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      Rising concerns over agricultural production as COVID-19 spreads: Lessons from China

      research-article
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      Global Food Security
      Elsevier B.V.
      COVID-19, Agricultural production, Food security, Food supply chain, China

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          Abstract

          There are rising concerns over the impact of COVID-19 on the agricultural production, which may become a nonnegligible threat to the long-term food supply and food security. This paper discusses the impact of COVID-19 on agricultural production in China, followed by government responses to alleviate the negative effects. The results show that unreasonable restrictions would block the outflow channels of agricultural products, hinder necessary production inputs, destroy production cycles, and finally undermine production capacity. It is expected that China's experiences could give warnings and suggestions to other countries that are experiencing serious outbreak to protect domestic agricultural production, especially developing countries.

          Highlights

          • The impacts of the COVID-19 epidemic on food supply chain started immediately from the “midstream” or “downstream” part, then will extend upward to the “upstream” production part.

          • China's experiences have shown that some countermeasures against COVID-19 disrupted production.

          • Unreasonable restrictions would block the outflow channels of agricultural products, hinder necessary production inputs, destroy production cycles, and finally undermine production capacity.

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          Most cited references17

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          Is Open Access

          Impacts of social and economic factors on the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China

          This study models local and cross-city transmissions of the novel coronavirus in China between January 19 and February 29, 2020. We examine the role of various socioeconomic mediating factors, including public health measures that encourage social distancing in local communities. Weather characteristics 2 weeks prior are used as instrumental variables for causal inference. Stringent quarantines, city lockdowns, and local public health measures imposed in late January significantly decreased the virus transmission rate. The virus spread was contained by the middle of February. Population outflow from the outbreak source region posed a higher risk to the destination regions than other factors, including geographic proximity and similarity in economic conditions. We quantify the effects of different public health measures in reducing the number of infections through counterfactual analyses. Over 1.4 million infections and 56,000 deaths may have been avoided as a result of the national and provincial public health measures imposed in late January in China.
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            Agriculture, transportation, and the COVID‐19 crisis

            Abstract In this short paper, I assess how COVID‐19‐related disruptions in transportation services, as well as new demands for transportation services, could impact Canadian agricultural supply chains. The brief analysis reveals that agricultural access to bulk ocean freight, rail movement, and trucking has generally improved in the pandemic, bolstered by the reduced demand for these transportation services by other sectors of the economy. The intermodal containerized movement of grains and food products has seen some disruption from the lack of empty containers in North America. The widespread consumer adoption of physical distancing measures has vastly increased the demand for retail food pickup and delivery services to the point where these services are being rationed by long wait times. From a policy perspective, there is an apparent need for (a) continued supply chain monitoring and industry engagement, (b) the proactive development of strategies to deal with absenteeism and other potential threats to the supply chain, and (c) an assessment of the economic and health merits of providing additional public resources to provide greater access to grocery pickup and delivery services.
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              Without food, there can be no exit from the pandemic

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Glob Food Sec
                Glob Food Sec
                Global Food Security
                Elsevier B.V.
                2211-9124
                20 July 2020
                20 July 2020
                : 100409
                Affiliations
                [1]Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 100081, Beijing, China
                Author notes
                []Corresponding author. New Main Building, 12th Zhongguancun South Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China. zhongyu@ 123456caas.cn
                Article
                S2211-9124(20)30063-8 100409
                10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100409
                7369589
                32834954
                1e08ef38-c8c1-4334-84fa-59e8b3f7c019
                © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

                Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

                History
                : 18 May 2020
                : 9 July 2020
                : 13 July 2020
                Categories
                Article

                covid-19,agricultural production,food security,food supply chain,china

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