Biophysical climate impacts of recent changes in global forest cover.

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Abstract

Changes in forest cover affect the local climate by modulating the land-atmosphere fluxes of energy and water. The magnitude of this biophysical effect is still debated in the scientific community and currently ignored in climate treaties. Here we present an observation-driven assessment of the climate impacts of recent forest losses and gains, based on Earth observations of global forest cover and land surface temperatures. Our results show that forest losses amplify the diurnal temperature variation and increase the mean and maximum air temperature, with the largest signal in arid zones, followed by temperate, tropical, and boreal zones. In the decade 2003-2012, variations of forest cover generated a mean biophysical warming on land corresponding to about 18% of the global biogeochemical signal due to CO2 emission from land-use change.

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The importance of land-cover change in simulating future climates.

Johannes Feddema, Keith Oleson, Gordon Bonan … (2005)

Adding the effects of changes in land cover to the A2 and B1 transient climate simulations described in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change leads to significantly different regional climates in 2100 as compared with climates resulting from atmospheric SRES forcings alone. Agricultural expansion in the A2 scenario results in significant additional warming over the Amazon and cooling of the upper air column and nearby oceans. These and other influences on the Hadley and monsoon circulations affect extratropical climates. Agricultural expansion in the mid-latitudes produces cooling and decreases in the mean daily temperature range over many areas. The A2 scenario results in more significant change, often of opposite sign, than does the B1 scenario.

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Combined climate and carbon-cycle effects of large-scale deforestation.

G. Bala, K Caldeira, M Wickett … (2007)

The prevention of deforestation and promotion of afforestation have often been cited as strategies to slow global warming. Deforestation releases CO(2) to the atmosphere, which exerts a warming influence on Earth's climate. However, biophysical effects of deforestation, which include changes in land surface albedo, evapotranspiration, and cloud cover also affect climate. Here we present results from several large-scale deforestation experiments performed with a three-dimensional coupled global carbon-cycle and climate model. These simulations were performed by using a fully three-dimensional model representing physical and biogeochemical interactions among land, atmosphere, and ocean. We find that global-scale deforestation has a net cooling influence on Earth's climate, because the warming carbon-cycle effects of deforestation are overwhelmed by the net cooling associated with changes in albedo and evapotranspiration. Latitude-specific deforestation experiments indicate that afforestation projects in the tropics would be clearly beneficial in mitigating global-scale warming, but would be counterproductive if implemented at high latitudes and would offer only marginal benefits in temperate regions. Although these results question the efficacy of mid- and high-latitude afforestation projects for climate mitigation, forests remain environmentally valuable resources for many reasons unrelated to climate.

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New estimates of radiative forcing due to well mixed greenhouse gases

Gunnar Myhre, Eleanor Highwood, Keith P. Shine … (1998)

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Author and article information

Journal

Journal ID (iso-abbrev): Science

Title: Science (New York, N.Y.)

ISSN (Electronic): 1095-9203

ISSN (Print): 0036-8075

Publication date (Electronic): Feb 5 2016

Volume: 351

Issue: 6273

Affiliations

[1 ] European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy.

Article

Publisher Item ID: 351/6273/600

DOI: 10.1126/science.aac8083

PubMed ID: 26912702

SO-VID: 6707b29f-2746-433b-8f35-d0d699f755d2

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