Congenital heart disease: changes in recorded birth prevalence and cardiac interventions over the past half-century in Sweden

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Abstract

Aims

Our objective was to assess changes in the birth prevalence of CHD over a half-century in a high-resource, nationwide setting, as well as changes in the prevalence of cardiac interventions in this population.

Methods and results

The Swedish National Patient and Cause of Death registers were linked to estimate the annual rates of CHD and cardiac interventions among live-born infants from 1970 to 2017. Additionally, separate estimates were obtained by lesion complexity, from mild to the most complex forms of CHD. Overall, the numbers of live-born infants with a CHD identified varied from 624 to 2459 annual cases, with rates increasing steadily from 5.7 to an average of 20 per 1000 live births at the end of the study period, and with a more pronounced increase from 1996 to 2005. The largest increase over time was observed for mild CHD lesions. Overall, the proportion of cardiac interventions among patients with CHD declined from 40.7% in 1970 to below 15.0% after 2014. However, in the most complex CHD lesion groups, overall cardiac interventions increased from 57.1 to 76.8% in patients with conotruncal defects and from 32.8 to 39.5% in those with severe non-conotruncal defects.

Conclusion

The live-birth prevalence of CHD in Sweden more than tripled during the past half-century, most likely resulting from more accurate diagnostic capabilities. The largest increase over time was observed among patients with simple defects. During the same period, overall cardiac interventions decreased whereas interventions for the most complex CHD groups increased.

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External review and validation of the Swedish national inpatient register

Jonas F. Ludvigsson, Eva Andersson, Anders Ekbom … (2011)

Background The Swedish National Inpatient Register (IPR), also called the Hospital Discharge Register, is a principal source of data for numerous research projects. The IPR is part of the National Patient Register. The Swedish IPR was launched in 1964 (psychiatric diagnoses from 1973) but complete coverage did not begin until 1987. Currently, more than 99% of all somatic (including surgery) and psychiatric hospital discharges are registered in the IPR. A previous validation of the IPR by the National Board of Health and Welfare showed that 85-95% of all diagnoses in the IPR are valid. The current paper describes the history, structure, coverage and quality of the Swedish IPR. Methods and results In January 2010, we searched the medical databases, Medline and HighWire, using the search algorithm "validat* (inpatient or hospital discharge) Sweden". We also contacted 218 members of the Swedish Society of Epidemiology and an additional 201 medical researchers to identify papers that had validated the IPR. In total, 132 papers were reviewed. The positive predictive value (PPV) was found to differ between diagnoses in the IPR, but is generally 85-95%. Conclusions In conclusion, the validity of the Swedish IPR is high for many but not all diagnoses. The long follow-up makes the register particularly suitable for large-scale population-based research, but for certain research areas the use of other health registers, such as the Swedish Cancer Register, may be more suitable.

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The Swedish personal identity number: possibilities and pitfalls in healthcare and medical research

Jonas F. Ludvigsson, Petra Otterblad Olausson, Birgitta Pettersson … (2009)

Swedish health care and national health registers are dependent on the presence of a unique identifier. This paper describes the Swedish personal identity number (PIN) and explores ethical issues of its use in medical research. A ten-digit-PIN is maintained by the National Tax Board for all individuals that have resided in Sweden since 1947. Until January 2008, an estimated 75,638 individuals have changed PIN. The most common reasons for change of PIN are incorrect recording of date of birth or sex among immigrants or newborns. Although uncommon, change of sex always leads to change of PIN since the PIN is sex-specific. The most common reasons for re-use of PIN (n = 15,887), is when immigrants are assigned a PIN that has previously been assigned to someone else. This is sometimes necessary since there is a shortage of certain PIN combinations referring to dates of birth in the 1950s and 1960s. Several ethical issues can be raised pro and con the use of PIN in medical research. The Swedish PIN is a useful tool for linkages between medical registers and allows for virtually 100% coverage of the Swedish health care system. We suggest that matching of registers through PIN and matching of national health registers without the explicit approval of the individual patient is to the benefit for both the individual patient and for society.

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Birth prevalence of congenital heart disease worldwide: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Denise van der Linde, Elisabeth E M Konings, Maarten A Slager … (2011)

Congenital heart disease (CHD) accounts for nearly one-third of all major congenital anomalies. CHD birth prevalence worldwide and over time is suggested to vary; however, a complete overview is missing. This systematic review included 114 papers, comprising a total study population of 24,091,867 live births with CHD identified in 164,396 individuals. Birth prevalence of total CHD and the 8 most common subtypes were pooled in 5-year time periods since 1930 and in continent and income groups since 1970 using the inverse variance method. Reported total CHD birth prevalence increased substantially over time, from 0.6 per 1,000 live births (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.4 to 0.8) in 1930 to 1934 to 9.1 per 1,000 live births (95% CI: 9.0 to 9.2) after 1995. Over the last 15 years, stabilization occurred, corresponding to 1.35 million newborns with CHD every year. Significant geographical differences were found. Asia reported the highest CHD birth prevalence, with 9.3 per 1,000 live births (95% CI: 8.9 to 9.7), with relatively more pulmonary outflow obstructions and fewer left ventricular outflow tract obstructions. Reported total CHD birth prevalence in Europe was significantly higher than in North America (8.2 per 1,000 live births [95% CI: 8.1 to 8.3] vs. 6.9 per 1,000 live births [95% CI: 6.7 to 7.1]; p < 0.001). Access to health care is still limited in many parts of the world, as are diagnostic facilities, probably accounting for differences in reported birth prevalence between high- and low-income countries. Observed differences may also be of genetic, environmental, socioeconomical, or ethnic origin, and there needs to be further investigation to tailor the management of this global health problem. Copyright Â© 2011 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.