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      Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation

      review-article
      1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 , 1 , 9 , 6 , 7 , 10 , 11 , 1 , 12 , 13 , 14 , 13 , 14 , 10 , 3 , 4 , 15 , 13 , 14 , 3 , 4 , 1 , 11 , 16 , 5 , 5 , 10 , 5 , 1 , 17 , 6 , 7 , 3 , 4 , 6 , 7 , 11 , 16 , 18 , 1 , 10 , 17 , 17 , 12 , 11 , 16 , 18 , 19 , 3 , 4 , 10 , 13 , 14 , 12 , 4 , 20 , 10 , 20 , 1 , 6 , 7 , 10 , 6 , 21 , 1
      Clinical Infectious Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
      Oxford University Press
      neglected tropical diseases, coronavirus, modeling

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          Abstract

          Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, many key neglected tropical disease (NTD) activities have been postponed. This hindrance comes at a time when the NTDs are progressing towards their ambitious goals for 2030. Mathematical modelling on several NTDs, namely gambiense sleeping sickness, lymphatic filariasis, onchocerciasis, schistosomiasis, soil-transmitted helminthiases (STH), trachoma, and visceral leishmaniasis, shows that the impact of this disruption will vary across the diseases. Programs face a risk of resurgence, which will be fastest in high-transmission areas. Furthermore, of the mass drug administration diseases, schistosomiasis, STH, and trachoma are likely to encounter faster resurgence. The case-finding diseases (gambiense sleeping sickness and visceral leishmaniasis) are likely to have fewer cases being detected but may face an increasing underlying rate of new infections. However, once programs are able to resume, there are ways to mitigate the impact and accelerate progress towards the 2030 goals.

          Abstract

          The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted neglected tropical disease programs. Modelling shows the impact of this will vary across diseases. Once interventions are reintroduced, there are opportunities for mitigating the delay and accelerating progress towards the 2030 goals.

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          Most cited references15

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          Effect of Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene on the Prevention of Trachoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

          Introduction Trachoma is the world's leading cause of infectious blindness, responsible for visual impairment of an estimated 2.2 million people, of whom 1.2 million are irreversibly blind [1],[2]. Repeated infection with the bacteria C. trachomatis results in scarring of the conjunctiva of the upper eyelid that inverts the eyelids (entropion) leading to eyelashes touching the cornea and conjunctiva (trichiasis). Abrasions and secondary infections of the cornea then lead, without preventive surgery, to irreversible blindness [3],[4]. Although great progress has been made, the disease remains endemic in 53 countries, primarily in sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, and Asia [2]. Approximately 334,000 disability-adjusted life years are currently lost due to trachoma infection [5]. An estimated 229 million people live in endemic areas, including 176 million in Africa, though 80% of the global burden is now limited to 14 countries [6]. Intensive effort since the founding of the Global Alliance for Elimination of Blinding Trachoma by 2020 (GET 2020) has led to considerable reduction in the global burden of trachoma from 84 million cases of active trachoma in 2003 to 21.4 million in 2012 [7]–[10]. Success of trachoma control has been in part due to the World Health Organization (WHO)-endorsed SAFE strategy: a simple, low-cost “surgery” for patients with advanced stages of the disease, treatment with the “antibiotics” azithromycin or tetracycline eye ointment, promotion of “facial” cleanliness, and “environmental” improvement, which encompasses promotion of sanitation construction and increased water access [9]. The World Health Assembly (WHA) in resolution 51.11 has called for the elimination of blinding trachoma by 2020 [8],[9]. Donation of Zithromax (azithromycin) by Pfizer Inc. has enabled scale-up of efforts to reduce disease burden in relation to these targets. Annual treatments have increased from 1 million doses in 1998 to 47.8 million doses in 2012 [2] and more than 30 countries have articulated national trachoma strategies and undertaken trachoma elimination programs [11]. However, these efforts alone will not lead to sustainable elimination of blinding trachoma, and it is widely recognized that scale-up of the full SAFE strategy is needed to reach 2020 targets [12]. In particular, improvements in environmental conditions, most notably hygiene and sanitation, are needed for sustained reductions in disease burden, and no single tool can be recommended for the F and E components of SAFE [13],[14]. As pointed out by the editors of the Lancet in 2012 in response to the launch of Accelerating Work to Overcome the Global Impact of Neglected Tropical Diseases and reiterated by key stakeholders in the trachoma control community [15], the inclusion of water, sanitation, and hygiene as a strategic goal within the global strategy did not include specific goals or targets [16]. There is a need for increased intersectoral collaboration between neglected tropical disease (NTD) and water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) sectors, as well as for increased financial resources for WASH interventions in the context of trachoma control [17]. However, there is little evidence to support specific WASH interventions within the SAFE framework. While there have been successes in integrating WASH into trachoma control [15], a need remains for empirical guidance on the impact of the F and E components and for guidance on how to monitor progress. Recent Cochrane reviews on the environmental improvement (sanitation) component [18] and on face washing [19] revealed few rigorous randomized trials. The most recent comprehensive reviews of the impact of sanitation access and face washing on trachoma were conducted in 2000 [13],[14]. We found no previous reviews of all facets of WASH on trachoma. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to quantify the relationship between WASH exposures and C. trachomatis infection and active disease. Our purpose was to assess and present the available evidence in order to inform policy for effective and cost-effective integration of WASH for trachoma control, as well as to inform WASH monitoring indicators for trachoma control programs. Methods Search Strategy We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature to address the effects of WASH exposures on infection and clinical signs of trachoma. We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, ISI Web of Knowledge, MedCarib, Lilacs, REPIDISCA, DESASTRES, and African Index Medicus databases with no restrictions on language or year of publication. Our search was performed through October 27, 2013 with no restriction of start date. We employed a broad set of search terms, pairing the term [trachom*] with the following WASH-related keywords: [clean* fac*], [environment*], [excre*], [face washing], [facewashing], [faec*], [fec*], [hand washing], [handwashing], [hygiene], [latrine*], [sanitation], [toilet*], [towel*], [wash cloth*], [waste], and [water]. In addition, we examined seven previous reviews pertaining to trachoma and some aspect of WASH [3],[14],[18]–[22], and hand searched the bibliographies of all relevant publications. Any additional articles found to be pertinent during this process were included. Studies were included in the systematic review only if they measured WASH exposure, trachoma infection, and attempted to quantify the association between a WASH exposure, condition, or risk factor on trachoma. All study types were eligible if they met these inclusion criteria, and we employed no additional exclusion criteria in our approach. If an article was considered relevant, but data were not available in the format needed for our meta-analysis, the corresponding authors were contacted by e-mail and asked to supply the relevant data. We conducted meta-analyses for specific exposure-outcome relationships based on available data. Meta-analyses were conducted in adherence to the PRISMA statement (Text S1) and the MOOSE guidelines for reporting meta-analyses of observational studies [23]. Our complete protocol is available in Text S2. Selection Criteria and Data Extraction Articles were selected for inclusion using a two-step review process. First, the titles and abstracts of all identified studies were examined, and studies that failed to meet the inclusion criteria after this step were excluded. Second, two reviewers (MES and CM) independently examined the full text of potentially relevant articles using a standard protocol developed by MES and MCF. In the event of disagreement regarding the eligibility of a study during this phase, the opinion of a third reviewer (MCF) was sought, and the parameters of the study's inclusion were discussed until consensus was reached. Once a set of eligible studies was agreed upon, relevant data were extracted from each study by MES using a standard protocol. To ensure extraction reliability, CM also extracted data from a subset of 10% of identified studies, and no discrepancies were found. Data extracted included a brief description of the study (e.g., study design, setting, year, and sample size), details of the study population, and measures of trachoma. Measures of trachoma included C. trachomatis infection assessed by laboratory analysis of ocular swabs, most commonly using PCR or ELISA techniques, and clinical signs of active trachoma. Clinical signs of trachoma were diagnosed by trained observers using torchlights and 2.5× magnifying loupes [24]. In this approach, eyes are graded according to the WHO simplified grading system and assigned one or more of the following grades: trachomatous inflammation-follicular (TF), trachomatous inflammation-intense (TI), trachomatous scarring (TS), trachomatous trichiasis (TT), and corneal opacity (CO) [25]. Detailed descriptions of all WASH-related conditions, risk factors, or interventions were assessed and coded on the basis of the descriptions in Table 1. Primary WASH components were defined on the basis of the data available from the review. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.t001 Table 1 Summary of literature density results for overall systematic review. WASH Exposure Article Count Water 56 Distance to watera 36 Type of water source 19 Access to water 7 Quantity used for washing 6 Total quantity of water 5 Sanitation 51 Sanitation accessa 38 Sanitation usea 8 Sanitation type 6 Sanitation maintenance 3 Sanitation education 3 Hygiene 62 Facial cleanlinessa 33 Face-washing frequencya 19 Ocular dischargea 14 Nasal dischargea 13 Soap usea 7 Hygiene education 6 Towel usea 6 Bathing frequencya 5 Nose wiping practices 5 Towel sharing 3 a Exposures with sufficient number of comparable measures of effect to warrant a meta-analysis. Quality Issues In order to determine the quality of identified studies, we developed a set of criteria derived from the GRADE methodology [26]. Our criteria took into account diagnostic features, assessment of WASH-related risk factors, study design, and overall strengths and limitations of the studies. Studies could obtain an overall score ranging between −1 and +6 points for each meta-analysis. Studies that employed a rigorous diagnostic approach (e.g., PCR or other laboratory technique used to assess infection status) received +1 point, while studies that relied only upon clinical diagnosis of trachoma through eye examinations were given 0 points. A study was given +1 point if WASH conditions were investigated directly by the research team (e.g., directly observed the presence of sanitation facility or distance to water source). However, no point was assigned if this was assessed using only a questionnaire. Studies with quasi-experimental or experimental designs were awarded +1 point, while observational studies were awarded 0 points. Studies that purposively calculated sample size to address trachoma as a key outcome of WASH characteristics were awarded +1 point. Studies that attempted to control for confounding factors were assigned an additional +1 point. A list of the confounders each study attempted to control for is available in Text S3. Other strengths and limitations of each study were assessed, and the study was assigned +1 point for additional strengths, and −1 points for additional limitations. MES performed the quality assessment independently and documented the results in separate tables. All relevant studies were included in the review regardless of their overall quality rating. Quality ratings did not affect the meta-analysis or subsequent summary of effect measures, but help to demonstrate the overall quality of individual studies and to identify research gaps. The worksheet used in grading studies for each meta-analysis is available in Text S4. Meta-Analysis We conducted meta-analyses for all WASH-related exposures for which three or more studies reported comparable odds ratios (ORs) for the same WASH–trachoma association (i.e., ORs describing the effect of similarly defined exposures on the same measure of trachoma). All ORs used in meta-analyses reflected the results of cross-sectional risk factor analyses. WASH conditions included sanitation access, sanitation use, distance to water of less than 1 km, clean face, lack of ocular discharge, lack of nasal discharge, washing face at least once daily, washing face at least twice daily, bathing at least once daily, towel use, and soap use. Data were stratified by clinically relevant trachoma measures: C. trachomatis infection and the most commonly reported measure of active trachoma, trachomatous inflammation-follicular and/or trachomatous inflammation-intense (TF/TI). Reported ORs served as effect measures. Where a study reported more than one OR for the same WASH exposure (i.e., one for the entire population and one for a sub-population), we chose for inclusion the OR most similar to others in the meta-analysis. When both unadjusted and adjusted ORs were reported, adjusted ORs were included in meta-analysis [27], and adjusted ORs are indicated with asterisks within the forest plots. When ORs were not reported, they were calculated from 2×2 contingency tables; ORs that were calculated using data provided by contacted authors are indicated as such by a footnote in the forest plot. Findings of those studies identified in the systematic review, but not included in meta-analyses were summarized and examined for patterns within and between WASH subcomponent measures, as recommended by the Cochrane Collaboration [27]. We used Microsoft Excel (Microsoft Corporation) to conduct meta-analyses and to develop forest plots [28]. Funnel plots were utilized to investigate the existence of publication bias [29]. Heterogeneity between studies was determined using Higgins' I 2 and Cochran's Q-tests [27]. When heterogeneity was moderate to high (I2 >50%), sub-group analyses were performed to identify potential sources of heterogeneity. Random effects models were used throughout to enhance generalizability of results [30], and pooled ORs for the effect of the selected WASH conditions on trachoma were employed [27]. Associations between WASH conditions and trachoma were reoriented so that all ORs reflect the relationship between improved WASH conditions on trachoma (e.g., all facial cleanliness ORs were converted to reflect the effect of having a clean face, rather than dirty face, on odds of trachoma). Results Characteristics of Identified Studies Our initial search yielded 5,425 publications (Figure 1). Ninety-nine publications were deemed relevant after review of titles and, when available, abstracts. These articles were fully screened by MES and CM. Following this screening, 86 articles were determined to meet systematic review inclusion criteria (Tables 2–8). We conducted a total of 15 meta-analyses. A summary of the calculated pooled ORs and 95% CIs is provided in Figure 2 and Table 9. Forty-six studies were included in at least one meta-analysis, and 33 appeared in two or more meta-analyses. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g001 Figure 1 Flow chart of publications identified and excluded for this review. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g002 Figure 2 Summary of meta-analyses examining association of WASH exposures with active trachoma (TF/TI) and C. trachomatis infection. Circles indicate ORs, while the size of circles represents the number of studies included in the meta-analysis (n). Horizontal lines represent 95% CIs. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.t002 Table 2 Summary of publications reporting only on water-related risk factors. Reference Study Design and Setting Year Study Population WASH Components Type of Trachoma Measure Diagnostic Approach Data Obtained Assessment Method W S H Alemu et al. [48] Intervention study in Dalocha District, Central Ethiopia 1998–2002 644 children between aged 1–9 years Access to water TF/TI Clinical exam Change in prevalence Q — — Assaad et al. [49] Descriptive study on Island of Taiwan 1960–1961 Pre-WWII Chinese immigrants in sample units of approximately 125 people Distance to water, type of water source TF/TI Clinical exam Age-standardized trachoma rate Q, O — — Cairncross et al. [50] Descriptive study in two villages in the Mueda Plateau in Northern Mozambique 1983 100 households in each village Water access Any trachoma sign Clinical exam X2 O — — Caligaris et al. [51] Descriptive study in nine day care centers of Bela Vista district in Sao Paulo, Brazil 1995 All preschool students attending day care centers, aged 0–7 years Water access TF/TI, C. trachomatis infection DFA OR Q — — Chumbley et al. [52] Descriptive study in West Bank and Gaza Strip 1982– 1983 9,058 Palestinian Arabs Water access Any trachoma sign Clinical exam 2×2 (from bar chart) O — — Hoeschmann et al. [53] Descriptive study in Malawi 1999 1,363 adults >50 years, 2,251 children aged 1–6 years Distance to water TF, TI, TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q — — Marshall et al. [54] Descriptive study in Naha, Japan 1962 58,480 primary and junior high students Type of water source TF/TI Clinical exam Change in prevalence O — — Polack et al. [55] Descriptive study in sub-village of Kahe Mpya in Rombo District, northern Tanzania 2000 All consenting residents (n = 956) Distance to water TF/TI, C. trachomatis infection Clinical exam, PCR OR Q, O — — West et al. [56] Descriptive study in 20 villages in Kongwa sub-district, Dodoma region, Tanzania n.s. All preschool-age children and caretakers in randomly selected sub-districts Water access TF/TI Clinical exam Prevalence ratio O — — H, hygiene; O, observed directly; Q, questionnaire; S, sanitation; W, water. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.t003 Table 3 Summary of publications reporting only on sanitation-related risk factors. Reference Study Design and Setting Year Study Population WASH Components Type of Trachoma Measure Diagnostic Approach Data Obtained Assessment Method W S H Courtright et al. [57] Descriptive study in the hamlet of Kafr in the Egyptian Nile Delta 1987 225 children aged 1–5 years from 96 households Sanitation presence TI Clinical exam OR — Q, O — Emerson et al. [58] Intervention study in rural communities in the North Bank and Central River divisions of The Gambia 1999–2001 All residents over 4 months of age (n = 6,087) Sanitation presence TF/TI Clinical exam Change in prevalence — O — Haile et al. [59] Descriptive study following an antibiotic and sanitation promotion intervention in twelve communities in Amhara region of Ethiopia. 2006–2008 50 randomly selected sentinel children aged 0–9 years from each of the 12 communities. Sanitation use TF/TI, C. trachomatis infection Clinical exam, PCR Difference in prevalence — O — Montgomery et al. [60] Descriptive study in seven rural Tanzanian communities 2007 594 households (92 cases, 502 controls) Sanitation type, sanitation use TF/TI Clinical exam OR — Q O — Reilly et al. [61] Descriptive study in Marajo Island in Para State, Brazil 2004 180 adults (>15 years) and 187 children (0–15 years) Sanitation presence Any trachoma sign Clinical exam Regression coefficient — Q, O — Stoller et al. [37] Intervention study in 24 communities in Amhara state, Ethiopia 2006–2008 60 randomly selected children aged 0–9 years from each sentinel site Sanitation presence TF/TI, C. trachomatis infection Clinical exam, PCR Change in prevalence — O — H, hygiene; O, observed directly; Q, questionnaire; S, sanitation; W, water. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.t004 Table 4 Summary of publications reporting only on hygiene-related risk factors. Reference Study Design and Setting Year Study Population WASH Components Type of Trachoma Measure Diagnostic Approach Data Obtained Assessment Method W S H Alene et al. [62] Descriptive study in Jangua Mariam, North Western Ethiopia 1998 1,718 individuals of all age groups in 414 households Face-washing frequency Any trachoma sign Clinical exam OR — — Q De Sole et al. [29] Intervention study in a primary school in Metahara, Ethiopia 1984–1985 239 children aged 30 years Face-washing frequency, soap use, towel sharing TF/TI Clinical exam X2 — — Q Hagi et al. [65] Descriptive study in 203 villages in Mali 1996–1997 14,627 children aged 50 years Type of water source, sanitation type TF/TI Clinical exam X2 Q Q — Katz et al. [74] Descriptive study in Sarlahi district, Nepal 1990–1991 836 children aged 24–76 months Type of water source, water access, sanitation access TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q — — Luna et al. [75] Descriptive study in Bebedouro municipality in Sao Paulo 1986 1,959 children aged 1–10 years in 1,416 households. Type of water source, total quantity of water, sanitation presence, sanitation type TF/TI Clinical exam OR, 2×2 O n.s. — Montgomery et al. [76] Descriptive case-control study in eight villages in Kongwa district, Tanzania 2006–2008 678 households (95 cases, 583 controls) with a sentinel child aged 1–5 years Distance to water, sanitation use, sanitation maintenance TF/TI Clinical exam OR, 2×2 Q Q, O — Ngondi et al. [77] Descriptive study in 11 districts in Southern Sudan 2001–2006 11,155 children aged 1–14 years from 3,950 households Distance to water, type of water source, sanitation presence TT Clinical exam OR Q Q, O — Sallam et al. [78] Descriptive study in Yemen 2001 787 randomly selected school children under age 20 Type of water source, sanitation presence C. trachomatis infection PCR OR Q Q — Zerihun et al. [79] Descriptive study in 14 villages and 1 town in Dedo, Manna, Sekka, and Kossa districts of Jimma Zone, Ethiopia 1994–1995 7,423 residents of 100 randomly selected households in each village Distance to water, presence of sanitation TF/TI, TS Clinical exam OR Q Q — H, hygiene; O, observed directly; Q, questionnaire; S, sanitation; W, water. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.t006 Table 6 Summary of publications reporting on water- and hygiene-related risk factors. Reference Study Design and Setting Year Study Population WASH Components Type of Trachoma Measure Diagnostic Approach Data Obtained Assessment Method W S H Baggaley et al. [80] Descriptive study in randomly selected households in 64 villages in Rombo district, Tanzania 2002 12,415 children aged 1–9 years Distance to water, flies on face TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q, O — O D'Amaral et al. [81] Descriptive case-control study in Greater Metropolitan Sao Paulo, Brazil 1999 121 pairs of cases/controls matched by age and school Water access, face-washing frequency TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q — Q Hsieh et al. [82] Descriptive study in Kongwa, Tanzania 1989–1995 176 children who were 1–2 years old in 1989 survey and available for follow-up in 1995 Distance to water, facial cleanliness TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q — O Schemann et al. [83] Descriptive study in 210 villages in Mali n.s. All children aged 14 years in randomly chosen households Distance to water, facial cleanliness, flies on face TF/TI, TS, TT, CO Clinical exam OR Q — O Taylor et al. [84] Descriptive study in 2 communities in Chiapas, Mexico n.s. Entire population of both communities (n = 1,097) Face-washing frequency, nose wiping practices Any trachoma sign Clinical exam Relative risk, X2 — — Q West et al. [85] Descriptive study in 20 villages in the Kongwa, Tanzania 1986 3,800 children aged 1–7 years Distance to water, total quantity of water, facial cleanliness TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q — O West et al. [86] Descriptive study in 9 villages in Tanzania n.s. 1,085 children aged 1–7 years Distance to water, facial cleanliness, nose wiping practices TF/TI, C. trachomatis infection Clinical exam, PCR OR Q — O West et al. [87] Intervention study in 3 pairs of villages in the Kongwa subdistrict of central Tanzania 1989–1990 1,417 children aged 1–7 years enrolled, 1,168 participated in all four examinations Distance to water, hygiene education, facial cleanliness TI Clinical exam OR, 2×2 Q — O H, hygiene; O, observed directly; Q, questionnaire; S, sanitation; W, water. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.t007 Table 7 Summary of publications reporting only on sanitation- and hygiene-related risk factors. Reference Study Design and Setting Year Study Population WASH Components Type of Trachoma Measure Diagnostic Approach Data Obtained Assessment Method W S H Abdou et al. [88] Intervention study in 10 randomly selected communities in Maradi, Niger 2005–2008 557 randomly selected sentinel children aged 1–5 years from each village Hygiene education, sanitation education TF/TI, C. trachomatis infection Clinical exam, PCR OR — O O Burton et al. [89] Descriptive study in Upper Saloum District, The Gambia n.s. All available residents (n = 1,319) Sanitation presence, ocular discharge, nasal discharge, flies on face C. trachomatis infection PCR OR — Q O Burton et al. [90] Descriptive study in 14 villages in rural Gambia 2001–2003 All consenting residents living in the area for more than 6 months (n = 1,319) Sanitation presence, ocular discharge, nasal discharge, flies on face C. trachomatis infection PCR OR — Q O Hassan et al. [91] Descriptive study in 88 districts in 12 northern states of Sudan 2006– 2010 Children aged 1–9 years Sanitation access, face-washing frequency TF/TI Clinical exam OR — O Q Khandekar et al. [92] Intervention study in villages My Thon and Xom Ngoai, Vietnam 2002–2005 All households and residents of all ages comprised target population Sanitation education, hygiene education TF/TI Clinical exam Additional decline in prevalence due to FE — O O Resnikoff et al. [93] Intervention study in four villages in Oulessebougou, Mali 1994 347 subjects with TF/TI Sanitation education, hygiene education TF/TI Clinical exam OR — O O Rubinstein et al. [94] Intervention study in four villages in the Egyptian delta 1991–1992 Children aged 15 years Type of water source, sanitation type, sanitation use, facial cleanliness, ocular discharge, towel use Any trachoma sign Clinical exam Prevalence ratio Q, O Q, O Q, O Cumberland et al. [102] Descriptive study in Gurage, Oromia, and South Welo zones of Ethiopia 2002 1,960 children aged 3–9 years in selected households Type of water source, distance to water, sanitation use, bathing frequency, ocular discharge, nasal discharge, flies on face TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q, O Q, O Q, O Edwards et al. [103] Descriptive study in 40 randomly selected villages in Unity State, South Sudan 2002–2005 1,722 children aged 3–9 years Distance to water, type of water source, sanitation presence, sanitation use, face-washing frequency, ocular discharge, flies on face, towel sharing TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q Q, O Q, O Edwards et al. [104] Descriptive study in 37 Ethiopian communities 2010 All consenting residents (n = 5,727) Distance to water, type of water source, sanitation presence, ocular discharge, nasal discharge TF, TT Clinical exam OR Q Q O Ejigu et al. [105] Descriptive study in Kersa District, Southwest Ethiopia 2011 305 children aged 1–9 years Distance to water, sanitation presence, facial cleanliness TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q O O Faye et al. [106] Descriptive study in Nioro department, Kaolack Region, Senegal 2003 1,648 randomly selected children aged 2–5 years Distance to water, quantity of water used for washing, sanitation presence, sanitation use, facial cleanliness, flies on face, face-washing frequency, soap use TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q Q Q, O Golovaty et al. [107] Descriptive cross-sectional study in one community in Ankober, Ethiopia 2007 507 children aged 1–9 years Type of water source, sanitation presence, facial cleanliness, flies on eyes TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q Q O Harding-Esch et al. [103],[108] Descriptive study in the Gambia's Lower River Region and North Bank Region n.s. Children aged 15 years in randomly selected households Distance to water, sanitation presence, face-washing frequency TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q Q Q Schemann et al. [124] Descriptive study in 30 villages in each of Mali's seven regions 1996–1997 Sample of 30 villages randomly selected in each of Mali's seven regions Type of water source, sanitation presence, bathing frequency, face-washing frequency, facial cleanliness, flies on face, soap use, towel use TF/TI, TI Clinical exam OR O O Q, O Schemann et al. [125] Descriptive study in 9 villages in Segou and Mopti regions of Mali 2000–2002 Children aged <11 years Distance to water, type of water source, sanitation presence, facial cleanliness, face-washing frequency, bathing frequency TF/TI Clinical exam OR Q Q Q, O Taylor et al. [126] Descriptive study in 20 villages in Kongwa district in central Tanzania n.s. Approximately 200 children aged 1–7 years from each of 20 villages Distance to water, sanitation presence, facial cleanliness, towel use, nose wiping practices TF/TI, TI Clinical exam OR Q Q, O Q, O Tielsch et al. [127] Descriptive study in Lower Shire River Valley in Malawi 1983 5,436 children aged <6 years and 1,664 persons aged ≥6 years Distance to water, sanitation presence, nose wiping practices, face-washing frequency TI Clinical exam OR, 2×2 Q Q Q H, hygiene; O, observed directly; Q, questionnaire; S, sanitation; W, water. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.t009 Table 9 Summary of meta-analyses examining association of WASH exposures with active trachoma (TF/TI) and C. trachomatis infection. WASH Exposure Active Trachoma (TF/TI) C. trachomatis Infection n Random Effects Pooled OR (95% CI) I2 (95% CI) n Random Effects Pooled OR (95% CI) I2 (95% CI) Distance to water ≤1 km 12 0.97 (0.83–1.11) 77 (60–87) 4 1.08 (0.86–1.30) 0 (0–85) Sanitation access 26 0.85 (0.75–0.95) 75 (70–86) 7 0.67 (0.55–0.78) 0 (0–71) Sanitation use 6 0.86 (0.57–1.15) 64 (12–85) — — — Clean face 25 0.42 (0.32–0.52) 78 (69–85) — — — No ocular discharge 10 0.42 (0.23–0.61) 68 (37–83) 4 0.40 (0.31–0.49) 0 (0–85) No nasal discharge 9 0.62 (0.52–0.72) 30 (0–68) 4 0.56 (0.37–0.76) 8 (0–86) Washes face≥once daily 6 0.76 (0.57–0.96) 70 (31–87) — — — Washes face≥twice daily 8 0.85 (0.80–0.90) 0 (0–68) — — — Bathes≥once daily 4 0.76 (0.53–0.99) 60 (0–87) — — — Uses towel 4 0.65 (0.53–0.78) 40 (0–80) — — — Uses soap 6 0.76 (0.59–0.93) 48 (0–79) — — — Seventy-six of the included publications were descriptive cross-sectional surveys, assessing at least one WASH-related condition or risk factor for C. trachomatis infection or clinical disease; ten publications involved some WASH-related intervention. Of the 453 effect measures from the included studies, 127 were reported as adjusted ORs, 269 were reported as unadjusted ORs, 20 were unadjusted ORs calculated from raw data using 2×2 tables, and 37 were reported as some other measure of effect (age-standardized rates, risk ratios, regression coefficients, etc.). Tansy Edwards, Joanne Katz, Jeremy Keenan, Caleb Mpyet, and Candace Vinke sent raw data in the form of 2×2 tables in response to a data request. Eighty percent of the studies were conducted in Africa, 10% were conducted in Asia, and 10% were conducted in Latin America. In general, the quality was low for studies included in the meta-analyses (see forest plots). These quality scores were due in part to the observational nature of nearly all studies, as well as the fact that WASH was the primary exposure of interest in only 32 of the studies. Definitions of WASH Characteristics “Sanitation access” was generally assessed through interviews or questionnaires given to household head or child caretaker, sometimes verified through direct observation of the presence of a sanitation facility, which typically meant presence of a household-level, onsite, toilet or latrine facility. Access does not necessarily take into account use of the facility, which was generally assessed independently using questionnaires given to the head-of-household or a child's caregiver and, in some cases, verified through observation of indirect sanitation usage indicators (e.g., the presence of a beaten path to the door of the sanitation facility or the presence of feces). “Sanitation type” mainly referred to shared status or the location of a toilet or latrine (within house versus within compound). Each study assessing “facility maintenance” defined a different method of assessing and grading maintenance. All “sanitation education” was part of larger programs that also included a hygiene education component. The time and distance increments used in examining the effect of “distance to water” varied from study to study, although the baseline for comparison was most commonly <30 min, or within 1 km to source. Because households often estimate distance to source in terms of travel time, WASH household surveys commonly equate a 30 min round trip from household to source (15 min each way) to a distance of 1 km (average walking speed of 4 km/hr) [31],[32]. As such, we standardized distance-to-source and time-to-source metrics where possible, according to this commonly used conversion, in order to include related ORs in a single meta-analysis. Similarly, there were no common volume increments used when evaluating the effect of “quantity of water used for washing” or “total quantity of water” collected by a household. The definition of “quantity of water used for washing” also varied by study (e.g., overall volume of water used for washing for the entire household versus volume used for individual children). “Water source type” most commonly examined the relative effects of community-specific water sources (e.g., tap versus draw-well versus hand-pump versus “other”, or indoor plumbing versus outdoor plumbing, comparing different types of wells, etc.) or compared “safe” and “unsafe” water sources as defined in each study. “Water access” as an exposure was poorly defined. In general, studies measured the presence of some specific water source within a village or the reported year-round availability of water. The definition of “facial cleanliness” varied slightly from study to study, but generally was defined as the lack of ocular discharge, nasal discharge, and/or flies on face at the time of clinical examination. “Ocular discharge” included any discharge in or surrounding the eye, including “sleep” in eyes, and “nasal discharge” included any discharge present from the nose. “Face washing frequency” and “bathing frequency” were assessed using questionnaires and were most commonly reported as at least once daily (versus not daily) and at least twice daily (versus only daily or not daily) for face-washing frequency, and at least once daily (versus not daily) for bathing frequency. “Soap use” and “towel use” were also assessed using questionnaires and were reported as either use or no use. “Towel sharing” was defined as self-reported towel sharing or the availability of less than one towel per person. “Nose wiping practices” were also self-reported and compared children who wipe or blow nose using clothing or handkerchief and those who used neither. “Hygiene education” included both cross-sectional assessments of exposure or uptake of hygiene education and interventions involving hygiene education and promotion, including combined programs that also included sanitation education. Literature Density Studies often examined more than one WASH exposure or condition and sometimes reported multiple effect measures (e.g., incremental measures of distance or face-washing frequency). Table 1 provides the total number of articles reporting on each WASH exposure, and Figure 3 shows the distribution of articles reporting on various combinations of WASH components. Effect measures, the number of parameters reported in the literature to compare a WASH exposure and trachoma outcome, are reported throughout the manuscript. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g003 Figure 3 Publications reporting on the association between trachoma and water, sanitation, and hygiene exposures. Created using eulerAPE software. Water-Related Exposures or Risk Factors Fifty-eight of the studies identified in our systematic review reported at least one measure of effect for a water-related exposure or risk factor on trachoma, with a total 151 reported effect measures overall. Two intervention studies that improved access to water by installing water sources were identified; the remaining studies were observational. Study participants were chosen at random, either at individual or at household level in 69% of the relevant studies. In 14 studies, all individuals of a particular community, village, or special population group were enrolled, whereas no selection criteria for study participation were specified in four studies. Figures 4 and 5 illustrate the association between distance to water and TF/TI and C. trachomatis infection, respectively. Distance to water was reported in 38 publications, with a total reported 86 measures of effect. We included articles reporting on <1 km to water (or <30 min to collect water) in our meta-analyses [33]. We found no significant association between <1 km to water and TF/TI (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.83–1.11) nor <1 km to water and C. trachomatis infection (OR 1.08, 95% CI 0.86–1.30). 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g004 Figure 4 Meta-analysis examining the association of distance to water (≤1 km) with TF/TI. Circles indicate ORs, while the size of circles represents the sample size. Horizontal lines represent 95% confidence intervals. The diamond and corresponding line represent the random effects pooled OR and 95% confidence interval. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g005 Figure 5 Meta-analysis examining the association of distance to water (≤1 km) with C. trachomatis infection. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. Meta-analyses were not performed for other water-related conditions or risk factors owing to the lack of sufficient number of studies with comparable ORs and the variation in how exposures were measured and defined across studies (e.g., the type of water source reported in a study varied depending on context, and there were no common increments in measuring quantity of water collected or used for washing). The components for which meta-analyses were not conducted included: type of water source (20 articles, 37 effect measures), access to water (seven articles, seven effect measures), total quantity of water used for washing (six articles, 16 effect measures), and total quantity of water used daily within a household (six articles, nine effect measures). Despite the high number of water source-related studies identified, no meta-analyses were conducted because water source types tended to be poorly defined, and individual studies generally examined the relative effects of site-specific water sources, making comparison of across studies difficult. No clear significant effect of water source type was found across the articles, but, in general, those that showed a significant association between water source and trachoma found that “safer” water sources (those defined as “safe or protected” or piped water versus various types of wells versus an unprotected source) were protective against trachoma. “Access to water” was defined as either the presence of an improved water source or self-reported access to water year-round versus sporadically; most effect measures assessing access to water were not statistically significant (four effect measures), but those did find a significant effect suggest improved access is protective (three effect measures). Additionally, neither intervention that included the component improving water access led to a significant reduction in trachoma. Seven reported ORs suggest that using more water for washing is associated with significantly lower odds of trachoma, but the remaining nine reported ORs did not show a statistically significant relationship. Four of six studies reported a significant association between increased total quantity of water and lowered odds of trachoma. One study determined that, regardless of total water collection, using a higher proportion of the total household water for hygiene is protective [34]. Sanitation-Related Exposures or Risk Factors Fifty-six of the studies identified in our systematic review reported at least one measure of effect for a sanitation-related risk factor on trachoma, with a total of 96 reported effect measures overall. Four of these studies involved interventions to improve sanitation or sanitation/hygiene promotion; the remaining studies were observational. Study participants were chosen at random, either at individual or at household level in 68% of relevant studies. In 17 studies, all individuals of a particular community, village, or special population group were enrolled, whereas no selection criteria for study participation were specified in one study. Figures 6 and 7 illustrate the association between sanitation and trachoma. We found that access to sanitation was associated with lower trachoma as measured by presence of TF/TI (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.75–0.95) and C. trachomatis infection (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.55–0.78). TF/TI was not significantly lower for those that reported higher levels of sanitation use (OR 0.86, CI 95% 0.57–1.15) (Figure 8). 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g006 Figure 6 Meta-analysis examining the association of sanitation access with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g007 Figure 7 Meta-analysis examining the association of sanitation access with C. trachomatis infection. Results reported separately for aThe Gambia population, bTanzania population. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g008 Figure 8 Meta-analysis examining the association of sanitation use with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. Meta-analyses were not performed for other sanitation-related conditions or risk factors owing to a lack of sufficient number of studies with comparable ORs and the variation in how exposures were measured and defined across studies (e.g., there was no standard definition of either “facility maintenance” or “sanitation type”). These exposures included sanitation type (six articles, 11 effect measures), sanitation education (three articles, six effect measures), and facility maintenance (three articles, five effect measures). One study found the presence of a sanitation facility within the house to be significantly protective against TF/TI compared to facilities located outside of the house [35], and another found that a facility with no privacy may be associated with increased odds of TF [36]. The remaining four studies found no association between type of sanitation and trachoma. Three studies examined the effect of sanitation education or promotion on trachoma, but these analyses were part of larger programs also addressing hygiene and face washing, thus sanitation education could not be isolated. Two of three studies showed FE combined education intervention villages had significantly lower trachoma at follow-up. One study examined the effect of sanitation promotion without hygiene education but found no statistically significant effect [37]. Hygiene-Related Exposures or Risk Factors Sixty-four studies identified in our systematic review reported some association between a hygiene-related exposure and trachoma, with a total of 213 reported measures of effect. Six studies assessed the effect of a hygiene education intervention on trachoma; all other studies were observational. Study participants were chosen at random, either at individual or at household level in 61% of relevant studies. In 23 studies, all individuals of a particular community, village, or special population group were enrolled, whereas no selection criteria for study participation were specified in two studies. Facial cleanliness status was reported in 35 publications, with a total reported 49 measures of effect. We found that having a clean face was protective against TF/TI (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.32–0.52) (Figure 9). No ocular discharge at the time of examination was associated with reduced odds of both TF/TI (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.23–0.61) (Figure 10) and C. trachomatis infection (OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.31–0.49) (Figure 11). We also found significant associations between lack of nasal discharge and reduced odds of both TF/TI (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.52–0.72) (Figure 12) and C. trachomatis infection (OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.37–0.76) (Figure 13). The relationship between TF/TI and face washing at least once a day (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.57–0.96) (Figure 14) was stronger than the relationship between TF/TI and washing at least twice a day (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80–0.90) (Figure 15), and soap use was significantly associated with reduced TF/TI (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.59–0.93) (Figure 16). Few studies reported measures of effect between TF/TI and bathing at least once a day (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.53–0.99) (Figure 17) or towel use (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.53–0.78) (Figure 18). 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g009 Figure 9 Meta-analysis examining the association of clean face with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g010 Figure 10 Meta-analysis examining the association of no ocular discharge with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g011 Figure 11 Meta-analysis examining the association of no ocular discharge with C. trachomatis infection. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g012 Figure 12 Meta-analysis examining the association of no nasal discharge with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g013 Figure 13 Meta-analysis examining the association of no nasal discharge with C. trachomatis infection. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. †OR was calculated using data sent from author. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g014 Figure 14 Meta-analysis examining the association of washing face ≥1 time per day (versus <1 time per day) with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g015 Figure 15 Meta-analysis examining the association of washing face ≥2 times per day (versus <2× per day) with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g016 Figure 16 Meta-analysis examining the association of towel use with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g017 Figure 17 Meta-analysis examining the association of soap use with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001605.g018 Figure 18 Meta-analysis examining the association of bathing at least once daily with TF/TI. *OR was adjusted for possible confounders. Meta-analyses were not performed for other hygiene-related conditions or risk factors due to a lack of sufficient number of studies with comparable ORs, often resulting from variation in how exposures were measured and defined across studies (e.g., the nose-wiping practices of interest varied from study to study, hygiene education interventions may or may not have included a sanitation component). These exposures included towel sharing (three articles, four measures of effect), hygiene education (six articles and 12 measures of effect), and nose-wiping practices (five articles, seven measures of effect). Towel sharing among family members was not found to be significantly associated with trachoma in any study. One of two interventions focused solely on face-washing education reported a significant reduction in severe trachoma (TI) compared to control villages [38]. Two of the three interventions that combined hygiene and sanitation education components showed a significant reduction in TF/TI in villages receiving education. All five studies addressing nose-wiping practices reported significant effects: three studies showed that using clothing to blow nose is a significant risk factor for some form of clinical trachoma; the remaining two studies showed significant associations between handkerchief use and lower odds of TF/TI, TI, and C. trachomatis infection. Discussion Our analysis revealed evidence of an association between improved WASH conditions and exposures and reduced trachoma in 11 of the 15 meta-analyses conducted with the available literature. Pooled estimates of effect for the relationship between a WASH exposure and clinical trachoma (TF/TI) ranged from strong effects associated with a clean face (OR 0.42) to little evidence of an association for distance to water source <1 km (OR 0.97). Three of the four meta-analyses assessing trachoma through PCR found associations between WASH conditions and lower infection with C. trachomatis. Access to sanitation was strongly associated with lower levels of trachoma, both TF/TI and C. trachomatis. The relative strength of the association between sanitation access and C. trachomatis infection compared to TF/TI may be due in part to the persistence of clinical signs of trachoma for some time after infection is eliminated [39]. Only seven studies reported estimates of the relationship between sanitation use and TF/TI, and while the meta-analysis suggested an association that was not statistically significant. We found the strongest evidence of the association between hygiene factors and trachoma. Our analyses suggest that the presence of a clean face, the lack of ocular and nasal discharge, increased frequency of face washing, towel use, the use of soap, and daily bathing were all associated with lower odds of trachoma. The relationship between a clean face and reduced odds of trachoma was one of the strongest associations. The shared use of towels, which has long been thought to be a key risk factor in the transmission of trachoma [40]–[42], was not found to be significantly associated with increased risk of trachoma in any of the identified studies, though too few studies were available to conduct a meta-analysis. Our meta-analysis suggest that facial cleanliness and the absence of either ocular or nasal discharge are highly associated with decreased odds of infection with C. trachomatis. However, there is a potentially tautological effect, as trachoma causes inflammation of the eyes, which results in lacrimation and ocular discharge that contains contagion [43]. It stands to reason that removing ocular discharge removes contagion, but ocular discharge itself may also be a symptom of trachoma, and so ocular discharge and active trachoma are both risk factors and effects. However, considering the strong association between facial cleanliness and nasal discharge and trachoma infection, our results suggest that health behaviors that result in clean faces may reduce the prevalence of trachoma. Our meta-analysis examining daily face-washing practices suggests that washing once a day may decrease odds of TF/TI, although washing more than once a day does not appear to result in an additional decrease. The use of soap was associated with lower levels of trachoma, which is particularly relevant as current strategies for trachoma control advocate for face washing with water, but do not consistently emphasize the use of soap [41]. Our analysis did not reveal any evidence of an assocation between the distance to drinking water source and C. trachomatis infection or TF/TI. The lack of an observed effect may be due in part to the 1 km cutpoint used in most studies, which may not be a meaningful standard with respect to trachoma control. A more proximate drinking water source may serve as an indicator for increased quantity of water [32], but is not a guarantee of improved water quality [44]. Given the strong association found between hygiene and trachoma, a lower cutoff value for distance to water source, which ensures more assuredly adequate water quantity for household uses, may be preferable. We found a number of studies that reported an association between improved water quantity and reduced odds of trachoma, but there was an insufficient number of articles to conduct a meta-analysis. Data on water access were limited by lack of standardization of definitions and metrics and the resulting low comparability across studies. Our review identified relationships between WASH conditions and trachoma that require additional research. While we found several studies assessing the association of household sanitation access and facial cleanliness on signs of trachoma, there are comparatively fewer exploring the relationship between water use and trachoma, as well as other characteristics of sanitation, such as maintenance of sanitation facilities and use of facilities shared by more than one household. As a result, the association of these variables with trachoma and the potential role of these variables in trachoma control remains unknown. Strengths and Limitations We searched three widely used databases—EMBASE, Web of Science, and PubMed—as well as MedCarib, Lilacs, REPIDISCA, DESASTRES, and African Index Medicus using a pre-specified, systematic search protocol. In addition, we hand-searched the bibliographies of available reviews. We adhered to the MOOSE guidelines for reporting meta-analysis of observational studies. The lack of standard definitions and methods of measuring WASH components in the available studies made meta-analysis for certain exposures infeasible. In addition, variations in the definitions and methods could have introduced error in our meta-analyses. Study design and setting varied, and heterogeneity was moderate to high in some meta-analyses, particularly those examining the relationship between WASH and TF/TI (refer to I2 values and 95% confidence intervals in Table 9). Although infection with C. trachomatis is a more objective measure of trachoma and is likely associated with more temporal access to WASH, it was the outcome of interest in only four of our 15 meta-analyses, as most studies reported only on clinically evident signs of TF/TI, which could be the result of past infection and more related to cumulative exposure to risk factors. Overall, funnel plots did not appear to show high publication bias (Figure S1). However, it is clear from our review that the majority of studies that report on trachoma prevalence do not report on associations with WASH. Many studies only reported the statistically significant ORs from multivariable analysis. In these cases, ORs available from the univariable were used in meta-analyses; however, as these univariable ORs are not adjusted for possible confounders, they may not be as reliable as ORs from multivariable analyses. It is difficult to draw solid conclusions for those WASH exposures for which meta-analyses were not possible due to scarcity of literature (e.g., facility maintenance and quality, water source type), and we could be missing important insights into the relationship between trachoma and other aspects of WASH. Finally, there is a lack of independence between our meta-analyses estimates, since many studies report multiple measures of effect that contribute to several analyses. All studies included in meta-analyses had relatively low quality scores. These low-quality grades were due in part to the fact that only observational studies were included in the meta-analyses, and all ORs reflected cross-sectional data. WASH exposures were often assessed as secondary risk factors of interest (e.g., sanitation access could be included in a model focused on assessing an antibiotic intervention), meaning that there is a potential for publication bias if non-significant associations were not included in final published manuscripts. We found many different measures of WASH exposures and many of these parameters were poorly described in the methods. This lack of specificity and standardization of measures limits the harmonization of findings into a meta-analysis; this creates challenges to amassing a consistent and useable body of evidence, and effectively demonstrating impact across the WASH and disease control sectors. In addition, we only reported measures of TF/TI together. Since TI has been dropped from some surveys in recent years, our measures of effect may represent small differences in the definition of the outcome. Policy Implications While there has been considerable progress in global access to improved drinking water supply, specifically in East and South Asia, there is evidence that these gains have systematically ignored the poorest and most marginalized populations [45],[46], which are precisely the most vulnerable to trachoma. In addition, the world is far from achieving the Millennium Development Goal target of reducing by half the global population without access to sanitation. In sub-Saharan Africa, which has the world's highest burden of trachoma, fewer than 50% of households have access to an improved sanitation facility, and more than 25% of households practice open defecation [47]. If elimination of trachoma is to be achieved, additional resources must be targeted towards sustainable access to WASH in trachoma endemic areas. Recent discourse between the neglected tropical disease (NTD) control programs and those in the WASH sector may lead to more tangible efforts at collaboration, coordination, and cooperation between the sectors [17], which are essential to achieving articulated WASH strategies, and targeted WASH implementation for trachoma reduction [12]. Face washing has long been an elemental component of the SAFE strategy. Among NGOs not specifically targeting trachoma control, however, improving WASH access is typically promoted to reduce diarrheal diseases, and as such few promote face washing alongside handwashing with soap. Our data support the importance, found by others, of daily face washing to reduce trachoma. Increasing attention to and investment in improved hygiene practices that include daily face washing will support the achievement of trachoma control and elimination targets. Access to household sanitary facility is an important factor in trachoma, and continued use of program indicators that record progress toward improving household access to sanitation is recommended. Though sanitation use, in addition to access, is theoretically important to control trachoma, our review found no significant association between measures of sanitation use and trachoma. This may suggest that current measures of sanitation use, which vary between observation of sanitation characteristics and direct household surveys related to defecation practices, are not sufficiently accurate or consistent on the whole. Additionally, despite a scarcity of literature examining the role of sanitation facility quality or maintenance, interventions to improve the usability and acceptability of existing sanitation facilities may be effective. Further research is needed to understand whether sanitation access at a household level, or whether reaching high sanitation coverage within the community as a whole is more important to achieving trachoma reduction. None of these studies focused on schools, revealing a gap in the literature of the importance of school-based WASH promotion. Conclusions Our review finds that the F and E components of the SAFE strategy—specifically face washing, facial cleanliness, and sanitation access—but also general hygiene behaviors for trachoma control are well supported by evidence. Facial cleanliness and environmental improvement are, in general, highly associated with trachoma infection and disease. Lack of evidence of the association between water access and trachoma may be due to the low number of studies available or a parameterization of water access (<1 km distance to source) in a majority of studies that does not best capture the impact of increased access to water for hygiene and cleanliness. These data support the need for a more harmonized approach to monitoring WASH exposures as they relate to trachoma, better monitoring and reporting of these associations, and increased attention to and funds for the use of WASH to meet trachoma elimination targets as part of the full SAFE strategy. Further studies should employ WASH definitions compatible with those used in the WASH sector, such as the Joint Monitoring Program definitions for improved and unimproved water sources and infrastructure [47]. There is, furthermore, a clear need for more robust evidence of WASH impact on trachoma that may be achieved by including baseline and follow-up measurements of trachoma in impact evaluations of WASH programs and activities. Supporting Information Figure S1 Funnel plots for publication bias. (DOCX) Click here for additional data file. Text S1 PRISMA checklist. (DOC) Click here for additional data file. Text S2 Study protocol. (DOC) Click here for additional data file. Text S3 Potential confounders controlled for in individual studies. (XLSX) Click here for additional data file. Text S4 Study quality grade by meta-analysis. (XLSX) Click here for additional data file.
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            Global elimination of trachoma: how frequently should we administer mass chemotherapy?

            The World Health Organization has recommended repeat mass drug administration as part of their global initiative to eliminate blinding trachoma by the year 2020. The efficacy of repeat treatment will be tested empirically, but the results will not be available for many years, and recommendations for the necessary frequency of treatment are needed immediately. We have developed a mathematical model that uses available epidemiological data from a variety of countries. We recommend, based on our analysis, that in areas where trachoma is moderately prevalent ( 50% in children), it should be treated biannually.
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              A statistical approach to schistosome population dynamics and estimation of the life-span of Schistosoma mansoni in man.

              Dynamic models which predict changes in the intensity of schistosome infection with host age are fitted to pre-intervention Schistosoma mansoni data from Kenya. Age-specific post-treatment-reinfection data are used to estimate the force of infection, thus enabling investigation of the rate of worm death. An empirical and statistical approach is taken to the model fitting: where possible, distributional properties and function relationships are obtained from the data rather than assumed from theory. Attempts are made to remove known sources of bias. Maximum likelihood techniques, employed to allow for error in both the pre-intervention and reinfection data, yield confidence intervals for the worm life-span (CI95% = 5.7-10.5 years) and demonstrate that the worm death rate is unlikely to vary with host age. The possibilities and limitations of fitting dynamic models to data are discussed. We conclude that a detailed, quantitative approach will be necessary if progress is to be made with the interpretation of epidemiological data and the models intended to describe them.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Clin Infect Dis
                Clin Infect Dis
                cid
                Clinical Infectious Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
                Oxford University Press (US )
                1058-4838
                1537-6591
                28 September 2020
                : ciaa933
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery , Oxford, United Kingdom
                [2 ] Department of Tropical Disease Biology, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine , Liverpool, United Kingdom
                [3 ] Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick , Coventry, United Kingdom
                [4 ] Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick , Coventry, United Kingdom
                [5 ] Centre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics, Lancaster University , Lancaster, United Kingdom
                [6 ] London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London , London, United Kingdom
                [7 ] Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London , London, United Kingdom
                [8 ] The DeWorm3 Project, Natural History Museum , London, United Kingdom
                [9 ] Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom
                [10 ] Department of Public Health, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam , Rotterdam, The Netherlands
                [11 ] Francis I Proctor Foundation, University of California , San Francisco, California, United States of America
                [12 ] Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame , Notre Dame, Indiana, United States of America
                [13 ] Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute , Basel, Switzerland
                [14 ] University of Basel , Basel, Switzerland
                [15 ] The School of Life Sciences, University of Warwick , Coventry, United Kingdom
                [16 ] Department of Ophthalmology, University of California , San Francisco, California, United States of America
                [17 ] Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , London, United Kingdom
                [18 ] Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California , San Francisco, California, United States of America
                [19 ] School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Surrey , Guildford, United Kingdom
                [20 ] Department of Statistics, University of Warwick , Coventry, United Kingdom
                [21 ] London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Pathobiology and Population Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, University of London , Hatfield, Hertfordshire, United Kingdom
                Author notes
                Correspondence: T. D. Hollingsworth, Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Old Road Campus, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK ( deirdre.hollingsworth@ 123456bdi.ox.ac.uk ).
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4425-2264
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6723-9727
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3710-0940
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4699-5931
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5962-4238
                Article
                ciaa933
                10.1093/cid/ciaa933
                7543306
                32984870
                48bb0d26-27dc-4618-b900-670c2ee103f5
                © The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

                This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 14 May 2020
                : 30 June 2020
                : 10 July 2020
                : 28 September 2020
                Page count
                Pages: 4
                Funding
                Funded by: Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, DOI 10.13039/100000865;
                Award ID: OPP1184344
                Funded by: National Institutes of Health, DOI 10.13039/100000002;
                Award ID: R01 EY025350
                Award ID: RO1AI123245
                Funded by: Dutch Research Council;
                Award ID: 016.Veni.178.023
                Funded by: Human African Trypanosomiasis Modelling and Economic Predictions for Policy;
                Award ID: OPP1177824
                Funded by: European Marie Skłodowska-Curie fellowship;
                Award ID: H2020-COFUND-2015-FP-707404
                Funded by: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis;
                Award ID: MR/R015600/1
                Funded by: UK Medical Research Council;
                Funded by: UK Department for International Development;
                Funded by: European Union, DOI 10.13039/501100000780;
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                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                neglected tropical diseases,coronavirus,modeling
                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                neglected tropical diseases, coronavirus, modeling

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