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      Spontaneous physical functional recovery after hospitalization for COVID-19: insights from a 1 month follow-up and a model to predict poor trajectory

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          Abstract

          Background

          Long COVID syndrome has emerged as a new global healthcare challenge, with impaired physical performance being a prominent debilitating factor. Cardiopulmonary rehabilitation is a mainstay of management of symptomatic post-COVID patients, and optimization of candidate selection might allow for more effective use of available resources.

          Methods

          In order to study the natural dynamics and to identify predictors of physical functional recovery following hospitalization for COVID-19, 6 min walk test was performed pre-discharge in 176 patients (40% hypertensive, 53% female, mean age 53.2 ± 13.5 years) with re-evaluation at 1 month.

          Results

          Six min walk distance and the reached percent of predicted distance (6MWD%) were suboptimal at both visits—396 ± 71 m (68.7 ± 12.4%) pre-discharge and 466 ± 65 m (81.8 ± 13.6%) at 1 month. Associated changes included significant oxygen desaturation (2.9 ± 2.5 and 2.3 ± 2.2%, respectively) and insufficient increment of heart rate during the test (24.9 ± 17.5 and 28.2 ± 12.0 bpm) that resulted in low reached percent of individual maximum heart rate (61.1 ± 8.1 and 64.3 ± 8.2%). Automatic clusterization of the study cohort by the 6MWD% changes has allowed to identify the subgroup of patients with poor “low base—low increment” trajectory of spontaneous post-discharge recovery that were characterized by younger age (38.2 ± 11.0 vs. 54.9 ± 12.1, p < 0.001) but more extensive pulmonary involvement by CT (43.7 ± 8.8 vs. 29.6 ± 19.4%, p = 0.029) and higher peak ESR values (36.5 ± 9.7 vs. 25.6 ± 12.8, p < 0.001). Predictors of poor recovery in multivariate logistic regression analysis included age, peak ESR, eGFR, percentage of pulmonary involvement by CT, need for in-hospital oxygen supplementation, SpO 2 and mMRC dyspnea score pre-discharge, and history of hypertension.

          Conclusion

          COVID-19 survivors were characterized by decreased physical performance pre-discharge as assessed by the 6 min walk test and did not completely restore their functional status after 1 month of spontaneous recovery, with signs of altered blood oxygenation and dysautonomia contributing to the observed changes. Patients with poor “low base—low increment” trajectory of post-discharge recovery were characterized by younger age but more extensive pulmonary involvement and higher peak ESR values. Poor post-discharge recovery in the study cohort was predictable by the means of machine learning-based classification model that used age, history of hypertension, need for oxygen supplementation, and ESR as inputs.

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          Most cited references47

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          Persistent Symptoms in Patients After Acute COVID-19

          This case series describes COVID-19 symptoms persisting a mean of 60 days after onset among Italian patients previously discharged from COVID-19 hospitalization.
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            ATS statement: guidelines for the six-minute walk test.

            (2002)
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              A clinical case definition of post-COVID-19 condition by a Delphi consensus

              People with COVID-19 might have sustained postinfection sequelae. Known by a variety of names, including long COVID or long-haul COVID, and listed in the ICD-10 classification as post-COVID-19 condition since September, 2020, this occurrence is variable in its expression and its impact. The absence of a globally standardised and agreed-upon definition hampers progress in characterisation of its epidemiology and the development of candidate treatments. In a WHO-led Delphi process, we engaged with an international panel of 265 patients, clinicians, researchers, and WHO staff to develop a consensus definition for this condition. 14 domains and 45 items were evaluated in two rounds of the Delphi process to create a final consensus definition for adults: post-COVID-19 condition occurs in individuals with a history of probable or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, usually 3 months from the onset, with symptoms that last for at least 2 months and cannot be explained by an alternative diagnosis. Common symptoms include, but are not limited to, fatigue, shortness of breath, and cognitive dysfunction, and generally have an impact on everyday functioning. Symptoms might be new onset following initial recovery from an acute COVID-19 episode or persist from the initial illness. Symptoms might also fluctuate or relapse over time. A separate definition might be applicable for children. Although the consensus definition is likely to change as knowledge increases, this common framework provides a foundation for ongoing and future studies of epidemiology, risk factors, clinical characteristics, and therapy.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Front Med (Lausanne)
                Front Med (Lausanne)
                Front. Med.
                Frontiers in Medicine
                Frontiers Media S.A.
                2296-858X
                20 July 2023
                2023
                20 July 2023
                : 10
                : 1212678
                Affiliations
                Department of Propedeutics of Internal Medicine No. 1, Fundamentals of Bioethics and Biosafety, Kharkiv National Medical University , Kharkiv, Ukraine
                Author notes

                Edited by: Shisan (Bob) Bao, The University of Sydney, Australia

                Reviewed by: Vicente Benavides-Cordoba, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Cali, Colombia; Laura Pini, University of Brescia, Italy

                *Correspondence: Oleksii Honchar, ov.honchar@ 123456knmu.edu.ua

                †ORCID: Oleksii Honchar, https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6834-8845

                Article
                10.3389/fmed.2023.1212678
                10399450
                37547607
                7172c786-4a56-4458-a88f-d1b9ed4952f6
                Copyright © 2023 Honchar and Ashcheulova.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

                History
                : 26 April 2023
                : 07 July 2023
                Page count
                Figures: 4, Tables: 4, Equations: 2, References: 48, Pages: 12, Words: 8310
                Categories
                Medicine
                Original Research
                Custom metadata
                Infectious Diseases: Pathogenesis and Therapy

                covid-19,hospitalization,convalescence,physical functional performance,recovery of function,walk test,clinical decision rules,machine learning

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