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      Population Pharmacokinetics of Cefotaxime and Dosage Recommendations in Children with Sickle Cell Disease

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          ABSTRACT

          The pharmacokinetic profile of most drugs is dependent on the patient's covariates and may be influenced by the disease. Cefotaxime is frequently prescribed in pediatric patients with sickle cell disease (SCD), characterized by vaso-occlusive complications, chronic hemolytic anemia, and a defective immunological function predisposing the individual to severe infection. Data on the impact of the disease on the disposition of cefotaxime are missing. In the present study, our aims were to determine cefotaxime pharmacokinetics when prescribed to children with SCD for suspected or proven bacterial infection, identify significant covariates, and perform Monte Carlo simulations to optimize the drug dosage. Cefotaxime serum concentrations were measured in 78 pediatric SCD patients receiving cefotaxime intravenously at a daily dose of 200 mg/kg of body weight in three or four divided doses over 30 min. A total of 107 concentrations were available for pharmacokinetic analysis. A population pharmacokinetic model was developed with NONMEM software and used for Monte Carlo simulations. Cefotaxime concentrations ranged from 0.05 to 103.7 mg/liter. Cefotaxime pharmacokinetics were best described by a one-compartment model: the median estimated weight-normalized volume of distribution and clearance were 0.42 liter/kg (range, 0.2 to 1.1 liter/kg) and 0.38 liter/h/kg (range, 0.1 to 1.2 liter/h/kg). Cefotaxime clearance increased by 22% in patients with acute chest syndrome. Dosing optimization, performed using EUCAST MIC susceptibility breakpoints, showed that a dose of 100 mg/kg/6 h should be used, depending on the patient's characteristics and clinical presentation, in order to reach a value of the percentage of time that the drug concentration exceeded the MIC under steady-state pharmacokinetic conditions of 80% in 80% of the patients when targeting sensitive Gram-positive cocci and Gram-negative bacilli with MICs of 1 mg/liter or below.

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          Prediction-corrected visual predictive checks for diagnosing nonlinear mixed-effects models.

          Informative diagnostic tools are vital to the development of useful mixed-effects models. The Visual Predictive Check (VPC) is a popular tool for evaluating the performance of population PK and PKPD models. Ideally, a VPC will diagnose both the fixed and random effects in a mixed-effects model. In many cases, this can be done by comparing different percentiles of the observed data to percentiles of simulated data, generally grouped together within bins of an independent variable. However, the diagnostic value of a VPC can be hampered by binning across a large variability in dose and/or influential covariates. VPCs can also be misleading if applied to data following adaptive designs such as dose adjustments. The prediction-corrected VPC (pcVPC) offers a solution to these problems while retaining the visual interpretation of the traditional VPC. In a pcVPC, the variability coming from binning across independent variables is removed by normalizing the observed and simulated dependent variable based on the typical population prediction for the median independent variable in the bin. The principal benefit with the pcVPC has been explored by application to both simulated and real examples of PK and PKPD models. The investigated examples demonstrate that pcVPCs have an enhanced ability to diagnose model misspecification especially with respect to random effects models in a range of situations. The pcVPC was in contrast to traditional VPCs shown to be readily applicable to data from studies with a priori and/or a posteriori dose adaptations.
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            Sickle-cell disease.

            With the global scope of sickle-cell disease, knowledge of the countless clinical presentations and treatment of this disorder need to be familiar to generalists, haematologists, internists, and paediatricians alike. Additionally, an underlying grasp of sickle-cell pathophysiology, which has rapidly accrued new knowledge in areas related to erythrocyte and extra-erythrocyte events, is crucial to an understanding of the complexity of this molecular disease with protean manifestations. We highlight studies from past decades related to such translational research as the use of hydroxyurea in treatment, as well as the therapeutic promise of red-cell ion-channel blockers, and antiadhesion and anti-inflammatory therapy. The novel role of nitric oxide in sickle-cell pathophysiology and the range of its potential use in treatment are also reviewed. Understanding of disease as the result of a continuing interaction between basic scientists and clinical researchers is best exemplified by this entity.
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              Conditional weighted residuals (CWRES): a model diagnostic for the FOCE method.

              Population model analyses have shifted from using the first order (FO) to the first-order with conditional estimation (FOCE) approximation to the true model. However, the weighted residuals (WRES), a common diagnostic tool used to test for model misspecification, are calculated using the FO approximation. Utilizing WRES with the FOCE method may lead to misguided model development/evaluation. We present a new diagnostic tool, the conditional weighted residuals (CWRES), which are calculated based on the FOCE approximation. CWRES are calculated as the FOCE approximated difference between an individual's data and the model prediction of that data divided by the root of the covariance of the data given the model. Using real and simulated data the CWRES distributions behave as theoretically expected under the correct model. In contrast, in certain circumstances, the WRES have distributions that greatly deviate from the expected, falsely indicating model misspecification. CWRES/WRES comparisons can also indicate if the FOCE estimation method will improve the results of an FO model fit to data. Utilization of CWRES could improve model development and evaluation and give a more accurate picture of if and when a model is misspecified when using the FO or FOCE methods.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy
                Antimicrob Agents Chemother
                American Society for Microbiology
                0066-4804
                1098-6596
                April 2018
                March 27 2018
                January 29 2018
                : 62
                : 4
                Article
                10.1128/AAC.00637-17
                5914001
                29378711
                09612f59-3f58-42d3-ba25-c84328d62226
                © 2018
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