Risk and resilience factors for primary school dropout in Côte d’Ivoire

Abstract

Risks associated with school dropout have been studied in West Africa, yet more research is needed to understand what protective factors can be associated with academic resilience (i.e., remaining in school despite facing adversity). At the beginning of our longitudinal study in rural Côte d’Ivoire, 1195 students (Mage=10.75, SDage=1.42) were enrolled in fifth grade. Two years later, 7% of students had dropped out. Characteristics related to the child (e.g., child labour), family (e.g., socioeconomic status), and school (e.g., teacher quality) were first examined distinctly. We then applied a cumulative risk (CR) framework to examine child-, family-, and school-level CR and their interactions. To understand academic resilience, we used findings from our risk analysis to identify a “high-risk enrolled” subset of children and compared them to the children who dropped out. Children who dropped out were older, involved in more child labour, had poorer literacy, owned fewer books, and attended schools with poorer learning environments. Child-level CR most strongly predicted dropout (b=-.860, OR=.424); however, children with low child-level CR were more likely to drop out when family-level CR was high (b=.227, OR=1.250). School characteristics (better infrastructure and teachers) were protective for children who were at high risk of dropout yet remained enrolled. Child-, family-, and school-level factors all contributed to dropout and these factors interact to affect dropout. Although child- and family-level factors contribute significantly to dropout, certain school factors may mitigate these risks and promote academic resilience.