Machine learning and statistical methods for the prediction of maximal oxygen uptake: recent advances

Abstract

Maximal oxygen uptake (VO ₂max) indicates how many milliliters of oxygen the body can consume in a state of intense exercise per minute. VO ₂max plays an important role in both sport and medical sciences for different purposes, such as indicating the endurance capacity of athletes or serving as a metric in estimating the disease risk of a person. In general, the direct measurement of VO ₂max provides the most accurate assessment of aerobic power. However, despite a high level of accuracy, practical limitations associated with the direct measurement of VO ₂max, such as the requirement of expensive and sophisticated laboratory equipment or trained staff, have led to the development of various regression models for predicting VO ₂max. Consequently, a lot of studies have been conducted in the last years to predict VO ₂max of various target audiences, ranging from soccer athletes, nonexpert swimmers, cross-country skiers to healthy-fit adults, teenagers, and children. Numerous prediction models have been developed using different sets of predictor variables and a variety of machine learning and statistical methods, including support vector machine, multilayer perceptron, general regression neural network, and multiple linear regression. The purpose of this study is to give a detailed overview about the data-driven modeling studies for the prediction of VO ₂max conducted in recent years and to compare the performance of various VO ₂max prediction models reported in related literature in terms of two well-known metrics, namely, multiple correlation coefficient ( R) and standard error of estimate. The survey results reveal that with respect to regression methods used to develop prediction models, support vector machine, in general, shows better performance than other methods, whereas multiple linear regression exhibits the worst performance.