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      Lakes in Hot Water: The Impacts of a Changing Climate on Aquatic Ecosystems

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          Abstract

          Our planet is being subjected to unprecedented climate change, with far-reaching social and ecological repercussions. Below the waterline, aquatic ecosystems are being affected by multiple climate-related and anthropogenic stressors, the combined effects of which are poorly understood and rarely appreciated at the global stage. A striking consequence of climate change on aquatic ecosystems is that many are experiencing shorter periods of ice cover, as well as earlier and longer summer stratified seasons, which often result in a cascade of ecological and environmental consequences, such as warmer summer water temperatures, alterations in lake mixing and water levels, declines in dissolved oxygen, increased likelihood of cyanobacterial algal blooms, and the loss of habitat for native cold-water fisheries. The repercussions of a changing climate include impacts on freshwater supplies, water quality, biodiversity, and the ecosystem benefits that they provide to society.

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          Environmental and Economic Costs of Nonindigenous Species in the United States

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            High-resolution mapping of global surface water and its long-term changes.

            The location and persistence of surface water (inland and coastal) is both affected by climate and human activity and affects climate, biological diversity and human wellbeing. Global data sets documenting surface water location and seasonality have been produced from inventories and national descriptions, statistical extrapolation of regional data and satellite imagery, but measuring long-term changes at high resolution remains a challenge. Here, using three million Landsat satellite images, we quantify changes in global surface water over the past 32 years at 30-metre resolution. We record the months and years when water was present, where occurrence changed and what form changes took in terms of seasonality and persistence. Between 1984 and 2015 permanent surface water has disappeared from an area of almost 90,000 square kilometres, roughly equivalent to that of Lake Superior, though new permanent bodies of surface water covering 184,000 square kilometres have formed elsewhere. All continental regions show a net increase in permanent water, except Oceania, which has a fractional (one per cent) net loss. Much of the increase is from reservoir filling, although climate change is also implicated. Loss is more geographically concentrated than gain. Over 70 per cent of global net permanent water loss occurred in the Middle East and Central Asia, linked to drought and human actions including river diversion or damming and unregulated withdrawal. Losses in Australia and the USA linked to long-term droughts are also evident. This globally consistent, validated data set shows that impacts of climate change and climate oscillations on surface water occurrence can be measured and that evidence can be gathered to show how surface water is altered by human activities. We anticipate that this freely available data will improve the modelling of surface forcing, provide evidence of state and change in wetland ecotones (the transition areas between biomes), and inform water-management decision-making.
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              Early-warning signals for critical transitions.

              Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may occur. Although predicting such critical points before they are reached is extremely difficult, work in different scientific fields is now suggesting the existence of generic early-warning signals that may indicate for a wide class of systems if a critical threshold is approaching.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Bioscience
                Bioscience
                bioscience
                Bioscience
                Oxford University Press
                0006-3568
                1525-3244
                November 2022
                18 July 2022
                18 July 2022
                : 72
                : 11
                : 1050-1061
                Affiliations
                Department of Meteorology, University of Reading , Reading, England and with the School of Ocean Sciences at Bangor University in Anglesey, Wales
                Department of Biology, York University , Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                Department of Biology, Queen’s University , Kingston, Ontario, Canada
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0498-7968
                Article
                biac052
                10.1093/biosci/biac052
                9618276
                36325103
                4c5b34f6-e27a-4d74-a0e8-bed383c3f811
                © The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Institute of Biological Sciences.

                This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                Page count
                Pages: 12
                Categories
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                AcademicSubjects/SCI00010
                AcademicSubjects/SOC02100
                Editor's Choice

                limnology,ecology,climate change,environmental science,water resources

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