Triglyceride-glucose Index and Mortality in a Large Regional-based Italian Database (URRAH Project)

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Abstract

Purpose

Recently, a novel index [the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index]) was considered a surrogate marker of insulin resistance (IR); in addition, it was estimated to be a better expression of IR than widely used tools. Few and heterogeneous data are available on the relationship between this index and mortality risk in non-Asian populations. Therefore, we estimated the predictive role of baseline TyG on the incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in a large sample of the general population. Moreover, in consideration of the well-recognized role of serum uric acid (SUA) on CV risk and the close correlation between SUA and IR, we also evaluated the combined effect of TyG and SUA on mortality risk.

Methods

The analysis included 16 649 participants from the URRAH cohort. The risk of all-cause and CV mortality was evaluated by the Kaplan–Meier estimator and Cox multivariate analysis.

Results

During a median follow-up of 144 months, 2569 deaths occurred. We stratified the sample by the optimal cut-off point for all-cause (4.62) and CV mortality (4.53). In the multivariate Cox regression analyses, participants with TyG above cut-off had a significantly higher risk of all-cause and CV mortality than those with TyG below the cut-off. Moreover, the simultaneous presence of high levels of TyG and SUA was associated with a higher mortality risk than none or only 1 of the 2 factors.

Conclusion

The results of this study indicate that these TyG (a low-cost and simple, noninvasive marker) thresholds are predictive of an increased risk of mortality in a large and homogeneous general population. In addition, these results show a synergic effect of TyG and SUA on the risk of mortality.

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Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019

Gregory A Roth, George A Mensah, Catherine O. Johnson … (2021)

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), principally ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the leading cause of global mortality and a major contributor to disability. This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. GBD, an ongoing multinational collaboration to provide comparable and consistent estimates of population health over time, used all available population-level data sources on incidence, prevalence, case fatality, mortality, and health risks to produce estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Prevalent cases of total CVD nearly doubled from 271 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 257 to 285 million) in 1990 to 523 million (95% UI: 497 to 550 million) in 2019, and the number of CVD deaths steadily increased from 12.1 million (95% UI:11.4 to 12.6 million) in 1990, reaching 18.6 million (95% UI: 17.1 to 19.7 million) in 2019. The global trends for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and years of life lost also increased significantly, and years lived with disability doubled from 17.7 million (95% UI: 12.9 to 22.5 million) to 34.4 million (95% UI:24.9 to 43.6 million) over that period. The total number of DALYs due to IHD has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 182 million (95% UI: 170 to 194 million) DALYs, 9.14 million (95% UI: 8.40 to 9.74 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 197 million (95% UI: 178 to 220 million) prevalent cases of IHD in 2019. The total number of DALYs due to stroke has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 143 million (95% UI: 133 to 153 million) DALYs, 6.55 million (95% UI: 6.00 to 7.02 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 101 million (95% UI: 93.2 to 111 million) prevalent cases of stroke in 2019. Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of disease burden in the world. CVD burden continues its decades-long rise for almost all countries outside high-income countries, and alarmingly, the age-standardized rate of CVD has begun to rise in some locations where it was previously declining in high-income countries. There is an urgent need to focus on implementing existing cost-effective policies and interventions if the world is to meet the targets for Sustainable Development Goal 3 and achieve a 30% reduction in premature mortality due to noncommunicable diseases.

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The product of triglycerides and glucose, a simple measure of insulin sensitivity. Comparison with the euglycemic-hyperinsulinemic clamp.

Fernando Guerrero-Romero, Luis E Simental-Mendía, Manuel González-Ortiz … (2010)

To meet the worldwide challenge of emerging diabetes, accessible and inexpensive tests to identify insulin resistance are needed. To evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of the product of fasting, we compared the triglycerides and glucose (TyG) index, a simple measure of insulin resistance, with the euglycemic-hyperinsulinemic clamp test. We conducted a cross-sectional study of the general population and outpatients of the Internal Medicine Department at the Medical Unit of High Specialty of the Specialty Hospital at the West National Medical Center in Guadalajara, Mexico. Eleven nonobese healthy subjects, 34 obese normal glucose tolerance individuals, 22 subjects with prediabetes, and 32 diabetic patients participated in the study. We performed a euglycemic-hyperinsulinemic clamp test. Sensitivity and specificity of the TyG index [Ln(fasting triglycerides) (mg/dl) x fasting glucose (mg/dl)/2] were measured, as well as the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic scatter plot and the correlation between the TyG index and the total glucose metabolism (M) rates. Pearson's correlation coefficient between the TyG index and M rates was -0.681 (P < 0.005). Correlation between the TyG index and M rates was similar between men (-0.740) and women (-0.730), nonobese (-0.705) and obese (-0.710), and nondiabetic (-0.670) and diabetic (-0.690) individuals. The best value of the TyG index for diagnosis of insulin resistance was 4.68, which showed the highest sensitivity (96.5%) and specificity (85.0%; area under the curve + 0.858). The TyG index has high sensitivity and specificity, suggesting that it could be useful for identification of subjects with decreased insulin sensitivity.

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The product of fasting glucose and triglycerides as surrogate for identifying insulin resistance in apparently healthy subjects.

Martha Mendoza-Rodríguez, Fernando Guerrero, Luis Simental-Mendía (2008)

Because the insulin test is expensive and is not available in most laboratories in the cities of undeveloped countries, we tested whether the product of fasting triglycerides and glucose levels (TyG) is a surrogate for estimating insulin resistance compared with the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) index. We performed a population-based cross-sectional study. Sampling strategy was based on a randomized two-stage cluster sampling procedure. Only apparently healthy subjects, men and nonpregnant women aged 18-65 years, with newly diagnosed impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), or IFG + IGT were enrolled. Renal disease, malignancy, and diabetes were exclusion criteria. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, and the probability of disease given a positive test were calculated. The optimal TyG index for estimating insulin resistance was established using a receiver operating characteristic scatter plot analysis. A total of 748 apparently healthy subjects aged 41.4 +/- 11.2 years were enrolled. Insulin resistance was identified in 241 (32.2%) subjects (HOMA-IR index 4.4 +/- 1.6). New diagnoses of IFG, IGT, and IFG + IGT were established in 145 (19.4%), 54 (7.2%), and 75 (10.0%) individuals. respectively. The best TyG index for diagnosis of insulin resistance was Ln 4.65, which showed the highest sensitivity (84.0%) and specificity (45.0%) values. The positive and negative predictive values were 81.1% and 84.8%, and the probability of disease, given a positive test, was 60.5%. The TyG index could be useful as surrogate to identify insulin resistance in apparently healthy subjects.