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      Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on injury prevalence and pattern in the Washington, DC Metropolitan Region: a multicenter study by the American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma, Washington, DC

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          Abstract

          Background

          The COVID-19 pandemic has had far-reaching effects on healthcare systems and society with resultant impact on trauma systems worldwide. This study evaluates the impact the pandemic has had in the Washington, DC Metropolitan Region as compared with similar months in 2019.

          Design

          A retrospective multicenter study of all adult trauma centers in the Washington, DC region was conducted using trauma registry data between January 1, 2019 and May 31, 2020. March 1, 2020 through May 31, 2020 was defined as COVID-19, and January 1, 2019 through February 28, 2020 was defined as pre-COVID-19. Variables examined include number of trauma contacts, trauma admissions, mechanism of injury, Injury Severity Score, trauma center location (urban vs. suburban), and patient demographics.

          Results

          There was a 22.4% decrease in the overall incidence of trauma during COVID-19 compared with a 3.4% increase in trauma during pre-COVID-19. Blunt mechanism of injury decreased significantly during COVID-19 (77.4% vs. 84.9%, p<0.001). There was no change in the specific mechanisms of fall from standing, blunt assault, and motor vehicle crash. The proportion of trauma evaluations for penetrating trauma increased significantly during COVID-19 (22.6% vs. 15.1%, p<0.001). Firearm-related and stabbing injury mechanisms both increased significantly during COVID-19 (11.8% vs. 6.8%, p<0.001; 9.2%, 6.9%, p=0.002, respectively).

          Conclusions and relevance

          The overall incidence of trauma has decreased since the arrival of COVID-19. However, there has been a significant rise in penetrating trauma. Preparation for future pandemic response should include planning for an increase in trauma center resource utilization from penetrating trauma.

          Level of evidence

          Epidemiological, level III.

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          Most cited references24

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          Variation in volumes and characteristics of trauma patients admitted to a level one trauma centre during national level 4 lockdown for COVID-19 in New Zealand.

          The aims of this study were to describe the variation in volumes and types of injuries admitted to a level one trauma centre in New Zealand over two 14-day periods before and during the national level 4 lockdown for COVID-19; and highlight communities at risk of preventable injury that may impact negatively on hospital resources.
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            Initial evidence on the relationship between the coronavirus pandemic and crime in the United States

            The COVID-19 pandemic led to substantial changes in the daily activities of millions of Americans, with many businesses and schools closed, public events cancelled and states introducing stay-at-home orders. This article used police-recorded open crime data to understand how the frequency of common types of crime changed in 16 large cities across the United States in the early months of 2020. Seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models of crime in previous years were used to forecast the expected frequency of crime in 2020 in the absence of the pandemic. The forecasts from these models were then compared to the actual frequency of crime during the early months of the pandemic. There were no significant changes in the frequency of serious assaults in public or (contrary to the concerns of policy makers) any change to the frequency of serious assaults in residences. In some cities, there were reductions in residential burglary but little change in non-residential burglary. Thefts of motor vehicles decreased in some cities while there were diverging patterns of thefts from motor vehicles. These results are used to make suggestions for future research into the relationships between the coronavirus pandemic and different crimes.
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              Trauma Does not Quarantine: Violence During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Trauma Surg Acute Care Open
                Trauma Surg Acute Care Open
                tsaco
                tsaco
                Trauma Surgery & Acute Care Open
                BMJ Publishing Group (BMA House, Tavistock Square, London, WC1H 9JR )
                2397-5776
                2021
                19 January 2021
                : 6
                : 1
                : e000659
                Affiliations
                [1 ]departmentOrthopedic Surgery , The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences , Washington, DC, USA
                [2 ]departmentSurgery , The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences , Washington, DC, USA
                [3 ]departmentSurgery , University of Maryland Medical System , Baltimore, Maryland, USA
                [4 ]departmentSurgery , Inova Fairfax Hospital , Falls Church, Virginia, USA
                [5 ]departmentSurgery , MedStar Washington Hospital Center , Washington, DC, USA
                [6 ]departmentDepartment of Surgery , MedStar Washington Hospital Center , Washington, DC, USA
                [7 ]departmentSurgery , Johns Hopkins Medicine School of Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland, USA
                [8 ]departmentSurgery , Johns Hopkins Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland, USA
                [9 ]departmentSurgery , Howard University Hospital , Washington, DC, USA
                Author notes
                [Correspondence to ] Dr Babak Sarani; bsarani@ 123456mfa.gwu.edu
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6247-3004
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3744-0603
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7075-771X
                Article
                tsaco-2020-000659
                10.1136/tsaco-2020-000659
                7817381
                34192164
                35218909-028c-4f11-ac9b-69236ed110db
                © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

                This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See:  http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

                History
                : 04 December 2020
                : 01 January 2021
                : 04 January 2021
                Categories
                Original Research
                1506
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                Custom metadata
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                injury,covid-19
                injury, covid-19

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