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      Alcohol consumption and atrial fibrillation risk: An updated dose-response meta-analysis of over 10 million participants

      systematic-review

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          Abstract

          Background

          The treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF) has made significant progress, but the prevention of AF has not received the attention it deserves. A few recent large-sized studies have conducted dose response analysis and reported different conclusions from previous studies on alcohol consumption and AF risk.

          Objectives

          The aim of this study is to examine the potential non-linear association between alcohol consumption and risk of AF and explore the potential differences of gender.

          Methods

          In this updated dose-response meta-analysis, PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases were searched until June 2022. Risk estimates were reported as relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The random-effects restricted cubic spline models are used to evaluate the potential non-linear association between alcohol consumption and AF risk.

          Results

          A total of 10,151,366 participants with 214,365 cases of AF enrolled in 13 prospective studies. The overall meta-analysis showed that a 1 drink/day increase in alcohol consumption increased the risk of AF by 6% (RR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03–1.08). In gender subgroup analysis, pooled results were different between men (RR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.05–1.11) and women (RR: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.96–1.14). A linear relationship between alcohol consumption and risk of AF was found in men ( p = 0.87) while a J-shaped curve was observed in women ( p = 0.00). Regional subgroup analysis yielded broadly comparable results in Americas (RR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.03–1.12), Europe (RR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.99–1.1) and Asia (RR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.99–1.14).

          Conclusion

          The relationship between AF risk and alcohol consumption is linear in men, while a potential non-linear J-shaped relationship is shown in women.

          Condensed abstract

          We conducted a dose-response meta-analysis on the relationship between alcohol consumption and risk of atrial fibrillation. We merged the data of over 10 million participants and found gender differences in the pattern of association with AF and alcohol consumption. The relationship between AF risk and alcohol consumption is linear in men, while a potential non-linear J-shaped relationship is shown in women. In summary, this research is vital in furthering our understanding of the role of alcohol consumption in new-onset AF, especially among different genders.

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          Most cited references40

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          Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses.

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            Critical evaluation of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale for the assessment of the quality of nonrandomized studies in meta-analyses.

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              Meta-analysis of observational studies in epidemiology: a proposal for reporting. Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) group.

              Because of the pressure for timely, informed decisions in public health and clinical practice and the explosion of information in the scientific literature, research results must be synthesized. Meta-analyses are increasingly used to address this problem, and they often evaluate observational studies. A workshop was held in Atlanta, Ga, in April 1997, to examine the reporting of meta-analyses of observational studies and to make recommendations to aid authors, reviewers, editors, and readers. Twenty-seven participants were selected by a steering committee, based on expertise in clinical practice, trials, statistics, epidemiology, social sciences, and biomedical editing. Deliberations of the workshop were open to other interested scientists. Funding for this activity was provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. We conducted a systematic review of the published literature on the conduct and reporting of meta-analyses in observational studies using MEDLINE, Educational Research Information Center (ERIC), PsycLIT, and the Current Index to Statistics. We also examined reference lists of the 32 studies retrieved and contacted experts in the field. Participants were assigned to small-group discussions on the subjects of bias, searching and abstracting, heterogeneity, study categorization, and statistical methods. From the material presented at the workshop, the authors developed a checklist summarizing recommendations for reporting meta-analyses of observational studies. The checklist and supporting evidence were circulated to all conference attendees and additional experts. All suggestions for revisions were addressed. The proposed checklist contains specifications for reporting of meta-analyses of observational studies in epidemiology, including background, search strategy, methods, results, discussion, and conclusion. Use of the checklist should improve the usefulness of meta-analyses for authors, reviewers, editors, readers, and decision makers. An evaluation plan is suggested and research areas are explored.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Front Cardiovasc Med
                Front Cardiovasc Med
                Front. Cardiovasc. Med.
                Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
                Frontiers Media S.A.
                2297-055X
                30 September 2022
                2022
                : 9
                : 979982
                Affiliations
                Department of Cardiology, Dushu Lake Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University, Medical Center of Soochow University, Suzhou Dushu Lake Hospital , Suzhou, China
                Author notes

                Edited by: Sebhat Erqou, Brown University, United States

                Reviewed by: Domenico Giovanni Della Rocca, Texas Cardiac Arrhythmia Institute, United States; Kazuo Miyazawa, RIKEN Yokohama, Japan

                *Correspondence: Yafeng Zhou, zhouyafeng73@ 123456126.com

                This article was submitted to Cardiac Rhythmology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine

                Article
                10.3389/fcvm.2022.979982
                9561500
                36247447
                253df5eb-593b-4f82-bfdc-0f7620721b9a
                Copyright © 2022 Jiang, Mei, Jiang, Yao, Shen, Chen and Zhou.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

                History
                : 28 June 2022
                : 14 September 2022
                Page count
                Figures: 7, Tables: 2, Equations: 0, References: 40, Pages: 13, Words: 5154
                Categories
                Cardiovascular Medicine
                Systematic Review

                alcohol,atrial fibrillation,meta-analysis,gender difference,risk

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