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      The prognostic value of the postoperative serum CEA levels/preoperative serum CEA levels ratio in colorectal cancer patients with high preoperative serum CEA levels

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          Abstract

          Purpose

          This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of the postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels/preoperative serum CEA levels ratio (CEA ratio) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with high preoperative serum CEA levels and to identify the optimal prognostic cutoff value.

          Patients and methods

          The medical records of 187 CRC patients in a single center who underwent surgery between September 2012 and September 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. CEA ratio was defined as the ratio between the postoperative serum CEA and preoperative serum CEA. The optimal cutoff values for the CEA ratio were determined by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. The Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact probability test were used to test the correlation between CEA ratio and clinicopathological characteristics. Univariate, multivariate, and subgroup Cox proportional hazards analysis were used to identify independent prognostic factors. Kaplan–Meier method was used for establishing survival curves.

          Results

          The median follow-up time was 62 months (range 3–88 months). The optimal CEA ratio cutoff value closely related to disease-free survival was 0.295. In the Chi-square test, the CEA ratio was associated with pN stage ( p=0.003) and postoperative CEA ( p<0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the CEA ratio was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival ( p=0.003, HR 2.300 [95% CI: 1.326–3.988]) and cancer-special survival ( p=0.003, HR 2.525 [95% CI: 1.381–4.614]). The CEA ratio reflected the prognosis of CRC patients more accurately than postoperative CEA levels alone, and the CEA ratio of 0.295 was more likely to reflect the prognosis than other cutoff values.

          Conclusion

          The CEA ratio is a simple and useful tool for further forecasting the prognosis of CRC patients with high preoperative CEA levels and may help develop strategies for the postoperative treatment of CRC patients.

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          Most cited references25

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          Understanding diagnostic tests 3: Receiver operating characteristic curves.

          The results of many clinical tests are quantitative and are provided on a continuous scale. To help decide the presence or absence of disease, a cut-off point for 'normal' or 'abnormal' is chosen. The sensitivity and specificity of a test vary according to the level that is chosen as the cut-off point. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, a graphical technique for describing and comparing the accuracy of diagnostic tests, is obtained by plotting the sensitivity of a test on the y axis against 1-specificity on the x axis. Two methods commonly used to establish the optimal cut-off point include the point on the ROC curve closest to (0, 1) and the Youden index. The area under the ROC curve provides a measure of the overall performance of a diagnostic test. In this paper, the author explains how the ROC curve can be used to select optimal cut-off points for a test result, to assess the diagnostic accuracy of a test, and to compare the usefulness of tests. The ROC curve is obtained by calculating the sensitivity and specificity of a test at every possible cut-off point, and plotting sensitivity against 1-specificity. The curve may be used to select optimal cut-off values for a test result, to assess the diagnostic accuracy of a test, and to compare the usefulness of different tests.
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            NCCN Guidelines Insights: Colon Cancer, Version 2.2018

            The NCCN Guidelines for Colon Cancer provide recommendations regarding diagnosis, pathologic staging, surgical management, perioperative treatment, surveillance, management of recurrent and metastatic disease, and survivorship. These NCCN Guidelines Insights summarize the NCCN Colon Cancer Panel discussions for the 2018 update of the guidelines regarding risk stratification and adjuvant treatment for patients with stage III colon cancer, and treatment of BRAF V600E mutation-positive metastatic colorectal cancer with regimens containing vemurafenib.
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              Evaluating the Prognostic Role of Elevated Preoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels in Colon Cancer Patients: Results from the National Cancer Database.

              Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a reliable tumor marker for the management and surveillance of colon cancer. However, limitations in previous studies have made it difficult to elucidate whether CEA should be established as a prognostic indicator. This study examines the association between elevated preoperative CEA levels and overall survival in colon cancer patients using a national population-based registry.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Cancer Manag Res
                Cancer Manag Res
                CMAR
                cancmanres
                Cancer Management and Research
                Dove
                1179-1322
                07 August 2019
                2019
                : 11
                : 7499-7511
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Department of Colorectal Anal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University , Nanning, Guangxi, People’s Republic of China
                [2 ] Department of Pharmacy, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University , Nanning, Guangxi, People’s Republic of China
                Author notes
                Correspondence: Jia-Liang GanDepartment of Colorectal Anal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University , 6 Shuangyong Road, Nanning530021, Guangxi, People’s Republic of ChinaTel +86 1 387 815 5172 Email gjl5172@163.com
                [*]

                These authors contributed equally to this work

                Article
                213580
                10.2147/CMAR.S213580
                6689667
                31496807
                19402152-5182-491d-ae62-79398a1e3664
                © 2019 Xie et al.

                This work is published and licensed by Dove Medical Press Limited. The full terms of this license are available at https://www.dovepress.com/terms.php and incorporate the Creative Commons Attribution – Non Commercial (unported, v3.0) License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/). By accessing the work you hereby accept the Terms. Non-commercial uses of the work are permitted without any further permission from Dove Medical Press Limited, provided the work is properly attributed. For permission for commercial use of this work, please see paragraphs 4.2 and 5 of our Terms ( https://www.dovepress.com/terms.php).

                History
                : 26 April 2019
                : 19 July 2019
                Page count
                Figures: 6, Tables: 3, References: 37, Pages: 13
                Categories
                Original Research

                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                colorectal cancer,prognosis,cea ratio,high preoperative cea levels
                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                colorectal cancer, prognosis, cea ratio, high preoperative cea levels

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