently evaluated by two epidemiologists to assess internationally accepted guidelines for HIV sentinel surveillance and population-based surveys. Whenever possible, data from the nearest antenatal care and host country sentinel site of the neighbouring countries were presented. 95% CIs were provided when available. Of the 295 articles that met our search criteria, 88 had original prevalence data and 65 had data from the seven selected countries. Data from these countries did not show an increase in prevalence of HIV infection during periods of conflict, irrespective of prevalence when conflict began. Prevalence in urban areas affected by conflict decreased in Burundi, Rwanda, and Uganda at similar rates to urban areas unaffected by conflict in their respective countries. Prevalence in conflict-affected rural areas remained low and fairly stable in these countries. Of the 12 sets of refugee camps, nine had a lower prevalence of HIV infection, two a similar prevalence, and one a higher prevalence than their respective host communities. Despite wide-scale rape in many countries, there are no data to show that rape increased prevalence of HIV infection at the population level. We have shown that there is a need for mechanisms to provide time-sensitive information on the effect of conflict on incidence of HIV infection, since we found insufficient data to support the assertions that conflict, forced displacement, and wide-scale rape increase prevalence or that refugees spread HIV infection in host communities.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                + 1 204 272 3123 , Marissa.becker@umanitoba.ca , marissa.becker@umanitoba.ca
                bon.smc@gmail.com
                d.pavlova@outlook.com
                shajy.isac@ihat.in
                Eve.Cheuk@umanitoba.ca
                eliz26132@gmail.com
                Evelyn.Forget@umanitoba.ca
                MaH@smh.ca
                lazarusl@myumanitoba.ca
                paul.sandstrom@canada.ca
                James_Blanchard@umanitoba.ca
                MishraS@smh.ca
                Robert.Lorway@umanitoba.ca
                Michael.Pickles@umanitoba.ca
                Journal
                BMC Int Health Hum Rights
                BMC Int Health Hum Rights
                BMC International Health and Human Rights
                BioMed Central (London )
                1472-698X
                20 May 2019
                20 May 2019
                2019
                : 19
                : 16
                Affiliations
                [1 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 9609, GRID grid.21613.37, Centre for Global Public Health, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, , University of Manitoba, ; R070 Med Rehab Bldg, 771 McDermot Avenue, Winnipeg, Manitoba R3E 0T6 Canada
                [2 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 9609, GRID grid.21613.37, Department of Community Health Sciences, , University of Manitoba, ; S113 – 750 Bannatyne Avenue, Winnipeg, Manitoba R3E 0W3 Canada
                [3 ]Ukrainian Institute for Social Research after Oleksandr Yaremenko, 26 Panasa Myrnogo Str., Of. 211, Kyiv, 01011 Ukraine
                [4 ]GRID grid.429013.d, India Health Action Trust, ; E17, Ring Road, Defence Colony, New Delhi, 110021 India
                [5 ]ISNI 0000 0001 2157 2938, GRID grid.17063.33, University of Toronto, ; 27 King’s College Circle, Toronto, Canada
                [6 ]ISNI 0000 0001 2157 2938, GRID grid.17063.33, St. Michael’s Hospital, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, University of Toronto, ; 209 Victoria St, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8 Canada
                [7 ]JC Wilt National HIV and Retrovirology Laboratory, 745 Logan Avenue, Winnipeg, R3E 3L5 Canada
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9235-0547
                Article
                201
                10.1186/s12914-019-0201-y
                6528269
                31109323
                7a756e66-7b85-44fa-8c57-44fc700159cd
                © The Author(s). 2019

                Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

                History
                : 31 March 2019
                : 3 May 2019
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000024, Canadian Institutes of Health Research;
                Award ID: PJT-148876
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
                Study Protocol
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2019

                Health & Social care
                hiv,hcv,ukraine,sex work,conflict
                Health & Social care
                hiv, hcv, ukraine, sex work, conflict

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