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      When viruses become more virulent

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      Science
      American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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          Abstract

          Natural selection favors virulence when it is coupled with increased viral transmission

          Abstract

          The evolution of virulence—the degree to which a pathogen sickens, kills, or otherwise reduces its host’s fitness—depends on the biology of infection and transmission ( 1 ). A more virulent virus may be less transmissible because in killing its host, it reduces the opportunity for transmission. But virulence and transmissibility can be intrinsically linked, so that to maintain or increase infectiousness, a virus must be virulent. On page 540 of this issue, Wymant et al. ( 2 ) describe the emergence of a more virulent and transmissible variant of HIV that has spread to 102 known cases, mostly in the Netherlands, over the past decade. This finding raises questions about the selective pressures and molecular mechanisms that drive increased virulence and transmission.

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          Most cited references12

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          SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Scotland: demographics, risk of hospital admission, and vaccine effectiveness

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            Is Open Access

            Immunological characteristics govern the transition of COVID-19 to endemicity

            Taming a pandemic One year after its emergence, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has become so widespread that there is little hope of elimination. There are, however, several other human coronaviruses that are endemic and cause multiple reinfections that engender sufficient immunity to protect against severe adult disease. By making assumptions about acquired immunity from its already endemic relatives, Lavine et al. developed a model with which to analyze the trajectory of SARS-CoV-2 into endemicity. The model accounts for SARS-CoV-2's age-structured disease profile and assesses the impact of vaccination. The transition from epidemic to endemic dynamics is associated with a shift in the age distribution of primary infections to younger age groups, which in turn depends on how fast the virus spreads. Longer-lasting sterilizing immunity will slow the transition to endemicity. Depending on the type of immune response it engenders, a vaccine could accelerate establishment of a state of mild disease endemicity. Science, this issue p. 741
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              We shouldn’t worry when a virus mutates during disease outbreaks

              Mutation. The word naturally conjures fears of unexpected and freakish changes. Ill-informed discussions of mutations thrive during virus outbreaks, including the ongoing spread of SARS-CoV-2. In reality, mutations are a natural part of the virus life cycle and rarely impact outbreaks dramatically.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Science
                Science
                American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
                0036-8075
                1095-9203
                February 04 2022
                February 04 2022
                : 375
                : 6580
                : 493-494
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
                Article
                10.1126/science.abn4887
                35113688
                2a072310-3484-4363-ae9b-b1a52cc1d9a4
                © 2022
                History

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