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      Five Lessons from COVID-19 for Advancing Climate Change Mitigation

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          Abstract

          The nexus of COVID-19 and climate change has so far brought attention to short-term greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions, public health responses, and clean recovery stimulus packages. We take a more holistic approach, making five broad comparisons between the crises with five associated lessons for climate change mitigation policy. First, delay is costly. Second, policy design must overcome biases to human judgment. Third, inequality can be exacerbated without timely action. Fourth, global problems require multiple forms of international cooperation. Fifth, transparency of normative positions is needed to navigate value judgments at the science-policy interface. Learning from policy challenges during the COVID-19 crisis could enhance efforts to reduce GHG emissions and prepare humanity for future crises.

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          Using social and behavioural science to support COVID-19 pandemic response

          The COVID-19 pandemic represents a massive global health crisis. Because the crisis requires large-scale behaviour change and places significant psychological burdens on individuals, insights from the social and behavioural sciences can be used to help align human behaviour with the recommendations of epidemiologists and public health experts. Here we discuss evidence from a selection of research topics relevant to pandemics, including work on navigating threats, social and cultural influences on behaviour, science communication, moral decision-making, leadership, and stress and coping. In each section, we note the nature and quality of prior research, including uncertainty and unsettled issues. We identify several insights for effective response to the COVID-19 pandemic and highlight important gaps researchers should move quickly to fill in the coming weeks and months.
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            Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

            Following the detection of the new coronavirus1 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its spread outside of China, Europe has experienced large epidemics of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In response, many European countries have implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as the closure of schools and national lockdowns. Here we study the effect of major interventions across 11 European countries for the period from the start of the COVID-19 epidemics in February 2020 until 4 May 2020, when lockdowns started to be lifted. Our model calculates backwards from observed deaths to estimate transmission that occurred several weeks previously, allowing for the time lag between infection and death. We use partial pooling of information between countries, with both individual and shared effects on the time-varying reproduction number (Rt). Pooling allows for more information to be used, helps to overcome idiosyncrasies in the data and enables more-timely estimates. Our model relies on fixed estimates of some epidemiological parameters (such as the infection fatality rate), does not include importation or subnational variation and assumes that changes in Rt are an immediate response to interventions rather than gradual changes in behaviour. Amidst the ongoing pandemic, we rely on death data that are incomplete, show systematic biases in reporting and are subject to future consolidation. We estimate that-for all of the countries we consider here-current interventions have been sufficient to drive Rt below 1 (probability Rt < 1.0 is greater than 99%) and achieve control of the epidemic. We estimate that across all 11 countries combined, between 12 and 15 million individuals were infected with SARS-CoV-2 up to 4 May 2020, representing between 3.2% and 4.0% of the population. Our results show that major non-pharmaceutical interventions-and lockdowns in particular-have had a large effect on reducing transmission. Continued intervention should be considered to keep transmission of SARS-CoV-2 under control.
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              Temporary reduction in daily global CO2 emissions during the COVID-19 forced confinement

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                david.klenert@ec.europa.eu
                Journal
                Environ Resour Econ (Dordr)
                Environ Resour Econ (Dordr)
                Environmental & Resource Economics
                Springer Netherlands (Dordrecht )
                0924-6460
                1573-1502
                3 August 2020
                : 1-28
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Calle Inca Garcilaso, 3, 41092 Seville, Spain
                [2 ]GRID grid.4991.5, ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8948, Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford Martin School, , University of Oxford, ; Oxford, UK
                [3 ]GRID grid.4991.5, ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8948, Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, School of Geography and the Environment, , University of Oxford, ; Oxford, UK
                [4 ]GRID grid.4991.5, ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8948, Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, , University of Oxford, ; Oxford, UK
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3186-0938
                Article
                453
                10.1007/s10640-020-00453-w
                7397958
                32836842
                458b5334-8040-471f-910a-c5297b1dd0af
                © Springer Nature B.V. 2020

                This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.

                History
                : 3 July 2020
                Categories
                Article

                covid-19,climate change,climate policy,public support,psychological bias,inequality,role of scientists,global cooperation

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