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      Commentary on “Frailty Status Is a More Robust Predictor Than Age of Spinal Tumor Surgery Outcomes: A NSQIP Analysis of 4,662 Patients”

      editorial
      Neurospine
      Korean Spinal Neurosurgery Society

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          Abstract

          This study [1] revealed that the modified frailty index-5 (mFI-5) score which is a predictor of postoperative morbidity that can evaluate frailty rather than age, is a stronger feature through typical analysis method of risk factors for outcomes after spinal tumor surgery. Specifically, the mortality, major complication, unplanned readmission, reoperation, hospital length of stay, and discharge destination, which parameterized patient demographic and clinical characteristics for age and mFI-5 score using the odds ratio to provide a quantitative comparison and confidence interval analysis are very appropriate. Although there seems to be limitations in analyzing only age and mFI-5 as major predictors of surgery for spinal tumors, it is possible to analyze more detailed risk factors using the pre- and postoperative clinical characteristics of patients presented in Table 3. For example, age, frailty score, preoperative clinical value, and postoperative complications can be examples of how to find factors that influence and contribute to surgical outcome [2-4]. The preoperative prognostic factor tools such as this study are valuable research data that can be clinically useful [2-4]. There is a method of estimating the importance of each factor that contributed to the output of an artificial intelligence model modeled by using a recently explainable artificial intelligence technique as the average value of the entire dataset, or finding the significance of cases in individual datasets [5]. In this study, area under the curve and receiver operating characteristic of univariate and multivariate models were statistically analyzed, but extended analysis is possible with metrics such as confusion matrix, precision, and recall that compare the predicted results of the artificial intelligence model with the actual values. For this analysis, the number of datasets (n= 4,662) used in the current analysis may need to be expanded further. Also, categorical manipulation may be necessary if the dataset to be used for input is a continuous variable. The dataset from this study could be an excellent source for another research topic.

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          Most cited references5

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          Predictive Modeling of Outcomes After Traumatic and Nontraumatic Spinal Cord Injury Using Machine Learning: Review of Current Progress and Future Directions

          Machine learning represents a promising frontier in epidemiological research on spine surgery. It consists of a series of algorithms that determines relationships between data. Machine learning maintains numerous advantages over conventional regression techniques, such as a reduced requirement for a priori knowledge on predictors and better ability to manage large datasets. Current studies have made extensive strides in employing machine learning to a greater capacity in spinal cord injury (SCI). Analyses using machine learning algorithms have been done on both traumatic SCI and nontraumatic SCI, the latter of which typically represents degenerative spine disease resulting in spinal cord compression, such as degenerative cervical myelopathy. This article is a literature review of current studies published in traumatic and nontraumatic SCI that employ machine learning for the prediction of a host of outcomes. The studies described utilize machine learning in a variety of capacities, including imaging analysis and prediction in large epidemiological data sets. We discuss the performance of these machine learning-based clinical prognostic models relative to conventional statistical prediction models. Finally, we detail the future steps needed for machine learning to become a more common modality for statistical analysis in SCI.
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            Effects of Body Mass Index on Perioperative Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion Surgery

            Objective Obesity has become a public health crisis and continues to be on the rise. An elevated body mass index has been linked to higher rates of spinal degenerative disease requiring surgical intervention. Limited studies exist that evaluate the effects of obesity on perioperative complications in patients undergoing anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF). Our study aims to determine the incidence of obesity in the ACDF population and the effects it may have on postoperative inpatient complications. Methods The National Inpatient Sample was evaluated from 2004 to 2014 and discharges with International Classification of Diseases procedure codes indicating ACDF were identified. This cohort was stratified into patients with diagnosis codes indicating obesity. Separate univariable followed by multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed for the likelihood of perioperative inpatient outcomes among the patients with obesity. Results From 2004 to 2014, estimated 1,212,475 ACDFs were identified in which 9.2% of the patients were obese. The incidence of obesity amongst ACDF patients has risen dramatically during those years from 5.8% to 13.4%. Obese ACDF patients had higher inpatient likelihood of dysphagia, neurological, respiratory, and hematologic complications as well as pulmonary emboli, and intraoperative durotomy. Conclusion Obesity is a well-established modifiable comorbidity that leads to increased perioperative complications in various surgical specialties. We present one of the largest retrospective analyses evaluating the effects of obesity on inpatient complications following ACDF. Our data suggest that the number of obese patients undergoing ACDF is steadily increasing and had a higher inpatient likelihood of developing perioperative complications.
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              Frailty Status Is a More Robust Predictor Than Age of Spinal Tumor Surgery Outcomes: A NSQIP Analysis of 4,662 Patients

              Objective The present study aimed to evaluate the effect of baseline frailty status (as measured by modified frailty index-5 [mFI-5]) versus age on postoperative outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for spinal tumors using data from a large national registry. Methods The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was used to collect spinal tumor resection patients’ data from 2015 to 2019 (n = 4,662). Univariate and multivariate analyses for age and mFI-5 were performed for the following outcomes: 30-day mortality, major complications, unplanned reoperation, unplanned readmission, hospital length of stay (LOS), and discharge to a nonhome destination. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the discriminative performance of age versus mFI-5. Results Both univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that mFI-5 was a more robust predictor of worse postoperative outcomes as compared to age. Furthermore, based on categorical analysis of frailty tiers, increasing frailty was significantly associated with increased risk of adverse outcomes. ‘Severely frail’ patients were found to have the highest risk, with odds ratio 16.4 (95% confidence interval [CI],11.21–35.44) for 30-day mortality, 3.02 (95% CI, 1.97–4.56) for major complications, and 2.94 (95% CI, 2.32–4.21) for LOS. In ROC curve analysis, mFI-5 score (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.743) achieved superior discrimination compared to age (AUC = 0.594) for mortality. Conclusion Increasing frailty, as measured by mFI-5, is a more robust predictor as compared to age, for poor postoperative outcomes in spinal tumor surgery patients. The mFI-5 may be clinically used for preoperative risk stratification of spinal tumor patients.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Neurospine
                Neurospine
                NS
                Neurospine
                Korean Spinal Neurosurgery Society
                2586-6583
                2586-6591
                March 2022
                31 March 2022
                : 19
                : 1
                : 63-64
                Affiliations
                Department of Neurosurgery, Neuroscience and Radiosurgery Hybrid Research Center, Inje University College of Medicine, Goyang, Korea
                Author notes
                Corresponding Author Moon-Jun Sohn https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1796-766X Department of Neurosurgery, Neuroscience & Radiosurgery Hybrid Research Center, Inje University Ilsan Paik Hospital, College of Medicine, 170 Juhwaro Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang 10380, Korea Email: mjsohn@ 123456paik.ac.kr
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1796-766X
                Article
                ns-2244110-055
                10.14245/ns.2244110.055
                8987564
                35378582
                65c06c93-b22b-4543-bfa3-9099938b41d2
                Copyright © 2022 by the Korean Spinal Neurosurgery Society

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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                Editorial
                Spine and Spinal Cord Tumors DSPN-Neurospine Special Issue

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